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Middlesbrough v Sunderland : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

the Riverside Stadium is the setting on Monday night, as Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough host Régis Le Bris's Sunderland in the Championship. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Middlesbrough's next match is v Sheff Utd at 20:00 on Wednesday 12th February
Sunderland's next match is v Watford at 12:30 on Saturday 8th February
The last English Championship meeting between M'Boro and Sunderland was on Monday 3rd February 2025
English Championship
February 3rd 2025
M'Boro 2
3 Sunderland
 
D. Burgzorg 11'33' D. Neil
H. Hackney 59'51' W. Isidor
87' (OG)R. Giles
 
MID
SUN
Shots On
4
9
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
1
5
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
11
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
M'BoroSunderland
 
M. Travers
R. van den Berg
L. Ayling
R. Gilesfootball icon
S. Edmundson
F. Azaz (S. Iling 60')
A. Morris
H. Hackneyfootball icon
M. Forss (T. Conway 69')
M. Whittaker
D. Burgzorgfootball icon
A. Patterson
D. Cirkin
T. Hume
C. Mepham
L. O'Nien
E. Le Fée
(S. Samed 72') C. Rigg
(I. Poveda-Ocampo 88') P. Roberts
J. Bellingham
football iconD. Neil
(E. Mayenda Dossou 81') football iconW. Isidor

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think M'Boro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
40%
17/10
20%
17/10
17%
Draw
28%
12/5
3%
12/5
3%
Sunderland
32%
8/5
19%
8/5
16%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
M'Boro 1-0
12%
8/1
29%
15/2
31%
Sunderland 1-0
11%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
10%
9/1
18%
8/1
20%
M'Boro 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
M'Boro 2-0
8%
12/1
30%
11/1
26%
Sunderland 2-1
7%
9/1
17%
8/1
10%
Sunderland 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
M'Boro 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
M'Boro 3-0
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
24%
Sunderland 3-1
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
29%
Sunderland 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
18/1
17%
M'Boro 3-2
2%
28/120/1
9%
Sunderland 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
10/11
9%
17/20
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
10/11
10%
17/20
11%
Home 1st Goal
49%
21/20
19%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/6
23%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
8/11
5%
7/10
11%
BTTS - No
53%
1/1
9%
21/20
12%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
4%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
4/1
23%
18/5
23%
Home/draw
68%
1/2
10%
1/2
11%
Away/draw
60%
4/9
11%
4/9
10%
Home/away
72%
3/10
2%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
3/10
4%
2/7
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
5/2
9%
12/5
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
12/5
15%
21/10
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/3
6%
1/3
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11/2
19%
19/4
23%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/9
3%
1/8
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/1
24%
10/1
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/25
2%
1/33
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16
1%
1/20
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1
18%
8/1
20%
Home DNB
60%
5/6
13%
10/11
18%
Away DNB
52%
5/6
17%
4/5
16%
M'Boro win to nil
24%
7/2
20%
-
Sunderland win to nil
19%
7/2
18%
-
M'Boro / M'Boro
18%
10/3
15%
16/5
17%
M'Boro / Sunderland
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
M'Boro / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / M'Boro
13%
5/1
9%
5/1
14%
Draw / Sunderland
14%
5/1
14%
19/4
12%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
7%
Sunderland / M'Boro
3%
25/120/1
Sunderland / Sunderland
20%
10/3
21%
3/1
20%
Sunderland / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 3. M'Boro have conceded 6 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

M'Boro have played 15 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Sunderland lay in 4th place on 55 points in the Championship league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 37 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Sunderland have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Sunderland have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
M'Boro
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3018934163 
Apr 8
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 17
2
Burnley31161322861 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd3019652061 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland Away30161041958 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Blackburn3113612445 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
6
West Brom30101461244 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
7
M'Boro Home30128101044 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
8
Norwich3011910742 
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
9
Bristol C3010128342 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
10
Sheff Wed3011910-342 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 21
w
 
4-0F
Feb 28
11
Coventry3011811341 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
12
Watford3012513-241 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
13
QPR31101110-541 
Mar 11
w
 
1-4F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
14
Millwall30101010340 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston308139-537 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
16
Oxford Utd3191012-1137 
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
17
Swansea309714-1034 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
Apr 12
w
 
2-3A
18
Stoke3071112-932 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 25
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
19
Cardiff3071013-1831 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
20
Portsmouth307914-1630 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
21
Hull307815-929 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
22
Derby307617-927 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
23
Luton307617-1927 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 15
Feb 12
w
 
1-2F
24
Plymouth3051015-3425 
Apr 18
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Sunderland 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
M'Boro have not lost to Sunderland in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
22
12
Games: Scored
12 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
3 / 15
MID
7
D
6
SUN
2
League games at Sunderland since 1994
Sunderland
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
20
25
Games: Scored
12 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
4 / 16
MID
7
D
3
SUN
6
Goal Statistics
M'Boro 7th Sunderland 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
M'Boro’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Sunderland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280441/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
MID
SUN
view stats
Games scored22
22
Failed to score6
6
Scored first17
16
Goals scored46
40
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
MID
SUN
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
15
Clean sheets9
13
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded34
22
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
11%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%

M'Boro v Sunderland Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29899
F AzazF AzazF AzazG Edmundson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Travers GLK1
-
L Ayling DEF222
2
-
G Edmundson DEF211
9
-
R Berg DEF17
3
2
R Giles DEF2
-
A Morris MID191
3
-
H Hackney MID2752
4
1
M Whittaker MID1
-
F Azaz MID2989
3
-
D Burgzorg MID2642
2
-
M Forss FWD8
-
Subs
T Glover GLK7
-
D Fry DEF12
1
-
N Borges DEF253
3
-
D Barlaser MID1911
2
-
L. McCabe MID
-
L. Woolston MID
-
S Junior FWD1
-
T Conway FWD208
-
S Finch FWD
-
Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291059
D NeilW IsidorP RobertsJ Bellingham
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK26
1
-
T Hume DEF2913
7
-
C Mepham DEF24
7
1
L O'Nien DEF2921
7
-
D Cirkin DEF2622
6
-
C Rigg MID2642
6
-
D Neil MID2923
2
1
J Bellingham MID2744
8
1
P Roberts FWD2925
8
-
W Isidor FWD2710
7
-
E Fée FWD41
1
-
Subs
S Moore GLK4
1
-
D Ballard DEF152
4
-
L Hjelde DEF8
-
H. Jones MID
-
S Samed MID3
-
T. Ogunsugi FWD
-
E Mayenda FWD2255
-
M. Aleksić FWD3
1
-
I Poveda FWD4
1
-