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Millwall v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 12:30 BST, The Den, London

Saturday lunch time at The Den, and it’s a Championship showdown between Millwall and Stoke City. Cenk Laleci and Mark Warburton will be doing all they can to ensure victory. All of the key stats for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Millwall and Stoke have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday lunch time, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Millwall are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
46%
19/201/1
3%
Draw
27%
12/512/5
3%
Stoke
28%
29/1014/5
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
8%
Millwall 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Millwall 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Stoke 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Millwall 2-0
9%
8/115/2
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
8/17/1
Stoke 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Stoke 2-0
5%
18/114/1
Millwall 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Millwall 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Stoke 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Millwall 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Stoke 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Stoke 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
8/117/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/610/11
BTTS - No
51%
5/65/6
BTTS - Home Win
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/16/1
Home/draw
72%
1/41/4
Away/draw
54%
4/54/5
Home/away
73%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/37/20
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/413/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/101/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/114/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/66
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/17/1
Home DNB
64%
2/54/9
3%
Away DNB
46%
7/413/8
3%
Millwall win to nil
27%
9/4-
Stoke win to nil
16%
11/2-
Millwall / Millwall
25%
11/521/10
Millwall / Stoke
3%
33/125/1
Millwall / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Millwall
17%
15/419/5
4%
Draw / Stoke
10%
7/113/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
4%
Stoke / Millwall
4%
22/120/1
11%
Stoke / Stoke
13%
11/219/4
4%
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Both Millwall and Stoke City have scored 36 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 18 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Stoke are in 20th position in the Championship on 36 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 10 and won 6. Stoke have conceded 45 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3724762477 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 8
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
2
Leeds36221044976 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
l
 
0-2A
Apr 21
3
Burnley37201523975 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland37191262169 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
5
West Brom37131771456 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
6
Coventry3716813456 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
7
Bristol C3713159754 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
8
M'Boro3715814953 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
9
Blackburn3615714452 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
Mar 12
w
 
0-2F
10
Sheff Wed3714914-551 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
11
Norwich37121312749 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-2A
12
Watford3614715-449 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
13
Millwall Home36121212-148 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
14
QPR37111115-644 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston3791711-644 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
16
Swansea3612816-844 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Portsmouth3611916-1342 
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-1F
l
 
3-1A
18
Oxford Utd3691215-1639 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
19
Hull3691017-937 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3F
w
 
1-2A
20
Stoke Away3681216-1436 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
-
-
21
Cardiff3781217-2136 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
22
Derby379820-1235 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 3
23
Luton379721-2634 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 8
l
 
2-1F
24
Plymouth3661218-3730 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Stoke have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Millwall 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall0 - 2Bristol C
Millwall1 - 1West Brom
Millwall2 - 1QPR
Millwall2 - 2Cardiff
Millwall0 - 1Hull
Millwall0 - 1Oxford Utd
Millwall1 - 0Blackburn
Millwall0 - 1Sheff Utd
Millwall0 - 1Coventry
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Millwall1 - 0Leeds
Millwall1 - 0Burnley
Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Millwall3 - 1Preston
Millwall0 - 1Luton
Millwall3 - 0Sheff Wed
Millwall2 - 3Watford
Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Millwall3 - 1Cardiff
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMillwall2 - 1Watford
HMillwall0 - 2Bristol C
AMillwall1 - 0Derby
AMillwall1 - 1Preston
HMillwall1 - 1West Brom
AMillwall1 - 5Plymouth
HMillwall2 - 1QPR
AMillwall1 - 0Portsmouth
AMillwall1 - 0Luton
HMillwall2 - 2Cardiff
HMillwall0 - 1Hull
AMillwall2 - 2Sheff Wed
HMillwall0 - 1Oxford Utd
AMillwall0 - 0Coventry
AMillwall1 - 2Norwich
HMillwall1 - 0Blackburn
AMillwall0 - 1M'Boro
HMillwall0 - 1Sheff Utd
HMillwall0 - 1Coventry
AMillwall1 - 1Oxford Utd
Stoke 20TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Coventry3 - 2Stoke
Norwich4 - 2Stoke
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Hull1 - 2Stoke
Portsmouth3 - 1Stoke
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Sheff Wed2 - 0Stoke
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Sunderland2 - 1Stoke
QPR1 - 1Stoke
Blackburn0 - 2Stoke
Sheff Utd2 - 0Stoke
Swansea0 - 0Stoke
M'Boro2 - 0Stoke
Oxford Utd1 - 0Stoke
Plymouth0 - 1Stoke
Watford3 - 0Stoke
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Sheff Wed1 - 1Stoke
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke2 - 3Coventry
HStoke0 - 0Watford
HStoke1 - 3M'Boro
AStoke2 - 4Norwich
HStoke3 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 2Bristol C
AStoke2 - 1Hull
HStoke0 - 0Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 3Portsmouth
AStoke1 - 1West Brom
HStoke0 - 0Plymouth
AStoke0 - 0Burnley
HStoke1 - 0Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Leeds
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Wed
HStoke2 - 2Cardiff
AStoke1 - 2Luton
AStoke1 - 2Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Burnley
HStoke0 - 0Preston
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Millwall have beaten Stoke in 3 consecutive home league meetings
6
Millwall have not lost to Stoke in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Millwall since 2003
Millwall
Stoke
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
6 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
4 / 10
MIL
5
D
3
STK
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall1 - 0
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
Millwall3 - 1
League games at Stoke since 1999
Stoke
Millwall
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
5 / 12
MIL
3
D
4
STK
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Stoke3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Millwall 13th Stoke 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Millwall will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Millwall’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
Stoke have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280537/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.4
1
Attack rating
7%
better
MIL
STK
view stats
Games scored25
22
Failed to score11
14
Scored first17
13
Goals scored36
36
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
9%
better
MIL
STK
view stats
Games conceded24
26
Clean sheets12
10
Conceded first16
17
Goals conceded37
50
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+9%

Millwall v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35558
L JensenD WatmoreF AzeezG Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Saville MID362
8
-
C Norre MID3631
5
-
L Jensen GLK35
1
-
J Bryan DEF3311
6
-
J Tanganga DEF332
7
-
G Honeyman MID3323
7
-
F Azeez FWD2815
2
-
M Langstaff FWD2812
-
R Leonard MID271
8
-
J Cooper DEF2631
4
-
D Watmore FWD2651
-
M Ivanovic FWD265
2
-
R Wintle MID181
3
-
A Emakhu FWD152
1
1
D McNamara DEF13
1
-
B Mitchell MID12
1
-
M Wallace DEF11
-
J Coburn FWD114
-
T Crama DEF102
1
-
S Hutchinson DEF9
1
-
A Connolly FWD81
1
-
L Cundle MID71
1
-
C. Scanlon DEF41
-
C Neghli FWD3
-
L Roberts GLK2
-
D Kelly MID2
-
Z. Sturge DEF1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
364511
V JohanssonA MoranJ. BaeJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK36
3
-
J. Bae MID3525
4
-
L. Koumas FWD3532
5
-
A Moran MID3343
9
-
J Tchamadeu DEF321
11
-
B Wilmot DEF292
6
-
W Burger MID2911
9
-
M Manhoef FWD2535
1
-
T Seko MID24
1
-
E Bocat DEF231
1
-
B Gibson DEF223
6
-
M Rose DEF21
3
-
E Stevens DEF172
3
-
J Thompson MID16
4
-
A Phillips DEF14
3
-
L Gooch FWD141
4
-
S Gallagher FWD1331
3
-
E Tezgel FWD12
1
-
A Vidigal FWD10
-
L Baker MID941
2
-
S. Sidibe MID81
-
N Lowe FWD81
2
-
B Pearson MID6
2
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD61
-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF41
-
M Lawal DEF3
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-
J. Dixon DEF2
-