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Norwich City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 12:30 BST, Carrow Road, Norwich

Saturday lunch time sees Johannes Hoff Thorup’s Norwich City and Tom Cleverley’s Watford go up against one another in a Championship battle at the Carrow Road. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Championship match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Norwich and Watford will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Norwich are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Norwich
45%
2.15
10%
2.15
Draw
25%
3.503.50
3%
Watford
30%
3.20
15%
3.25
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.50
Norwich 1-0
10%
8.007.50
Norwich 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Watford 1-0
8%
10.00
17%
9.00
5%
Norwich 2-0
7%
11.00
16%
9.50
5%
Watford 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
Draw 0-0
6%
11.009.00
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Norwich 3-1
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Watford 2-0
5%
17.00
19%
13.00
Norwich 3-0
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
Watford 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
Norwich 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
Watford 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
10%
Watford 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.91
6%
1.85
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1.91
5%
1.85
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.67
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.30
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.73
4%
1.73
4%
BTTS - No
44%
2.00
5%
2.00
5%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.33
15%
4.00
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.00
14%
5.75
10%
Home/draw
70%
1.36
9%
1.33
1%
Away/draw
55%
1.67
7%
1.67
Home/away
75%
1.291.30
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.29
3%
1.29
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3.75
6%
3.40
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.40
6%
3.10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.00
9%
5.75
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.12
2%
1.11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.00
18%
11.00
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
1.03
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.051.05
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.009.00
10%
Home DNB
62%
1.57
12%
1.55
1%
Away DNB
48%
2.25
18%
2.30
2%
Norwich win to nil
23%
3.75
7%
-
Watford win to nil
15%
6.00
14%
-
Norwich / Norwich
23%
3.50
13%
3.40
3%
Norwich / Watford
3%
29.0023.00
Norwich / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Norwich
15%
5.50
10%
5.00
5%
Draw / Watford
11%
7.00
13%
7.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
4%
Watford / Norwich
4%
23.0019.00
Watford / Watford
15%
5.50
8%
5.00
4%
Watford / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Norwich
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Watford
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 29
Nov 23
 West Brom5410713 
Dec 15
Apr 12
Apr 8
Dec 21
 Sunderland5401812 
Sep 28
Feb 8
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
 Blackburn5320611 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Dec 15
Apr 12
 Burnley5311810 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Sep 21
Feb 1
 Watford Away5311410 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
 Sheff Utd532059 
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
 Oxford Utd530239 
Nov 8
Mar 15
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Derby530229 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
Oct 1
Jan 22
 Leeds522138 
Feb 11
Oct 22
Oct 27
Apr 26
 M'Boro522128 
Oct 5
Feb 15
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
 Swansea521227 
Mar 12
Nov 5
Dec 29
Dec 7
 QPR5131-16 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Oct 5
Feb 15
 Hull6132-26 
Apr 8
Dec 11
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Stoke6204-56 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
 Coventry5122-15 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
-
-
 Norwich Home5122-25 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Nov 26
Apr 5
 Plymouth5122-45 
Mar 29
Nov 22
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Bristol C5122-55 
Nov 26
Apr 5
Dec 26
Apr 21
 Millwall511304 
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
Nov 30
Jan 1
 Luton5113-44 
Feb 22
Oct 19
Mar 12
Nov 5
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
May 3
Nov 2
Feb 11
Oct 22
 Preston5113-64 
Jan 21
Oct 2
Apr 18
Dec 10
 Portsmouth5032-53 
Dec 26
Apr 21
May 3
Nov 2
 Cardiff5014-101 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Win / draw / win form
5
Norwich have drawn 5 consecutive home league games
18
Norwich have not lost in 18 consecutive home league games
Norwich 16TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich1 - 1Sheff Utd
Norwich2 - 2Blackburn
Norwich0 - 0Leeds
Norwich2 - 2Swansea
Norwich1 - 1Bristol C
Norwich1 - 0Ipswich
Norwich2 - 1Plymouth
Norwich5 - 0Rotherham
Norwich1 - 0Sunderland
Norwich4 - 1Cardiff
Norwich4 - 2Watford
Norwich2 - 1Coventry
Norwich2 - 0West Brom
Norwich1 - 1Southampton
Norwich2 - 0Huddersfield
Norwich3 - 1Sheff Wed
Norwich0 - 0Preston
Norwich1 - 0QPR
Norwich1 - 3Blackburn
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorwich0 - 1Swansea
ANorwich1 - 0Coventry
HNorwich1 - 1Sheff Utd
HNorwich2 - 2Blackburn
ANorwich0 - 2Oxford Utd
ANorwich0 - 4Leeds
HNorwich0 - 0Leeds
ANorwich0 - 1Birmingham
HNorwich2 - 2Swansea
HNorwich1 - 1Bristol C
ANorwich1 - 0Preston
ANorwich2 - 2Sheff Wed
HNorwich1 - 0Ipswich
ANorwich1 - 3Leicester
HNorwich2 - 1Plymouth
ANorwich3 - 0Stoke
HNorwich5 - 0Rotherham
ANorwich1 - 3M'Boro
HNorwich1 - 0Sunderland
ANorwich1 - 1Blackburn
Watford 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Utd1 - 0Watford
Millwall2 - 3Watford
M'Boro3 - 1Watford
Southampton3 - 2Watford
Ipswich0 - 0Watford
West Brom2 - 2Watford
Birmingham0 - 1Watford
Millwall1 - 0Watford
Rotherham0 - 1Watford
Norwich4 - 2Watford
Sheff Wed0 - 0Watford
Bristol C1 - 1Watford
QPR1 - 2Watford
Plymouth3 - 3Watford
Blackburn1 - 2Watford
Preston1 - 5Watford
Hull1 - 2Watford
Leicester2 - 0Watford
Huddersfield0 - 0Watford
Swansea0 - 1Watford
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWatford1 - 1Coventry
AWatford0 - 1Sheff Utd
HWatford2 - 1Derby
HWatford3 - 0Stoke
AWatford3 - 2Millwall
AWatford1 - 3M'Boro
HWatford1 - 0Sunderland
HWatford0 - 0Hull
AWatford2 - 3Southampton
AWatford0 - 0Ipswich
HWatford0 - 0Preston
AWatford2 - 2West Brom
HWatford2 - 2Leeds
AWatford1 - 0Birmingham
HWatford1 - 2Coventry
HWatford1 - 1Swansea
AWatford0 - 1Millwall
HWatford1 - 2Huddersfield
AWatford1 - 0Rotherham
AWatford2 - 4Norwich
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Norwich since 1998
Norwich
Watford
Goals: Scored
30
25
Games: Scored
13 / 16
13 / 16
Clean sheets
3 / 16
3 / 16
NOR
7
D
1
WAT
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Norwich
Norwich4 - 2
0 - 1Watford
1 - 3Watford
0 - 1Watford
0 - 2Watford
Norwich4 - 2
Norwich3 - 0
2 - 3Watford
Norwich2 - 0
1 - 3Watford
2 - 3Watford
1 - 2Watford
Norwich4 - 0
Norwich3 - 1
Norwich2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Watford since 1998
Watford
Norwich
Goals: Scored
27
21
Games: Scored
14 / 16
14 / 16
Clean sheets
2 / 16
2 / 16
NOR
3
D
3
WAT
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Watford3 - 2
Watford2 - 1
0 - 3Norwich
Watford1 - 0
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 0
0 - 3Norwich
Draw2 - 2Draw
Watford2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Watford2 - 1
1 - 2Norwich
Watford2 - 1
Watford2 - 1
Watford4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Norwich 16th Watford 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Norwich will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Norwich have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+12
Watford have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280154/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Norwich
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
NOR
WAT
33%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score2
1
Scored first2
2
Goals scored4
9
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
NOR
WAT
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded6
5
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%

Norwich v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Norwich Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
A GunnJ SargentC DoyleC Doyle
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gunn GLK5
1
-
C Doyle DEF51
2
-
S Duffy DEF5
2
-
J Stacey DEF5
2
-
L Gibbs MID5
-
A Forson MID51
1
-
K McLean MID5
2
-
M Espinoza MID5
2
-
J Sargent FWD521
1
-
B Sainz FWD52
1
-
B Chrisene DEF4
-
O Hernández FWD4
-
J Córdoba DEF3
-
A. Crnac FWD3
-
O Schwartau FWD2
-
G Hanley DEF1
-
K. Fisher DEF1
-
J Sörensen MID1
1
-
A Slimane MID1
1
-
C Fassnacht FWD1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5323
D BachmannE KayembeG ChakvetadzeF Carvallo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bachmann GLK5
-
M Pollock DEF51
1
-
R Andrews DEF51
-
F Carvallo DEF5
3
-
M Sissoko MID51
1
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID51
-
G Chakvetadze MID512
1
-
E Kayembe MID53
-
V Bayo FWD51
1
-
Y Larouci DEF4
-
J Morris DEF4
-
K Sema FWD4
-
R Porteous DEF3
1
-
M Rajovic FWD31
2
-
K Baah FWD3
-
J Ngakia DEF2
-
T Ince FWD2
-
D Jebbison FWD2
1
-
F Ebosele DEF1
-
I Louza  MID1
-
R Vata FWD1
-