Norwich City's team badge Derby County's team badge

Norwich City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 15:00 BST, Carrow Road, Norwich

Derby County pay Championship rivals Norwich City a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Paul Warne leads his side into an away clash with Johannes Hoff Thorup & co. at the Carrow Road. For each and every Championship preview, KickOff explores the statistics for multiple markets. Key stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Championship fixture, with Norwich and Derby going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the popular 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Norwich are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Norwich
59%
8/114/5
4%
Draw
21%
14/513/5
5%
Derby
20%
7/218/5
Norwich 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
13/211/2
7%
Norwich 2-0
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
Norwich 1-0
9%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Norwich 3-1
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Norwich 3-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Derby 2-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Derby 1-0
5%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
4%
10/1
8%
15/2
15%
Norwich 3-2
4%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
Norwich 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Norwich 4-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Derby 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
18/1
Derby 3-2
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
10/11
6%
10/11
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
10/11
5%
4/5
10%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
5/6
6%
17/20
6%
BTTS - No
42%
5/6
9%
17/20
8%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
11/4
7%
27/10
9%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Home/draw
80%
2/111/5
Away/draw
41%
21/201/1
2%
Home/away
79%
1/42/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
3/10
4%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5/2
13%
9/4
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
12/5
13%
9/4
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/3
5%
3/10
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/2
18%
5/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/9
3%
1/10
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
12/1
18%
11/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/25
1%
1/40
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/20
1%
1/18
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/1
8%
15/2
15%
Home DNB
74%
1/3
2%
3/10
1%
Away DNB
34%
9/4
4%
11/5
3%
Norwich win to nil
29%
7/4
8%
-
Derby win to nil
9%
6/1
13%
-
Norwich / Norwich
29%
7/47/4
5%
Norwich / Derby
3%
33/128/1
Norwich / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Norwich
18%
7/217/5
Draw / Derby
9%
17/215/2
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
4/1
9%
Derby / Norwich
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Derby / Derby
11%
13/26/1
Derby / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Championship table

Norwich have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Norwich have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Norwich have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 19 goals at home.

Derby are in 22nd position in the Championship on 27 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 5 and won 7. Derby have conceded 38 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Norwich
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3018934163 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Sheff Utd3019652061 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley30151322758 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland30161041958 
Apr 8
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Blackburn3013611545 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
6
West Brom30101461244 
Mar 29
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
7
M'Boro30128101044 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
8
Norwich Home3011910742 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
9
Bristol C3010128342 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 15
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Sheff Wed3011910-342 
Mar 12
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
11
Coventry3011811341 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
12
Watford3012513-241 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
13
Millwall30101010340 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
14
QPR3091110-638 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
15
Preston308139-537 
Feb 11
d
 
2-2A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
16
Oxford Utd3091011-1037 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
17
Swansea309714-1034 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
18
Stoke3071112-932 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
May 3
l
 
2-1A
19
Cardiff3071013-1831 
May 3
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
20
Portsmouth307914-1630 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
21
Hull307815-929 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
22
Derby Away307617-927 
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
-
-
23
Luton307617-1927 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
24
Plymouth3051015-3425 
w
 
6-1F
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
7
Derby have lost 7 consecutive league games
7
Derby have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Norwich 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich5 - 1Swansea
Norwich2 - 1Coventry
Norwich1 - 1QPR
Norwich2 - 1Millwall
Norwich1 - 2Burnley
Norwich4 - 2Luton
Norwich6 - 1Plymouth
Norwich0 - 2Bristol C
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Norwich4 - 0Hull
Norwich1 - 1Leeds
Norwich4 - 1Watford
Norwich1 - 1Sheff Utd
Norwich2 - 2Blackburn
Norwich0 - 0Leeds
Norwich2 - 2Swansea
Norwich1 - 1Bristol C
Norwich1 - 0Ipswich
Norwich2 - 1Plymouth
Norwich5 - 0Rotherham
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorwich1 - 0Watford
HNorwich5 - 1Swansea
ANorwich0 - 2Leeds
ANorwich0 - 2Sheff Utd
HNorwich2 - 1Coventry
ANorwich1 - 0Luton
HNorwich1 - 1QPR
HNorwich2 - 1Millwall
ANorwich1 - 2Sunderland
HNorwich1 - 2Burnley
ANorwich0 - 0Portsmouth
ANorwich0 - 3QPR
HNorwich4 - 2Luton
HNorwich6 - 1Plymouth
ANorwich2 - 2West Brom
HNorwich0 - 2Bristol C
ANorwich0 - 2Sheff Wed
ANorwich1 - 2Cardiff
HNorwich3 - 3M'Boro
ANorwich2 - 2Preston
Derby 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Watford2 - 1Derby
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Cambridge0 - 1Derby
Wycombe0 - 0Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Northampton1 - 0Derby
Bristol R0 - 3Derby
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
ADerby1 - 2Cardiff
HDerby0 - 1Sunderland
HDerby0 - 2Watford
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
HDerby2 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 2Luton
HDerby4 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 2Leeds
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 2Swansea
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Derby have beaten Norwich in 3 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Norwich since 1996
Norwich
Derby
Goals: Scored
19
15
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
NOR
6
D
1
DER
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Norwich
0 - 1Derby
3 - 4Derby
1 - 2Derby
Norwich3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Norwich3 - 2
1 - 2Derby
1 - 2Derby
Norwich2 - 0
Norwich2 - 1
Norwich1 - 0
Norwich1 - 0
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Norwich
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
10 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
3 / 13
NOR
4
D
4
DER
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
2 - 3Norwich
0 - 1Norwich
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Norwich
Derby3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby2 - 0
0 - 4Norwich
Derby2 - 1
Derby2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Derby County of late. It has been 5 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Norwich City.

Norwich 8th Derby 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Norwich will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+33
Norwich have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted
-12
Derby have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280454/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Norwich
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
2
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
NOR
DER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
NOR
DER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Norwich v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Norwich Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3015611
C DoyleB SainzC DoyleC Doyle
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Doyle DEF3016
11
-
S Duffy DEF302
4
-
J Stacey DEF285
3
-
A. Crnac FWD2853
1
-
B Sainz FWD26153
4
-
K. Fisher DEF251
6
-
O Schwartau FWD251
4
-
A Gunn GLK24
1
-
B Chrisene DEF221
2
-
E Marcondes MID2244
5
-
K McLean MID223
4
1
J Córdoba DEF201
4
2
M Espinoza MID1941
5
-
A Slimane MID182
5
-
A Forson MID1722
1
-
O Hernández FWD173
1
-
J Sargent FWD1675
1
-
J Sörensen MID13
2
-
G Long GLK7
-
L Gibbs MID7
-
G Forsyth MID5
-
L Dobbin FWD51
1
-
B Hills DEF3
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28648
J ZetterströmJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mendez-Laing FWD3024
2
-
K Jackson FWD3032
4
-
K Goudmijn MID2922
4
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
E Adams MID284
8
-
C Nelson DEF2721
3
-
J Yates FWD2763
1
-
C Forsyth DEF2612
2
-
M Harness MID2511
8
-
K Wilson DEF2321
-
C Elder DEF211
8
-
B Osborn MID211
2
-
N Phillips DEF19
2
-
L Thompson MID17
3
-
D Brown FWD151
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD121
1
-
T Barkhuizen FWD12
1
-
R Nyambe DEF11
1
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
D Ozoh MID71
-
L Salvesen FWD31
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
M Clarke DEF1
-