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Portsmouth v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fratton Park, Portsmouth

John Mousinho's Portsmouth side will have home backing in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Scott Parker's Burnley travel to the Fratton Park. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

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Portsmouth's next match is v Sheff Utd at 15:00 on Saturday 8th February
Burnley's next match is v Southampton at 15:00 on Saturday 8th February
The last English Championship meeting between Portsmouth and Burnley was on Saturday 1st February 2025
English Championship
February 1st 2025
Portsmouth 0
0 Burnley
 
POR
BRN
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
10
5
Corners
3
3
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
PortsmouthBurnley
 
N. Schmid
C. Ogilvie
C. Shaughnessy (H. Matthews 71')
R. Atkinson
Z. Swanson (T. Devlin 87')
A. Dozzell
M. Ritchie (C. Bramall 86')
F. Potts (I. Hayden 65')
J. Murphy
C. Bishop
C. Lang
J. Trafford
L. Pires Silva
C. Roberts
M. Esteve
C. Egan Riley
(H. Mejbri 58') J. Sarmiento
(A. Barnes 90') Z. Flemming
J. Cullen
J. Laurent
J. Anthony
L. Foster

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Portsmouth and Burnley combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Burnley coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portsmouth
33%
31/10
25%
29/10
26%
Draw
28%
21/10
11%
11/5
16%
Burnley
39%
1/1
20%
21/20
23%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
14%
5/1
14%
Burnley 1-0
12%
5/1
8%
9/2
4%
Portsmouth 1-0
11%
8/1
31%
7/1
27%
Draw 0-0
10%
11/2
28%
11/2
24%
Burnley 2-1
8%
17/2
12%
15/2
13%
Burnley 2-0
7%
15/2
21%
7/1
14%
Portsmouth 2-1
7%
14/1
21%
11/1
8%
Portsmouth 2-0
6%
18/1
34%
14/1
21%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Burnley 3-1
3%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
Burnley 3-0
3%
16/1
42%
14/1
36%
Portsmouth 3-1
3%
40/125/1
10%
Portsmouth 3-0
2%
40/1
39%
33/1
17%
Burnley 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Portsmouth 3-2
2%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
6/4
25%
11/8
22%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/15
15%
8/15
13%
Home 1st Goal
46%
7/4
19%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/13
13%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
11/2
28%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
BTTS - No
53%
4/6
3%
13/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/1
17%
7/1
11%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4/1
25%
19/5
30%
Home/draw
61%
4/5
16%
3/4
20%
Away/draw
67%
2/9
7%
1/4
9%
Home/away
72%
4/11
5%
1/3
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/2
13%
10/21
11%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
13/8
23%
6/4
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
7/2
20%
7/2
32%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/5
7%
2/11
9%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
57%
8/1
38%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
5%
1/20
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
40%
18/1
46%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
2%
1/200
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10
3%
1/11
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1
22%
11/2
24%
Home DNB
52%
7/4
36%
17/10
27%
Away DNB
59%
2/5
17%
2/5
12%
Portsmouth win to nil
20%
5/1
40%
-
Burnley win to nil
24%
2/1
20%
-
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
12%
6/1
26%
5/1
25%
Portsmouth / Burnley
3%
28/1
26%
22/1
21%
Portsmouth / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Draw / Portsmouth
10%
7/1
27%
13/2
21%
Draw / Burnley
17%
15/4
10%
18/5
10%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
21%
16/5
16%
Burnley / Portsmouth
2%
40/128/1
15%
Burnley / Burnley
25%
12/5
31%
9/4
30%
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Portsmouth have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 7 and won 7. Portsmouth have conceded 47 goals, scored 36, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Portsmouth have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Burnley lay in 3rd place on 57 points in the Championship league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 11 and losing 2 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burnley have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 10 matches.

Away league performance

Burnley have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Portsmouth
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3018934163 
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
2
Burnley Away31161322861 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
-
-
3
Sheff Utd3019652061 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
4
Sunderland30161041958 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
5
Blackburn3113612445 
Mar 29
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
6
West Brom30101461244 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
7
M'Boro30128101044 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Norwich3011910742 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
9
Bristol C3010128342 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
10
Sheff Wed3011910-342 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
11
Coventry3011811341 
w
 
4-1A
Apr 9
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
12
Watford3012513-241 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
13
QPR31101110-541 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
14
Millwall30101010340 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
May 3
l
 
1-0A
15
Preston308139-537 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
16
Oxford Utd3191012-1137 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Swansea309714-1034 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
18
Stoke3071112-932 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
6-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
19
Cardiff3071013-1831 
Feb 11
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
20
Portsmouth Home307914-1630 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
21
Hull307815-929 
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
22
Derby307617-927 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
23
Luton307617-1927 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
24
Plymouth3051015-3425 
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Portsmouth 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portsmouth since 2001
Portsmouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
POR
3
D
1
BRN
2
League games at Burnley since 2000
Burnley
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
2 / 7
POR
3
D
3
BRN
1
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is to be admired, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 29 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Portsmouth makes sense in this context.

Portsmouth 20th Burnley 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
Portsmouth have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Burnley have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280445/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portsmouth
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
POR
BRN
1%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score10
10
Scored first9
13
Goals scored32
31
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
POR
BRN
62%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
9
Clean sheets5
18
Conceded first14
6
Goals conceded45
9
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
20
Conversion rate against17%
5%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+62%

Portsmouth v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2910510
C OgilvieC Lang J MurphyM Pack
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schmid GLK211
2
-
Z Swanson DEF2011
3
-
C Shaughnessy DEF4
1
-
R Atkinson DEF5
2
-
C Ogilvie DEF293
2
-
A Dozzell MID24
7
-
F Potts MID2514
4
-
J Murphy MID2655
5
-
C Lang  MID26103
9
-
M Ritchie MID253
4
-
C Bishop FWD1642
-
Subs
J Archer GLK2
-
H. Matthews DEF2
-
C Bramall DEF1
-
M Pack MID271
9
1
T Devlin MID20
1
-
I Hayden MID6
-
C Saydee FWD232
2
-
T. Waddingham FWD21
-
H Blair FWD8
3
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31639
M EstèveZ FlemmingC RobertsJ Cullen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK30
7
-
C Roberts DEF2613
4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF261
6
-
M Estève DEF31
2
-
L Pires DEF212
3
-
J Cullen MID2911
9
-
J Laurent MID2721
3
-
J Anthony MID2832
4
-
J Sarmiento  MID242
2
-
L Foster MID1712
3
-
Z Flemming FWD2261
1
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK1
-
J Egan DEF7
-
O Sonne DEF1
-
J Worrall DEF51
1
-
B Humphreys DEF232
2
1
H Mejbri MID231
6
1
J Shelvey MID1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
A Barnes FWD3
-