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Plymouth Argyle v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Home Park, Plymouth

Derby County are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager John Coleman takes his team to visit Plymouth Argyle and Leonid Kuchuk at the Home Park in the Championship. Championship stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Plymouth or Derby are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Plymouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Plymouth
43%
2.752.75
5%
Draw
25%
3.303.30
3%
Derby
32%
2.502.60
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Plymouth 2-1
9%
10.009.00
Plymouth 1-0
9%
8.507.50
Derby 2-1
8%
10.009.00
Derby 1-0
8%
8.507.50
Plymouth 2-0
7%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
6%
9.508.00
6%
Derby 2-0
5%
13.0011.00
Plymouth 3-1
5%
21.0017.00
Plymouth 3-0
4%
26.0021.00
11%
Derby 3-1
3%
21.0017.00
Plymouth 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Derby 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Derby 3-0
2%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
2.002.00
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.801.73
1%
Home 1st Goal
50%
2.00-
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.00-
No 1st Goal
3%
9.50-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.801.80
BTTS - No
43%
1.911.91
2%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
5.505.25
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.505.00
Home/draw
68%
1.501.50
1%
Away/draw
57%
1.401.44
3%
Home/away
75%
1.331.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.403.10
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.503.50
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.301.29
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.101.09
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9.508.00
6%
Home DNB
60%
1.831.91
3%
Away DNB
50%
1.831.80
2%
Plymouth win to nil
21%
4.33-
Derby win to nil
16%
4.33-
Plymouth / Plymouth
19%
4.334.33
3%
Plymouth / Derby
3%
29.0021.00
Plymouth / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Plymouth
13%
6.006.00
4%
Draw / Derby
14%
6.005.75
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.60
Derby / Plymouth
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Derby / Derby
19%
4.334.00
Derby / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Plymouth have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

36 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 12 and won 6. Plymouth have conceded 73 goals, scored 36, failed to score in 17 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Plymouth have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 30 goals, conceded 31 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 22nd place on 35 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches. Derby are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams below them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 0, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 2 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 3 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derby have played 18 away games, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 12 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Plymouth
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3724762477 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
Leeds36221044976 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
3
Burnley37201523975 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland37191262169 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
West Brom37131771456 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
6
Coventry3716813456 
Apr 21
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
7
Bristol C3713159754 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
M'Boro3715814953 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Blackburn3615714452 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
10
Sheff Wed3714914-551 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
11
Norwich37121312749 
Apr 5
l
 
6-1A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
12
Watford3614715-449 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
13
Millwall36121212-148 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
14
QPR37111115-644 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
15
Preston3791711-644 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 26
Apr 2
d
 
1-1A
16
Swansea3612816-844 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 9
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
17
Portsmouth3611916-1342 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
18
Oxford Utd3691215-1639 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
19
Hull3691017-937 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
20
Stoke3681216-1436 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
2-1A
21
Cardiff3781217-2136 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
22
Derby Away379820-1235 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
-
-
23
Luton379721-2634 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
24
Plymouth Home3661218-3730 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
10
Derby have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
Plymouth 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Plymouth0 - 3Sheff Wed
Plymouth1 - 1Cardiff
Plymouth5 - 1Millwall
Plymouth2 - 1West Brom
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Plymouth0 - 1QPR
Plymouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
Plymouth2 - 2Bristol C
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Plymouth1 - 2Swansea
Plymouth2 - 2Watford
Plymouth1 - 0Portsmouth
Plymouth3 - 3Preston
Plymouth2 - 1Blackburn
Plymouth3 - 1Luton
Plymouth3 - 2Sunderland
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Plymouth1 - 1Hull
Plymouth1 - 0Hull
Plymouth1 - 0Leicester
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPlymouth0 - 3Sheff Wed
APlymouth0 - 2Hull
HPlymouth1 - 1Cardiff
APlymouth1 - 1Luton
APlymouth0 - 2Blackburn
HPlymouth5 - 1Millwall
HPlymouth2 - 1West Brom
APlymouth2 - 2Sunderland
HPlymouth0 - 5Burnley
HPlymouth0 - 1QPR
HPlymouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
APlymouth0 - 0Stoke
HPlymouth2 - 2Bristol C
APlymouth0 - 2Oxford Utd
APlymouth0 - 4Coventry
HPlymouth3 - 3M'Boro
APlymouth0 - 2Sheff Utd
HPlymouth1 - 2Swansea
APlymouth0 - 4Bristol C
APlymouth1 - 6Norwich
Derby 22ND
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Watford2 - 1Derby
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Cambridge0 - 1Derby
Wycombe0 - 0Derby
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Norwich
HDerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
ADerby1 - 2Cardiff
HDerby0 - 1Sunderland
HDerby0 - 2Watford
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
HDerby2 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 2Luton
HDerby4 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 2Leeds
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Plymouth since 2004
Plymouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
PLY
3
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
Plymouth2 - 1
Plymouth1 - 0
0 - 3Derby
Plymouth3 - 1
0 - 2Derby
0 - 2Derby
League games at Derby since 2005
Derby
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
10
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
PLY
1
D
1
DER
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Plymouth
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Derby1 - 0
Derby1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Plymouth 24th Derby 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Plymouth will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Plymouth have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Derby have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280539/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Plymouth
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
PLY
DER
11%
better
view stats
Games scored19
23
Failed to score17
13
Scored first7
13
Goals scored36
35
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
PLY
DER
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
29
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first28
21
Goals conceded73
49
Avg. goals conceded2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
17%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+28%

Plymouth v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31549
A RandellR HardieM BunduD Gyabi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gyabi MID3412
9
-
B Mumba DEF331
3
-
A Randell MID3111
6
-
R Hajj MID273
1
-
R Hardie FWD2752
-
M Bundu FWD2744
3
-
K. Szűcs DEF261
7
-
C Wright MID25
1
M Obafemi FWD232
-
J Houghton MID22
2
-
D Grimshaw GLK211
2
-
M Sorinola DEF20
8
-
V Pálsson DEF181
1
-
J Pleguezuelo DEF161
3
-
C Hazard GLK15
2
-
F Issaka FWD151
1
N Ogbeta DEF1411
1
-
B Galloway DEF13
-
J Edwards DEF111
4
-
T Puchacz DEF101
1
-
M Baidoo MID8
-
M Taloverov DEF71
3
-
N Katic DEF71
2
-
M Tijani FWD711
1
-
C Roberts MID4
2
-
M Boateng MID3
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
357410
J ZetterströmJ YatesJ YatesM Harness
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Jackson FWD3732
5
-
K Goudmijn MID3622
5
-
J Zetterström GLK35
1
-
E Adams MID355
9
-
J Yates FWD3474
1
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3424
3
-
M Harness MID3222
10
-
C Forsyth DEF3022
3
-
C Nelson DEF2721
3
-
C Elder DEF272
8
-
B Osborn MID251
2
-
K Wilson DEF2421
-
N Phillips DEF23
3
-
L Thompson MID211
3
-
R Nyambe DEF16
2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD16
2
-
D Brown FWD151
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD121
1
-
D Ozoh MID101
-
L Salvesen FWD81
-
M Clarke DEF71
1
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
S Langas DEF6
-
H. Armstrong MID6
2
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
K Roofe FWD2
-