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Millwall v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Oct, 15:00 BST, The Den, London

Paul Warne pays counterpart Neil Harris a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Championship, as their Derby County and Millwall charges go head to head at The Den. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Millwall and Derby's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Millwall 59%	1/1 8%	1/1
Draw 22%	11/5 6%	23/10
Derby 19%	3/1 2%	29/10
Millwall 1-0 11%	5/1 25%	19/4
Draw 1-1 10%	5/1 8%	5/1
Millwall 2-0 10%	15/2 11%	7/1
Millwall 2-1 10%	8/1 6%	7/1
Millwall 3-0 6%	16/1	12/1
Millwall 3-1 6%	18/1 27%	14/1
Draw 0-0 6%	13/2 32%	6/1
Derby 1-0 5%	17/2 27%	15/2
Derby 2-1 5%	14/1 15%	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 31%	14/1
Millwall 3-2 3%	33/1 48%	22/1
Millwall 4-0 3%	40/1 21%	25/1
Millwall 4-1 3%	40/1 41%	28/1
Derby 2-0 3%	18/1 10%	14/1
Derby 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	6/5 22%	6/5
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	4/6 17%	3/5
Home 1st Goal 56%	8/13 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	7/4 5%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	13/2 32%	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	1/1 16%	1/1
BTTS - No 47%	8/11 14%	8/11
BTTS - Home Win 27%	15/4 27%	7/2
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4 6%	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 10%	8/1 20%	13/2
Home/draw 81%	2/9	1/4
Away/draw 41%	4/5 6%	3/4
Home/away 78%	4/11 5%	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	2/5 12%	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	2/1 25%	7/4
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	10/3 35%	3/1
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	2/9 10%	2/9
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	8/1 64%	7/1
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/14 6%	1/16
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	18/1 73%	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/50 3%	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/12 3%	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	7/1 27%	6/1
Home DNB 74%	2/5 3%	2/5
Away DNB 35%	7/4 8%	17/10
Millwall win to nil 32%	9/4 4%	-
Derby win to nil 9%	5/1 25%	-
Millwall / Millwall 25%	9/4 8%	21/10
Millwall / Derby 2%	40/1 21%	28/1
Millwall / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	12/1
Draw / Millwall 17%	15/4 5%	18/5
Draw / Derby 10%	7/1 6%	13/2
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4 14%	10/3
Derby / Millwall 3%	25/1 24%	20/1
Derby / Derby 13%	11/2	5/1
Derby / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Millwall have conceded 7 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Millwall have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Derby lay in 12th place on 12 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches. Derby have won all their 3 games against teams below them in the table and kept 3 clean sheets in those games. Derby have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derby have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Millwall

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Derby

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Nov 23	Mar 29	Sunderland	9	6	1	2	10	19	Jan 21	l 2-0A
Nov 6	Mar 12	Leeds	10	5	4	1	10	19	Dec 29	Dec 7
Dec 11	Apr 8	Sheff Utd	10	6	3	1	7	19	Feb 1	l 1-0A
Nov 3	May 3	Burnley	9	5	3	1	10	18	Apr 9	Dec 10
Feb 15	d 0-00-0	West Brom	9	5	2	2	6	17	Dec 26	Apr 21
l 2-3A	Mar 8	Watford	9	5	1	3	0	16	Jan 18	l 2-1F
Apr 21	Dec 26	Norwich	9	4	3	2	6	15	l 2-3A	Feb 8
Dec 21	Apr 18	Blackburn	9	4	3	2	4	15	Mar 8	l 4-2A
Apr 12	Dec 14	M'Boro	9	4	2	3	3	14	w 1-0F	Mar 1
Jan 1	Nov 30	Oxford Utd	9	3	3	3	2	12	Feb 11	Oct 22
Apr 26	Oct 26	Swansea	9	3	3	3	2	12	Nov 27	Apr 5
Oct 19	Feb 22	Derby Away	9	4	0	5	0	12	-	-
Jan 18	d 0-00-0	Hull	9	3	3	3	-1	12	Oct 26	Apr 26
Oct 23	Feb 11	Plymouth	9	3	2	4	-3	11	Nov 9	Mar 15
w 3-0F	Jan 4	Sheff Wed	9	3	2	4	-4	11	Dec 1	Jan 1
Mar 1	l 4-3A	Bristol C	9	2	5	2	-4	11	w 3-0F	Jan 4
Mar 15	Nov 9	Stoke	9	3	1	5	-2	10	May 3	Nov 2
-	-	Millwall Home	9	2	3	4	1	9	Feb 22	Oct 19
w 3-1F	Feb 8	Preston	9	2	3	4	-5	9	Mar 29	Nov 23
Dec 7	Dec 29	Coventry	9	2	2	5	-3	8	Mar 11	Nov 6
l 0-1A	Jan 25	Luton	9	2	2	5	-7	8	Apr 18	Dec 20
Feb 1	d 1-1F	QPR	9	1	4	4	-7	7	w 2-0F	Feb 15
Apr 5	Nov 27	Portsmouth	9	0	5	4	-11	5	Dec 13	Apr 12
Jan 21	l 1-0A	Cardiff	9	1	2	6	-14	5	w 1-0F	Jan 25

Win / draw / win form

Derby have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall	3 - 1	Preston
Millwall	0 - 1	Luton
Millwall	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
Millwall	2 - 3	Watford
Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth
Millwall	3 - 1	Cardiff
Millwall	1 - 0	Leicester
Millwall	1 - 1	West Brom
Millwall	1 - 0	Birmingham
Millwall	1 - 0	Watford
Millwall	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
Millwall	0 - 4	Ipswich
Millwall	1 - 1	Preston
Millwall	1 - 3	M'Boro
Millwall	1 - 0	Norwich
Millwall	2 - 0	QPR
Millwall	1 - 1	Huddersfield
Millwall	1 - 1	Sunderland
Millwall	0 - 3	Coventry
Millwall	0 - 1	Southampton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Millwall	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Millwall	0 - 1	Cardiff
H	Millwall	3 - 1	Preston
A	Millwall	1 - 1	QPR
H	Millwall	0 - 1	Luton
H	Millwall	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Millwall	0 - 0	Hull
A	Millwall	3 - 4	Bristol C
H	Millwall	2 - 3	Watford
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Swansea
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Millwall	3 - 1	Cardiff
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Leicester
A	Millwall	0 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Millwall	1 - 2	Rotherham
H	Millwall	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Millwall	0 - 2	Leeds
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Birmingham
A	Millwall	1 - 1	Blackburn

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland	2 - 0	Derby
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Derby
Watford	2 - 1	Derby
Blackburn	4 - 2	Derby
Cambridge	0 - 1	Derby
Wycombe	0 - 0	Derby
Portsmouth	2 - 2	Derby
Northampton	1 - 0	Derby
Bristol R	0 - 3	Derby
Barnsley	2 - 1	Derby
Exeter	0 - 3	Derby
Charlton	0 - 1	Derby
Reading	1 - 0	Derby
Lincoln	0 - 0	Derby
Fleetwood	1 - 3	Derby
Oxford Utd	2 - 3	Derby
Wigan	0 - 1	Derby
L Orient	0 - 3	Derby
Port Vale	0 - 1	Derby
Stevenage	3 - 1	Derby

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Derby	2 - 0	QPR
A	Derby	0 - 2	Sunderland
H	Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
A	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Derby	3 - 0	Bristol C
A	Derby	1 - 2	Watford
H	Derby	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Derby	2 - 4	Blackburn
H	Derby	2 - 0	Carlisle
A	Derby	1 - 0	Cambridge
H	Derby	3 - 0	L Orient
A	Derby	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Derby	2 - 2	Portsmouth
H	Derby	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Derby	0 - 1	Northampton
H	Derby	1 - 0	Bolton
H	Derby	2 - 1	Reading
A	Derby	3 - 0	Bristol R
H	Derby	3 - 0	Port Vale

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Millwall

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 18

11 / 18

Clean sheets

7 / 18

6 / 18

MIL

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Derby
	2 - 3	Derby
Millwall	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	1 - 5	Derby
Millwall	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Millwall	2 - 0
Millwall	2 - 1
Millwall	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Millwall	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Derby
Millwall	4 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Millwall	1 - 0

Derby

Millwall

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 18

Clean sheets

8 / 18

MIL

DER

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
	1 - 2	Millwall
	0 - 1	Millwall
	0 - 1	Millwall
	0 - 1	Millwall
Derby	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Millwall
Derby	1 - 0
Derby	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Derby	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Millwall
Derby	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Millwall
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Derby	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Millwall

Goal Statistics

Millwall's defensive record is to be admired, Neil Harris's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Championship outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Derby County makes sense in this context.

	Millwall 18th	Derby 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Millwall will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-9 Millwall’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Derby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

MIL

DER

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		7
Failed to score	4		2
Scored first	3		5
Goals scored	12		12
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1.6		1
KickOff rating		+19%

MIL

DER

better

view stats

Games conceded	6		5
Clean sheets	3		4
Conceded first	4		4
Goals conceded	11		12
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	17%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

Millwall v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	5	2	3
L Jensen	D Watmore	G Honeyman	C Norre

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jensen GLK	9			1 -
J Bryan DEF	9			1 -
J Cooper DEF	9	1		1 -
G Honeyman MID	9	1	2	2 -
R Esse MID	9	2		1 -
C Norre MID	9		1	3 -
G Saville MID	9		2	2 -
R Leonard MID	9			3 -
D Watmore FWD	9	5	1	-
M Langstaff FWD	9	1	2	-
J Tanganga DEF	7			2 -
F Azeez FWD	5			-
A Emakhu FWD	5			1 1
D McNamara DEF	4			-
R Wintle MID	4			-
S Hutchinson DEF	3			1 -
M Ivanovic FWD	3			1 -
T Bradshaw FWD	3	1		-
J Coburn FWD	2	1		-
M Wallace DEF	1			-
C. Scanlon DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	2	8
D Watmore	D Watmore	G Honeyman	J Bryan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Watmore FWD	5	10	1	4
R Esse MID	2	7		3
J Cooper DEF	1	3		3
G Honeyman MID	1	3	2	7
J Coburn FWD	1	1
T Bradshaw FWD	1	3
M Langstaff FWD	1	2	2	2
M Ivanovic FWD		3		1
S Hutchinson DEF		1
J Tanganga DEF		1
D McNamara DEF		1		1
F Azeez FWD		1		1
J Bryan DEF		2		8
R Leonard MID				2
G Saville MID		1	2	8
C Norre MID		1	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
315	27	66
C Norre	R Leonard	R Leonard

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Norre MID	315	15	26
R Leonard MID	311	27	66
J Cooper DEF	280	6	52
J Bryan DEF	271	25	43
G Saville MID	265	21	53
G Honeyman MID	216	25	38
L Jensen GLK	210		3
J Tanganga DEF	201	7	33
R Esse MID	166	22	64
D Watmore FWD	117	14	41
S Hutchinson DEF	100	5	19
D McNamara DEF	44	4	8
M Langstaff FWD	40	3	7
F Azeez FWD	35	6	10
T Bradshaw FWD	29	1	9
J Coburn FWD	14	4	7
R Wintle MID	12	1	2
M Ivanovic FWD	11		5
A Emakhu FWD	6	2	5
C. Scanlon DEF	5	1	2
M Wallace DEF	1		1

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	2	3	3
C Nelson	C Nelson	N Mendez-Laing	E Cashin

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Nelson DEF	9	2		1 -
E Adams MID	9	1		2 -
K Goudmijn MID	9	2		2 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	9		3	2 -
K Jackson FWD	9	2	2	1 -
C Forsyth DEF	8	1	1	1 -
E Cashin DEF	8			3 -
R Nyambe DEF	8			1 -
J Zetterström GLK	7			-
J Yates FWD	7		1	-
C Elder DEF	6		1	2 -
B Osborn MID	6			-
K Wilson DEF	5	1		-
D Ozoh MID	5	1		-
J Collins FWD	5			1 -
N Phillips DEF	4			-
L Thompson MID	4			-
M Harness FWD	4	1		1 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	4	1		-
T Barkhuizen FWD	4			1 -
J Ward MID	3			-
J Vickers GLK	2			-
S Bradley DEF	2			1 -
T Chirewa MID	2			1 -
D Brown FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	3	14
C Nelson	K Jackson	N Mendez-Laing	N Mendez-Laing

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Nelson DEF	2	4		1
K Goudmijn MID	2	4		5
K Jackson FWD	2	7	2	2
E Adams MID	1	1		2
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	1	3
M Harness FWD	1	2		2
D Ozoh MID	1	2
K Wilson DEF	1	1		2
C Forsyth DEF	1	1	1	3
T Chirewa MID		1
S Bradley DEF		1
T Barkhuizen FWD		1
N Mendez-Laing FWD		1	3	14
J Yates FWD		2	1	1
N Phillips DEF		1
E Cashin DEF		3
R Nyambe DEF				1
B Osborn MID				5
C Elder DEF			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
356	25	56
E Cashin	E Adams	E Adams

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Cashin DEF	356	18	35
C Nelson DEF	327	7	29
K Goudmijn MID	286	9	25
R Nyambe DEF	200	13	27
J Zetterström GLK	192	1	6
N Mendez-Laing FWD	186	15	31
E Adams MID	179	25	56
C Elder DEF	168	6	21
B Osborn MID	147	8	9
K Jackson FWD	133	19	46
C Forsyth DEF	125	6	11
D Ozoh MID	100	20	36
J Yates FWD	85	1	17
K Wilson DEF	68	4	21
J Vickers GLK	57		1
S Bradley DEF	53		2
M Harness FWD	49	3	9
N Phillips DEF	40	2	7
T Barkhuizen FWD	36	3	7
J Collins FWD	30	1	8
T Chirewa MID	25	3	5
L Thompson MID	24		1
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	9		5
J Ward MID	6
D Brown FWD	1

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Millwall v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millwall have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Derby lay in 12th place on 12 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches. Derby have won all their 3 games against teams below them in the table and kept 3 clean sheets in those games. Derby have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Millwall v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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