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Preston North End v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:00 BST, Deepdale, Preston

Saturday afternoon sees Paul Heckingbottom’s Preston North End and Paul Warne’s Derby County go up against one another in a Championship clash at the Deepdale. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Championship clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 77% chance of Preston and Derby a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Championship fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Preston are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Preston
45%
6/55/4
2%
Draw
27%
11/5
3%
9/4
Derby
27%
12/5
5%
23/10
Preston 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
16%
6/1
7%
Derby 1-0
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
Preston 2-0
9%
9/18/1
Preston 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Derby 2-1
6%
11/19/1
9%
Derby 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Preston 3-0
4%
20/116/1
13%
Preston 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Derby 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Preston 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Derby 3-0
2%
33/125/1
Derby 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
6/5
10%
23/20
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/6
7%
8/13
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
10/11
6%
19/20
BTTS - No
53%
4/5
6%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
11%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13/2
15%
11/2
Home/draw
73%
3/10
2%
1/3
2%
Away/draw
55%
4/68/13
2%
Home/away
73%
4/11
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
2/5
5%
2/5
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
2/1
12%
9/5
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
3/1
14%
29/10
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/4
4%
2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
14%
13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
13%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/100
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
16%
13/2
Home DNB
64%
4/7
3%
4/7
1%
Away DNB
47%
5/4
5%
5/4
2%
Preston win to nil
27%
5/2
7%
-
Derby win to nil
16%
9/2-
Preston / Preston
22%
11/4
4%
5/2
Preston / Derby
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Preston / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
8%
Draw / Preston
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
Draw / Derby
12%
6/111/2
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
10/3
2%
Derby / Preston
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Derby / Derby
15%
9/217/4
Derby / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Preston have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Preston have conceded 20 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Preston have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 12th place on 19 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derby have played 8 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Preston
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sunderland159421431 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 11
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
2
Sheff Utd1510321231 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
3
Leeds158521529 
Dec 14
Apr 12
Dec 29
Dec 7
4
Burnley157621227 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
Dec 10
5
Watford16826126 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 21
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
6
West Brom15672725 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Dec 26
Apr 21
7
M'Boro15735624 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
8
Millwall15654523 
Feb 8
l
 
3-1A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
9
Blackburn15645222 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 31
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
10
Bristol C15573122 
l
 
1-3A
May 3
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
11
Swansea15546119 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
Nov 27
Apr 5
12
Derby 15546019 
Nov 23
Mar 29
-
-
13
Stoke15546-119 
Apr 5
Nov 26
May 3
l
 
2-1A
14
Norwich15465118 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 11
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
15
Sheff Wed15537-818 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Dec 1
Jan 1
16
Oxford Utd15456-117 
Jan 4
l
 
3-1F
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
17
Plymouth16457-1117 
Apr 26
d
 
3-3F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
18
Coventry15447-116 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
19
Hull15366-415 
Dec 26
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
20
Preston 15366-815 
-
-
Mar 29
Nov 23
21
Luton15438-915 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Apr 18
Dec 20
22
Cardiff15438-915 
Apr 8
Dec 11
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
23
Portsmouth15267-1212 
Mar 15
l
 
3-1A
Dec 13
Apr 12
24
QPR15177-1310 
Apr 18
Dec 21
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
5
Preston have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Preston 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Derby 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Preston since 2003
Preston
Derby
Goals: Scored
19
12
Games: Scored
9 / 15
8 / 15
Clean sheets
7 / 15
6 / 15
PNE
5
D
4
DER
6
League games at Derby since 2002
Derby
Preston
Goals: Scored
26
13
Games: Scored
12 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
3 / 15
PNE
2
D
5
DER
8
Goal Statistics
Preston 20th Derby 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Preston will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Preston’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Derby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280276/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Preston
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.4
1
Attack rating
PNE
DER
24%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score5
2
Scored first6
8
Goals scored15
19
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
0%
better
PNE
DER
view stats
Games conceded9
11
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded23
19
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
0%

Preston v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Preston Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15327
F WoodmanE RiisE RiisB Whiteman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Woodman GLK15
3
-
A Hughes DEF15
4
-
E Riis FWD1532
1
-
J Storey DEF1411
2
-
D Holmes MID141
2
-
M Frökjaer-Jensen MID142
3
-
B Whiteman MID141
7
-
B Potts DEF1311
3
-
K Kesler-Hayden DEF132
2
-
L Lindsay DEF13
3
1
A McCann MID121
3
-
S Thórdarson MID12
-
S Greenwood MID1231
3
1
R Brady MID101
3
-
R Ledson MID71
3
-
M Osmajic FWD72
1
-
J Okkels FWD6
-
J Whatmough DEF5
1
-
J Bowler FWD5
-
W Keane FWD41
-
K. Best DEF1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15335
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF152
1
-
E Adams MID151
4
-
K Goudmijn MID152
2
-
K Jackson FWD1522
2
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1513
2
-
J Zetterström GLK13
-
C Forsyth DEF1311
2
-
E Cashin DEF13
5
-
J Yates FWD1332
1
-
B Osborn MID111
1
-
K Wilson DEF101
-
N Phillips DEF10
1
-
R Nyambe DEF9
1
-
C Elder DEF91
3
-
M Harness FWD91
2
-
J Collins FWD9
1
-
L Thompson MID7
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD71
1
-
D Brown FWD61
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Ward MID4
-
T Barkhuizen FWD4
1
-
S Bradley DEF3
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
T Chirewa MID2
1
-