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Portsmouth v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 28th Jan, 19:45 BST, Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Neil Harris pays counterpart John Mousinho a visit on Wednesday evening in the Championship, as their Millwall and Portsmouth teams face each other at the Fratton Park. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Portsmouth and Millwall go head-to-head, with little to choose between the players in terms of who could claim victory. The statistics do not supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.67 with the bookies, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Millwall coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
30%
9/4
5%
11/5
10%
Draw
29%
21/10
9%
21/10
6%
Millwall
41%
13/10
10%
11/8
1%
Millwall 1-0
14%
5/1
25%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Draw 0-0
12%
11/2
41%
11/2
13%
Portsmouth 1-0
11%
13/2
25%
6/1
7%
Millwall 2-0
8%
17/2
14%
8/1
10%
Millwall 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Portsmouth 2-1
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
16%
Portsmouth 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Millwall 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Millwall 3-1
3%
22/1
35%
16/1
Portsmouth 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Portsmouth 3-0
2%
33/125/1
13%
Millwall 3-2
1%
40/1
58%
25/1
13%
Portsmouth 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
6/4
31%
7/5
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/15
20%
8/15
8%
Home 1st Goal
43%
6/4
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
11/2
41%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
11/10
21%
11/10
10%
BTTS - No
57%
4/6
17%
7/10
7%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7/1
33%
6/1
22%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5/1
39%
17/4
9%
Home/draw
59%
4/7
8%
4/7
1%
Away/draw
70%
1/3
2%
1/3
5%
Home/away
71%
4/11
5%
4/11
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
1/2
15%
10/21
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
13/8
25%
6/4
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
4/1
47%
7/2
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/6
12%
2/11
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1
83%
17/2
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20
6%
1/20
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1
77%
18/1
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80
3%
1/300
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10
5%
1/10
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1
36%
11/2
19%
Home DNB
50%
6/5
2%
23/20
5%
Away DNB
61%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
Portsmouth win to nil
19%
4/1
9%
-
Millwall win to nil
27%
12/5
9%
-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
15%
9/24/1
9%
Portsmouth / Millwall
3%
28/1
26%
22/1
10%
Portsmouth / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Portsmouth
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
8%
Draw / Millwall
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
9%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
21%
3/1
13%
Millwall / Portsmouth
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Millwall / Millwall
21%
3/1
11%
14/5
1%
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Portsmouth have conceded 30 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Millwall lay in 10th place on 28 points in the Championship league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Millwall have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Millwall have played 9 away games, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Millwall
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd2215522148 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
l
 
0-1A
Apr 8
2
Leeds2213632645 
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
3
Burnley2212821944 
Feb 1
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 3
4
Sunderland2212731643 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 5
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
5
Blackburn211146737 
Mar 29
Jan 15
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
6
M'Boro2210571035 
Jan 18
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
7
West Brom2281131035 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
8
Watford211047234 
Apr 21
Dec 26
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
9
Sheff Wed22958-232 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
10
Millwall Away21777328 
Jan 28
Apr 5
-
-
11
Swansea22769027 
Jan 1
d
 
2-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
12
Bristol C22697-227 
w
 
3-0F
Dec 29
Mar 1
l
 
4-3A
13
Norwich22688326 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Apr 21
Dec 26
14
QPR225107-525 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
15
Luton227411-1325 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
16
Derby226610-124 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
17
Coventry226610-624 
w
 
4-1A
Apr 9
l
 
0-1A
Dec 29
18
Preston224117-723 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
w
 
3-1F
Feb 8
19
Stoke225710-722 
Jan 22
l
 
6-1A
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
20
Portsmouth Home20488-1020 
-
-
Apr 5
Jan 28
21
Hull224711-1019 
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
22
Cardiff214611-1518 
Feb 11
l
 
2-0A
Jan 21
l
 
1-0A
23
Oxford Utd214611-1618 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Jan 1
d
 
1-1F
24
Plymouth214611-2318 
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 11
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Portsmouth 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Millwall 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portsmouth since 2002
Portsmouth
Millwall
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
POR
2
D
1
MIL
1
League games at Millwall since 2001
Millwall
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
2
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
POR
2
MIL
2
Goal Statistics

Millwall's defensive record is to be admired, Neil Harris's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Portsmouth makes sense in this context.

Portsmouth 20th Millwall 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Portsmouth scoring 1 goal or less
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Portsmouth have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-23
Millwall have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280292/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Millwall
1
1.2
Attack rating
3%
better
POR
MIL
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score7
7
Scored first7
10
Goals scored25
21
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
POR
MIL
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded35
18
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Portsmouth v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19945
C OgilvieC Lang J MurphyA Dozzell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schmid GLK11
-
T Devlin DEF12
-
R Poole DEF16
2
-
M Pack DEF181
4
-
C Ogilvie DEF192
2
-
F Potts MID1511
3
-
A Dozzell MID14
5
-
M Ritchie MID151
2
-
C Lang  MID1692
5
-
J Murphy MID1644
2
-
C Bishop FWD622
-
Subs
J Archer GLK2
-
T Mcintyre DEF12
3
-
O Moxon MID8
2
-
A Kamara MID5
1
-
M O’Mahony FWD92
-
C Saydee FWD172
2
-
E Sørensen FWD91
-
H Blair FWD8
3
-
P Lane FWD171
2
-
Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21336
L JensenR EsseG HoneymanJ Tanganga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jensen GLK21
1
-
R Leonard DEF201
5
-
J Tanganga DEF182
6
-
M Wallace DEF6
-
J Bryan DEF181
5
-
G Saville MID212
4
-
C Norre MID2111
3
-
R Esse MID2031
4
-
T Bradshaw MID81
-
F Azeez MID1712
1
-
J Coburn MID82
-
Subs
L Roberts GLK
-
W Harding DEF
-
D McNamara DEF12
1
-
R Wintle MID13
3
-
G Honeyman MID1913
4
-
B Mitchell MID2
1
-
M Langstaff FWD2012
-
A Emakhu FWD101
1
1
M Ivanovic FWD122
2
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Norwich v Millwall
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Swansea v QPR
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Preston v Hull
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bristol C v Luton
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Watford v Portsmouth
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Oxford Utd v Cardiff
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
M'Boro v Sheff Wed
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Coventry v Plymouth
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Sheff Utd v Burnley
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Blackburn v Sunderland
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Derby v West Brom
Thu 26th Dec, 17:30
Stoke v Leeds
Thu 26th Dec, 20:00
Preston v Sheff Wed
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Sheff Utd v West Brom
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Norwich v QPR
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Swansea v Luton
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Bristol C v Portsmouth
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Watford v Cardiff
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Stoke v Sunderland
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Oxford Utd v Plymouth
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Coventry v Millwall
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Blackburn v Hull
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Derby v Leeds
Sun 29th Dec, 17:45
M'Boro v Burnley
Sun 29th Dec, 20:00
QPR v Watford
Wed 1st Jan, 12:30
Plymouth v Bristol C
Wed 1st Jan, 12:30
Millwall v Oxford Utd
Wed 1st Jan, 13:00
Luton v Norwich
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Cardiff v Coventry
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Burnley v Stoke
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
West Brom v Preston
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Portsmouth v Swansea
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Leeds v Blackburn
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Derby
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Hull v M'Boro
Wed 1st Jan, 17:30
Sunderland v Sheff Utd
Wed 1st Jan, 20:00
Stoke v Plymouth
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Blackburn v Burnley
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Swansea v West Brom
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Hull v Leeds
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Preston v Oxford Utd
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Bristol C v Derby
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Watford v Sheff Utd
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
M'Boro v Cardiff
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Millwall
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Norwich v Coventry
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Sunderland v Portsmouth
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
QPR v Luton
Mon 6th Jan, 20:00