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Millwall v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Apr, 15:00 BST, The Den, London

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as Cenk Laleci and his Millwall side host Michael Carrick’s Middlesbrough at The Den. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
38%
--
Draw
28%
--
M'Boro
35%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Millwall 1-0
11%
--
M'Boro 1-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Millwall 2-1
8%
--
M'Boro 2-1
8%
--
Millwall 2-0
7%
--
M'Boro 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Millwall 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-1
3%
--
Millwall 3-0
3%
--
M'Boro 3-0
2%
--
Millwall 3-2
2%
--
M'Boro 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
48%
--
BTTS - No
52%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
57%
--
Away DNB
54%
--
Millwall win to nil
22%
--
M'Boro win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 39 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Millwall have conceded 22 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Millwall have played 19 games at home, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 7th place on 57 points in the Championship league table having played 39 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 7 and losing 9 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 35 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 19 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3926762783 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 8
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
2
Leeds39231245181 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 8
l
 
3-1A
3
Burnley39221524281 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
4
Sunderland39201271972 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
5
Coventry3917814559 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
May 3
6
West Brom39131881357 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
7
M'Boro Away39169141057 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Bristol C39141510757 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-3A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Watford3915816-453 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
10
Norwich39131313752 
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
11
Blackburn3915717152 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
12
Sheff Wed39141015-652 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 21
13
Millwall Home39131214-351 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
14
Preston39101712-747 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
QPR39111216-845 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4F
16
Swansea3912918-1145 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Portsmouth3912918-1445 
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
18
Stoke39101217-1242 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
19
Oxford Utd39101217-1742 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-6A
20
Derby3911820-941 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
21
Hull39101118-941 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
22
Cardiff3991317-2040 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
23
Luton3910821-2538 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1F
d
 
0-00-0
24
Plymouth3971319-3734 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
Apr 18
d
 
3-3A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall1 - 0Stoke
Millwall0 - 2Bristol C
Millwall1 - 1West Brom
Millwall2 - 1QPR
Millwall2 - 2Cardiff
Millwall0 - 1Hull
Millwall0 - 1Oxford Utd
Millwall1 - 0Blackburn
Millwall0 - 1Sheff Utd
Millwall0 - 1Coventry
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Millwall1 - 0Leeds
Millwall1 - 0Burnley
Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Millwall3 - 1Preston
Millwall0 - 1Luton
Millwall3 - 0Sheff Wed
Millwall2 - 3Watford
Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMillwall0 - 1Sunderland
HMillwall1 - 0Stoke
AMillwall0 - 2Leeds
AMillwall2 - 1Watford
HMillwall0 - 2Bristol C
AMillwall1 - 0Derby
AMillwall1 - 1Preston
HMillwall1 - 1West Brom
AMillwall1 - 5Plymouth
HMillwall2 - 1QPR
AMillwall1 - 0Portsmouth
AMillwall1 - 0Luton
HMillwall2 - 2Cardiff
HMillwall0 - 1Hull
AMillwall2 - 2Sheff Wed
HMillwall0 - 1Oxford Utd
AMillwall0 - 0Coventry
AMillwall1 - 2Norwich
HMillwall1 - 0Blackburn
AMillwall0 - 1M'Boro
M'Boro 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd3 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro2 - 1Oxford Utd
AM'Boro0 - 0Luton
HM'Boro2 - 1QPR
AM'Boro0 - 1Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 0Derby
AM'Boro3 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Watford
AM'Boro1 - 3Sheff Utd
HM'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
AM'Boro1 - 2Preston
HM'Boro2 - 0West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Portsmouth
HM'Boro1 - 1Cardiff
AM'Boro1 - 0Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 3Sheff Wed
AM'Boro3 - 3Plymouth
HM'Boro1 - 0Millwall
AM'Boro1 - 3Leeds
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Millwall since 1993
Millwall
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
16
23
Games: Scored
10 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
4 / 14
MIL
4
D
4
MID
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
1 - 3M'Boro
Millwall2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall1 - 0
0 - 2M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
Millwall2 - 1
1 - 5M'Boro
0 - 2M'Boro
Millwall3 - 1
1 - 3M'Boro
2 - 3M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Millwall
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
13 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
2 / 15
MIL
4
D
4
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 1Millwall
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
M'Boro3 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
1 - 2Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Millwall
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro4 - 2
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's defensive record is very strong, M. Carrick's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Millwall makes sense in this context.

Millwall 13th M'Boro 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Millwall have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+18
M'Boro have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280586/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
MIL
MID
23%
better
view stats
Games scored26
30
Failed to score13
9
Scored first18
22
Goals scored37
59
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
9%
better
MIL
MID
view stats
Games conceded26
28
Clean sheets13
11
Conceded first18
15
Goals conceded40
49
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+9%

Millwall v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38658
L JensenM IvanovicF AzeezG Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Norre MID3931
6
-
L Jensen GLK38
1
-
G Saville MID382
8
-
J Tanganga DEF362
7
-
J Bryan DEF3611
6
-
G Honeyman MID3423
7
-
J Cooper DEF2931
4
-
M Ivanovic FWD296
2
-
F Azeez FWD2915
2
-
M Langstaff FWD2912
-
R Leonard MID271
8
-
D Watmore FWD2651
-
R Wintle MID181
3
-
A Emakhu FWD182
3
1
B Mitchell MID15
1
-
J Coburn FWD144
-
T Crama DEF132
1
-
D McNamara DEF13
1
-
M Wallace DEF11
-
A Connolly FWD111
3
-
L Cundle MID101
1
-
S Hutchinson DEF9
1
-
C. Scanlon DEF41
-
C Neghli FWD3
-
L Roberts GLK2
-
Z. Sturge DEF2
-
W Harding DEF2
-
D Kelly MID2
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36111110
F AzazT ConwayF AzazG Edmundson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Azaz MID381011
5
-
H Hackney MID3652
6
1
D Burgzorg FWD3552
2
-
N Borges DEF3313
4
-
T Conway FWD29111
1
-
A Morris MID282
3
-
L Ayling DEF262
4
-
A Dijksteel DEF2621
5
-
G Edmundson DEF241
10
-
B Doak FWD2437
8
-
D Barlaser MID2211
2
-
R Berg DEF21
3
2
S Dieng GLK17
-
M Forss FWD171
1
-
D Fry DEF16
1
-
R McGree MID1615
2
-
J Howson MID141
-
M Travers GLK10
-
S Junior FWD92
1
-
M Whittaker FWD91
-
R Giles DEF8
-
K Iheanacho FWD81
-
T Glover GLK7
-
S Brynn GLK6
-