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Luton Town v Sheffield Wednesday : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

the Kenilworth Road crowd welcome Sheffield Wednesday's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Rob Edwards's Luton Town go head to head with Danny Röhl's team in the Championship. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Luton and Sheff Wed serving up at least two goals in this Championship clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.29.

Luton avoiding defeat in this match (i.e. either winning or drawing) is the most likely outcome, according to our predictive algorithm. We give a home win or draw a 76% probability.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Luton 52%	1.85 6%	1.91 6%
Draw 24%	3.50	3.50
Sheff Wed 24%	4.10 14%	3.90 19%
Draw 1-1 11%	6.50	6.50
Luton 1-0 10%	8.00 14%	7.00 17%
Luton 2-1 10%	8.50	7.50
Luton 2-0 9%	9.00 13%	8.50 13%
Sheff Wed 1-0 6%	12.00 8%	10.00
Sheff Wed 2-1 6%	13.00 13%	11.00 15%
Draw 0-0 6%	11.00 16%	9.00 13%
Luton 3-1 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	12.00 8%
Luton 3-0 5%	15.00 15%	13.00 8%
Sheff Wed 2-0 4%	21.00 9%	17.00 11%
Luton 3-2 3%	23.00 12%	19.00 10%
Luton 4-1 2%	29.00	23.00
Sheff Wed 3-1 2%	34.00 17%	23.00 21%
Luton 4-0 2%	34.00 17%	23.00 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	1.91 5%	1.83 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	1.91 6%	1.91 9%
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.57 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.62 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11.00 16%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	1.73 5%	1.75 8%
BTTS - No 45%	2.00 9%	2.00 9%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	3.75	3.70 1%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50 5%	4.50 2%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7.50 21%	6.50 24%
Home/draw 76%	1.22 3%	1.25 6%
Away/draw 48%	1.91 5%	1.85 8%
Home/away 76%	1.29	1.29 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1.29 1%	1.29 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	3.75 7%	3.50 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	3.20 6%	3.00 9%
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	1.36 2%	1.35 5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	6.00 8%	5.50 15%
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1.12 1%	1.12 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	13.00	11.00 8%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.04	1.03 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.05 1%	1.05 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11.00 16%	9.00 13%
Home DNB 69%	1.36 5%	1.40 9%
Away DNB 41%	3.00 14%	2.75 17%
Luton win to nil 27%	3.40 24%	-
Sheff Wed win to nil 12%	7.00 13%	-
Luton / Luton 27%	3.00 9%	3.00 9%
Luton / Sheff Wed 3%	34.00 17%	26.00 10%
Luton / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00 8%
Draw / Luton 17%	5.00 11%	4.60 6%
Draw / Sheff Wed 10%	8.50 11%	8.00 11%
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.00 9%
Sheff Wed / Luton 4%	21.00 9%	19.00
Sheff Wed / Sheff Wed 13%	6.50 13%	6.00 20%
Sheff Wed / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Double chance Championship table

Luton

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Sheff Wed

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Nov 1	May 3	West Brom	5	4	1	0	7	13	Sep 28	Feb 8
Oct 23	Feb 12	Sunderland	5	4	0	1	8	12	Mar 1	l 4-0A
Apr 12	Dec 14	Blackburn	5	3	2	0	6	11	Dec 10	Apr 8
l 1-4A	Mar 8	Burnley	5	3	1	1	8	10	Oct 19	Feb 22
Oct 19	Feb 22	Watford	5	3	1	1	4	10	Nov 2	May 3
Feb 15	Oct 5	Sheff Utd	5	3	2	0	5	9	Mar 15	Nov 10
Oct 1	Jan 21	Oxford Utd	5	3	0	2	3	9	Apr 12	Dec 14
Dec 20	Apr 18	Derby	5	3	0	2	2	9	Jan 1	Dec 1
Apr 5	Nov 27	Leeds	5	2	2	1	3	8	l 0-2A	Jan 18
Mar 15	Nov 9	M'Boro	5	2	2	1	2	8	Apr 21	Dec 26
Dec 7	Dec 29	Swansea	5	2	1	2	2	7	Oct 22	Feb 11
l 1-2F	Jan 6	QPR	5	1	3	1	-1	6	d 1-1F	Jan 25
Nov 23	Mar 29	Hull	6	1	3	2	-2	6	Apr 5	Nov 26
Dec 10	Apr 8	Stoke	6	2	0	4	-5	6	Dec 21	Apr 18
Apr 26	Oct 26	Coventry	5	1	2	2	-1	5	Feb 15	Oct 5
Jan 1	Nov 30	Norwich	5	1	2	2	-2	5	Nov 5	Mar 12
Feb 8	Sep 28	Plymouth	5	1	2	2	-4	5	w 4-0F	Mar 8
Apr 21	Dec 26	Bristol C	5	1	2	2	-5	5	Jan 22	Oct 2
Jan 25	w 0-1F	Millwall	5	1	1	3	0	4	Jan 4	l 3-0A
-	-	Luton Home	5	1	1	3	-4	4	Feb 1	Sep 21
Sep 21	Feb 1	Sheff Wed Away	5	1	1	3	-5	4	-	-
Jan 18	l 1-0A	Preston	5	1	1	3	-6	4	Dec 7	Dec 29
Mar 1	d 0-00-0	Portsmouth	5	0	3	2	-5	3	Apr 26	Oct 25
Nov 6	Mar 11	Cardiff	5	0	1	4	-10	1	Nov 23	Mar 29

Double chance form

Luton have not won in 5 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM Double Chance
Luton	1 - 2	QPR
Luton	1 - 4	Burnley
Luton	2 - 4	Fulham
Luton	1 - 1	Everton
Luton	1 - 5	Brentford
Luton	2 - 1	Bournemouth
Luton	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Luton	2 - 3	A Villa
Luton	1 - 2	Man Utd
Luton	1 - 3	Sheff Utd
Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
Luton	2 - 3	Chelsea
Luton	1 - 0	Newcastle
Luton	1 - 2	Man City
Luton	3 - 4	Arsenal
Luton	2 - 1	C Palace
Luton	1 - 1	Liverpool
Luton	0 - 1	Spurs
Luton	1 - 2	Burnley
Luton	1 - 1	Wolves

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Double Chance
A	Luton	1 - 0	Millwall
H	Luton	1 - 2	QPR
A	Luton	0 - 1	Preston
A	Luton	0 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Luton	1 - 4	Burnley
H	Luton	2 - 4	Fulham
A	Luton	1 - 3	West Ham
H	Luton	1 - 1	Everton
A	Luton	1 - 2	Wolves
H	Luton	1 - 5	Brentford
A	Luton	1 - 5	Man City
H	Luton	2 - 1	Bournemouth
A	Luton	0 - 2	Arsenal
A	Luton	1 - 2	Spurs
H	Luton	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Luton	3 - 4	Bournemouth
A	Luton	1 - 1	C Palace
H	Luton	2 - 3	A Villa
A	Luton	1 - 4	Liverpool
H	Luton	1 - 2	Man Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Double Chance
Millwall	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
Sunderland	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
Sunderland	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
Blackburn	1 - 3	Sheff Wed
QPR	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
M'Boro	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
Ipswich	6 - 0	Sheff Wed
Rotherham	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Millwall	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
Leicester	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
Huddersfield	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
Southampton	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
Preston	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Coventry	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
Norwich	3 - 1	Sheff Wed
Stoke	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Birmingham	2 - 1	Sheff Wed
Bristol C	1 - 0	Sheff Wed
Plymouth	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
Watford	1 - 0	Sheff Wed

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Double Chance
H	Sheff Wed	1 - 1	QPR
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 3	Millwall
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Leeds
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 4	Sunderland
H	Sheff Wed	4 - 0	Plymouth
A	Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Sunderland
H	Sheff Wed	3 - 0	West Brom
A	Sheff Wed	3 - 1	Blackburn
H	Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Stoke
H	Sheff Wed	2 - 2	Norwich
A	Sheff Wed	2 - 0	QPR
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	M'Boro
H	Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Swansea
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 6	Ipswich
H	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Leeds
H	Sheff Wed	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Sheff Wed	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Sheff Wed	2 - 1	Bristol C
A	Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Millwall
A	Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Leicester

Double chance head to head (H2H)

Luton have not lost to Sheff Wed in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Luton

Sheff Wed

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

LUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton	3 - 2
Luton	1 - 0
Luton	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Sheff Wed

Luton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

4 / 5

LUT

SHW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sheff Wed
	0 - 1	Luton
Sheff Wed	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Luton
	0 - 2	Luton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Luton 20th	Sheff Wed 21st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Luton will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Sheff Wed will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Luton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-32 Sheff Wed have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	2.1 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

LUT

SHW

better

view stats

Games scored	3		2
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	2		2
Goals scored	3		5
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	13		8
Conversion rate for	8		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+6%

24%

better

LUT

SHW

view stats

Games conceded	3		4
Clean sheets	2		1
Conceded first	2		3
Goals conceded	7		10
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		5
Conversion rate against	18%		22%
Avg. XG against	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+24%

Luton v Sheff Wed Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	1	3
A Doughty	T Mengi	A Doughty	T Chong

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Mengi DEF	5	1		1 -
A Doughty MID	5		1	2 -
T Chong MID	5	1		3 -
C Morris FWD	5			-
E Adebayo FWD	5			-
T Kaminski GLK	4			2 -
R Walters DEF	4			-
A Bell DEF	4			-
S Baptiste MID	4			1 -
J Clark MID	4			2 -
M McGuinness DEF	3			-
L Walsh MID	3		1	-
Z Nelson MID	3			1 -
P Mpanzu MID	3			-
J Taylor FWD	3			-
J Shea GLK	2			-
R Burke DEF	2			-
J Johnson DEF	1			-
T Holmes DEF	1			-
A Townsend MID	1			-
M Nakamba MID	1			-
C Woodrow FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	7	1	3
T Mengi	E Adebayo	A Doughty	T Chong

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Mengi DEF	1	2
T Chong MID	1	1		3
Z Nelson MID		1
R Burke DEF				1
J Taylor FWD		1
L Walsh MID		2	1	1
A Doughty MID		1	1	1
M McGuinness DEF		1		1
J Clark MID		3		3
S Baptiste MID				1
E Adebayo FWD		7		1
C Morris FWD		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
220	16	24
T Mengi	A Doughty	A Doughty

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Mengi DEF	220	7	19
A Doughty MID	167	16	24
A Bell DEF	164	4	17
S Baptiste MID	161	6	13
T Kaminski GLK	134
M McGuinness DEF	131	1	17
R Walters DEF	125	9	21
J Clark MID	123	6	16
T Chong MID	86	5	22
C Morris FWD	86	1	22
L Walsh MID	77	4	7
J Shea GLK	71		1
Z Nelson MID	52	2	7
R Burke DEF	49	4	5
E Adebayo FWD	45	3	21
J Johnson DEF	32	5	6
M Nakamba MID	24	3	4
P Mpanzu MID	15		1
C Woodrow FWD	8
J Taylor FWD	6		5
A Townsend MID	5		1
T Holmes DEF	1		1

Sheff Wed Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	1	2
J Beadle	B Bannan	A Musaba	D Bernard

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Beadle GLK	5			-
M Lowe DEF	5			-
Y Valery DEF	5			-
P Valentín DEF	5			-
B Bannan MID	5	1		1 -
J Windass MID	5	1		-
A Musaba FWD	5		1	-
M Smith FWD	5	1	1	-
D Bernard DEF	4			2 -
L Palmer DEF	4			1 -
M Johnson MID	4		1	-
S Ingelsson MID	4		1	1 -
J Lowe FWD	4	1		1 -
D Gassama FWD	4			-
I Ugbo FWD	4			-
D Iorfa DEF	3			1 -
O Kobacki FWD	3			-
M Ihiekwe DEF	2			-
S Charles MID	2			-
A Famewo DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	4
B Bannan	M Smith	A Musaba	M Johnson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Lowe FWD	1	1
B Bannan MID	1	2		3
J Windass MID	1	2		1
M Smith FWD	1	3	1	2
O Kobacki FWD		1
D Iorfa DEF		1
I Ugbo FWD		1		1
D Gassama FWD		1		1
M Johnson MID			1	4
S Ingelsson MID		1	1	1
M Lowe DEF		1
L Palmer DEF				1
D Bernard DEF		1
A Musaba FWD		2	1	1
Y Valery DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
273	14	37
B Bannan	Y Valery	Y Valery

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Bannan MID	273	10	21
D Bernard DEF	218	5	23
J Beadle GLK	197		1
Y Valery DEF	130	14	37
M Lowe DEF	117	9	14
M Ihiekwe DEF	116	1	16
D Iorfa DEF	114	6	28
J Windass MID	108	7	16
S Ingelsson MID	95	12	17
S Charles MID	86	5	13
A Musaba FWD	81	4	24
L Palmer DEF	73	3	4
M Johnson MID	60	4	8
D Gassama FWD	54	4	18
A Famewo DEF	53	1	2
J Lowe FWD	47	6	11
O Kobacki FWD	36	4	7
M Smith FWD	34	3	7
P Valentín DEF	33	5	9
I Ugbo FWD	21	1	2

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Luton Town v Sheffield Wednesday : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Luton v Sheff Wed Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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