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Portsmouth v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Apr, 15:00 BST, Fratton Park, Portsmouth

the Fratton Park is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as John Mousinho's Portsmouth host John Coleman's Derby County in the Championship. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Portsmouth 59%	-	-
Draw 24%	-	-
Derby 18%	-	-
Portsmouth 1-0 14%	-	-
Portsmouth 2-0 12%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Portsmouth 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	-	-
Portsmouth 3-0 7%	-	-
Derby 1-0 7%	-	-
Portsmouth 3-1 5%	-	-
Derby 2-1 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Portsmouth 4-0 3%	-	-
Derby 2-0 3%	-	-
Portsmouth 4-1 2%	-	-
Portsmouth 3-2 2%	-	-
Derby 3-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 38%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	-	-
BTTS - No 55%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 7%	-	-
Home/draw 83%	-	-
Away/draw 41%	-	-
Home/away 76%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Home DNB 75%	-	-
Away DNB 34%	-	-
Portsmouth win to nil 37%	-	-
Derby win to nil 10%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 39 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Portsmouth have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Portsmouth have played 20 games at home winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Derby are in 20th position in the Championship on 41 points having played 39 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 6 and won 9. Derby have conceded 43 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Portsmouth Derby
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Sheff Utd	39	26	7	6	27	83	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
2	Leeds	39	23	12	4	51	81	w 1-0F	d 3-3A	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
3	Burnley	39	22	15	2	42	81	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F	Apr 8	d 0-00-0
4	Sunderland	39	20	12	7	19	72	l 1-3A	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
5	Coventry	39	17	8	14	5	59	w 4-1A	Apr 9	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
6	West Brom	39	13	18	8	13	57	l 0-3A	l 5-1A	w 2-1F	Apr 21
7	M'Boro	39	16	9	14	10	57	w 2-1A	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
8	Bristol C	39	14	15	10	7	57	w 3-0F	l 3-0A	w 3-0F	l 1-0A
9	Watford	39	15	8	16	-4	53	Apr 21	l 2-1F	l 0-2A	l 2-1F
10	Norwich	39	13	13	13	7	52	d 0-00-0	Apr 18	l 2-3A	d 1-1A
11	Blackburn	39	15	7	17	1	52	w 1-0F	l 3-0A	w 2-1F	l 4-2A
12	Sheff Wed	39	14	10	15	-6	52	l 1-2F	Apr 26	l 1-2F	l 4-2A
13	Millwall	39	13	12	14	-3	51	l 0-1A	Apr 5	l 0-1A	d 1-1F
14	Preston	39	10	17	12	-7	47	w 3-1F	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
15	QPR	39	11	12	16	-8	45	w 2-1F	w 1-2A	w 2-0F	l 4-0A
16	Swansea	39	12	9	18	-11	45	w 4-0F	d 2-2F	l 1-2A	Apr 5
17	Portsmouth Home	39	12	9	18	-14	45	-	-	w 4-0F	Apr 12
18	Stoke	39	10	12	17	-12	42	w 3-1F	l 6-1A	May 3	l 2-1A
19	Oxford Utd	39	10	12	17	-17	42	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
20	Derby Away	39	11	8	20	-9	41	Apr 12	l 4-0A	-	-
21	Hull	39	10	11	18	-9	41	May 3	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	Apr 26
22	Cardiff	39	9	13	17	-20	40	w 2-1F	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	l 2-1A
23	Luton	39	10	8	21	-25	38	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	Apr 18	l 2-1F
24	Plymouth	39	7	13	19	-37	34	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	d 1-1F	w 2-3F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Blackburn
Portsmouth	1 - 2	Plymouth
Portsmouth	1 - 0	Leeds
Portsmouth	2 - 1	QPR
Portsmouth	2 - 1	Cardiff
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Burnley
Portsmouth	0 - 1	Millwall
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Stoke
Portsmouth	2 - 1	M'Boro
Portsmouth	4 - 0	Swansea
Portsmouth	4 - 1	Coventry
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Norwich
Portsmouth	3 - 0	Bristol C
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Preston
Portsmouth	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Sheff Utd
Portsmouth	0 - 3	West Brom
Portsmouth	1 - 3	Sunderland
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Portsmouth	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Preston
H	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Plymouth
H	Portsmouth	1 - 0	Leeds
A	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Luton
H	Portsmouth	2 - 1	QPR
A	Portsmouth	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Portsmouth	2 - 1	Cardiff
A	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Portsmouth	0 - 0	Burnley
H	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Portsmouth	1 - 5	West Brom
H	Portsmouth	3 - 1	Stoke
H	Portsmouth	2 - 1	M'Boro
A	Portsmouth	0 - 3	Blackburn
A	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Portsmouth	4 - 0	Swansea
A	Portsmouth	0 - 3	Bristol C
A	Portsmouth	1 - 2	Watford
H	Portsmouth	4 - 1	Coventry

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth	2 - 3	Derby
M'Boro	1 - 0	Derby
QPR	4 - 0	Derby
Norwich	1 - 1	Derby
Cardiff	2 - 1	Derby
Bristol C	1 - 0	Derby
Sheff Wed	4 - 2	Derby
Luton	2 - 1	Derby
Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
Leeds	2 - 0	Derby
Preston	1 - 1	Derby
Coventry	1 - 2	Derby
Stoke	2 - 1	Derby
Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Derby
Millwall	1 - 1	Derby
Sunderland	2 - 0	Derby
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Derby
Watford	2 - 1	Derby
Blackburn	4 - 2	Derby
Cambridge	0 - 1	Derby

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Derby	2 - 0	Preston
A	Derby	3 - 2	Plymouth
H	Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
H	Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
A	Derby	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Derby	0 - 4	QPR
H	Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Derby	1 - 1	Norwich
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Derby	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Derby	0 - 2	Watford
A	Derby	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Derby	2 - 4	Sheff Wed
H	Derby	0 - 1	Leeds
H	Derby	2 - 1	West Brom
A	Derby	1 - 2	Luton
H	Derby	4 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Derby	0 - 0	Burnley

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby have not lost to Portsmouth in 9 consecutive league meetings

Portsmouth

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

POR

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Derby
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Portsmouth	3 - 1
Portsmouth	6 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Derby
Portsmouth	3 - 2
Portsmouth	3 - 0

Derby

Portsmouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 11

7 / 11

Clean sheets

4 / 11

0 / 11

POR

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby	4 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Derby	3 - 1
Derby	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Portsmouth
Derby	3 - 2
Derby	3 - 0
Derby	1 - 0
	2 - 4	Portsmouth

Goal Statistics

	Portsmouth 17th	Derby 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ There is a 82% probability that Portsmouth will score 1 or more goals	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Portsmouth’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-9 Derby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

better

POR

DER

view stats

Games scored	26		25
Failed to score	13		13
Scored first	15		15
Goals scored	47		40
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+5%

POR

DER

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		30
Clean sheets	9		8
Conceded first	20		21
Goals conceded	61		51
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+2%

Portsmouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	10	10	10
C Ogilvie	C Lang	J Murphy	M Pack

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ogilvie DEF	37	4	1	4 -
M Pack MID	35		1	9 1
J Murphy FWD	35	7	10	6 -
M Ritchie MID	32	4		5 -
A Dozzell MID	32	1	1	9 -
N Schmid GLK	30		1	2 -
F Potts MID	30	1	4	6 -
Z Swanson DEF	28	1	1	4 -
C Lang FWD	28	10	3	10 -
T Devlin MID	27		1	1 -
C Bishop FWD	25	7	3	-
C Saydee FWD	24	2		4 -
P Lane FWD	21	1	1	2 -
R Poole DEF	20			5 -
J Williams DEF	15			6 -
M O’Mahony FWD	12	3		1 -
R Towler DEF	11	1		3 -
I Hayden MID	11			-
K Yengi FWD	11			2 -
C Bramall DEF	9			1 -
R Atkinson DEF	9		1	3 -
A Aouchiche MID	9	1		1 -
H Blair FWD	8			3 -
H. Matthews DEF	6			-
C Shaughnessy DEF	5	1		1 -
A Kamara MID	5			1 -
K Gordon FWD	4			-
T. Waddingham FWD	3	1		1 -
J Archer GLK	2			-
J. Farrell DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	26	10	26
C Lang	J Murphy	J Murphy	J Murphy

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Lang FWD	10	21	3	18
J Murphy FWD	7	26	10	26
C Bishop FWD	7	16	3	9
C Ogilvie DEF	4	9	1	17
M Ritchie MID	4	12		22
M O’Mahony FWD	3	4		2
C Saydee FWD	2	5		4
F Potts MID	1	3	4	21
A Aouchiche MID	1	3
T. Waddingham FWD	1	2
A Dozzell MID	1	3	1	5
P Lane FWD	1	5	1	12
C Shaughnessy DEF	1	2		1
R Towler DEF	1	1
Z Swanson DEF	1	2	1	5
A Kamara MID				1
H. Matthews DEF				1
H Blair FWD		1		1
K Yengi FWD				5
R Atkinson DEF			1	2
M Pack MID		2	1	14
J Williams DEF				2
R Poole DEF		2		1
T Devlin MID		2	1	7
N Schmid GLK			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1317	63	224
M Pack	Z Swanson	C Ogilvie

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Pack MID	1317	32	162
C Ogilvie DEF	1133	33	224
N Schmid GLK	1027		12
F Potts MID	994	51	183
A Dozzell MID	777	45	90
R Poole DEF	752	32	91
Z Swanson DEF	660	63	121
C Bishop FWD	556	23	187
M Ritchie MID	529	32	75
J Murphy FWD	512	32	144
T Devlin MID	445	20	86
J Williams DEF	365	31	57
R Towler DEF	329	10	30
R Atkinson DEF	295	3	54
C Lang FWD	269	26	124
I Hayden MID	234	24	39
P Lane FWD	215	13	37
C Saydee FWD	167	10	41
A Aouchiche MID	160	12	31
C Bramall DEF	124	5	21
C Shaughnessy DEF	124		15
H. Matthews DEF	108	6	19
A Kamara MID	83	4	7
K Yengi FWD	63	3	30
M O’Mahony FWD	63	4	23
J Archer GLK	52
J. Farrell DEF	40	1	4
K Gordon FWD	33	4	7
H Blair FWD	16	4	13
T. Waddingham FWD	2	2	3

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	8	4	10
J Zetterström	J Yates	J Yates	E Adams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Jackson FWD	39	3	2	5 -
J Zetterström GLK	37			1 -
E Adams MID	37	5		10 -
K Goudmijn MID	37	2	2	5 -
J Yates FWD	36	8	4	1 -
M Harness MID	34	4	2	10 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	34	2	4	3 -
C Forsyth DEF	32	3	2	3 -
C Elder DEF	29		3	8 -
C Nelson DEF	27	2	1	3 -
K Wilson DEF	26	2	1	-
N Phillips DEF	25		3	4 -
B Osborn MID	25		1	2 -
L Thompson MID	23		1	5 -
R Nyambe DEF	17			2 -
T Barkhuizen FWD	16			2 -
D Brown FWD	15	1		-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	12	1		1 -
D Ozoh MID	10	1		-
M Clarke DEF	9	1		1 -
H. Armstrong MID	8	1		2 -
L Salvesen FWD	8	1		-
S Langas DEF	7			-
J Ward MID	7			1 -
J Vickers GLK	2			-
K Roofe FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	4	41
J Yates	J Yates	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Yates FWD	8	19	4	12
E Adams MID	5	9		7
M Harness MID	4	7	2	10
K Jackson FWD	3	17	2	13
C Forsyth DEF	3	4	2	7
K Wilson DEF	2	7	1	10
C Nelson DEF	2	9	1	2
N Mendez-Laing FWD	2	11	4	41
K Goudmijn MID	2	8	2	20
D Ozoh MID	1	2
L Salvesen FWD	1	8
H. Armstrong MID	1	1
M Clarke DEF	1	1
D Brown FWD	1	2
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	1	4		7
J Ward MID		1
L Thompson MID		1	1	4
T Barkhuizen FWD		1		1
R Nyambe DEF				1
B Osborn MID			1	25
N Phillips DEF		3	3	3
C Elder DEF		1	3	18

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1082	130	283
E Adams	E Adams	E Adams

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Adams MID	1082	130	283
J Zetterström GLK	979	2	18
C Nelson DEF	966	38	122
C Forsyth DEF	881	25	98
K Goudmijn MID	877	41	102
B Osborn MID	757	35	73
C Elder DEF	756	41	123
N Phillips DEF	648	30	118
N Mendez-Laing FWD	625	44	90
M Harness MID	488	46	102
K Jackson FWD	476	38	125
K Wilson DEF	463	38	118
L Thompson MID	442	21	50
J Yates FWD	426	10	80
R Nyambe DEF	381	29	56
M Clarke DEF	331	18	65
S Langas DEF	275	14	32
D Ozoh MID	222	37	64
T Barkhuizen FWD	136	7	17
H. Armstrong MID	134	12	25
L Salvesen FWD	79	4	22
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	73	2	24
J Vickers GLK	57		1
D Brown FWD	53	4	20
J Ward MID	49	2	4
K Roofe FWD	3		2

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Blackburn v M'Boro

Fri 4th Apr, 20:00

West Brom v Sunderland

Oxford Utd v Sheff Utd

Sat 5th Apr, 15:00

Millwall v Portsmouth

Bristol C v West Brom

Tue 8th Apr, 19:45

Blackburn v Sheff Wed

Coventry v Portsmouth

Sheff Wed v Oxford Utd

Portsmouth v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Portsmouth have played 39 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Derby are in 20th position in the Championship on 41 points having played 39 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Portsmouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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