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Luton Town v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

the Kenilworth Road is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Matt Gray's Luton Town host Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough in the Championship. For every Championship preview, KickOff delves into the stats for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside the best odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Luton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Luton 41%	13/8 5%	13/8 3%
Draw 27%	12/5	12/5 3%
M'Boro 32%	13/8 5%	13/8 5%
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	5/1 8%
Luton 1-0 11%	8/1 10%	7/1 6%
M'Boro 1-0 10%	8/1 5%	7/1 6%
Luton 2-1 9%	9/1	8/1
Draw 0-0 9%	10/1	8/1 10%
Luton 2-0 8%	12/1 13%	10/1 8%
M'Boro 2-1 7%	9/1	8/1 6%
M'Boro 2-0 5%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1	10/1
Luton 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1
Luton 3-0 3%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
M'Boro 3-1 3%	20/1 11%	16/1 13%
Luton 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
M'Boro 3-0 2%	25/1 13%	18/1
M'Boro 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	10/11 6%	17/20 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	10/11 5%	17/20 5%
Home 1st Goal 49%	20/21 7%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	20/21 8%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	4/6	7/10 2%
BTTS - No 50%	11/10	21/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	4/1	19/5 4%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5 3%
BTTS - Away Win 14%	4/1 5%	18/5 6%
Home/draw 68%	4/9 4%	10/21 3%
Away/draw 59%	4/9 3%	10/21 3%
Home/away 73%	3/10	3/10 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	2/7 3%	2/7 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	11/4 6%	12/5 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	12/5 6%	21/10 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1/3 2%	1/3 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	5/1 9%	19/4 10%
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/8 2%	1/9 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1 18%	10/1 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25 1%	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/20	1/20 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	10/1	8/1 10%
Home DNB 60%	5/6 4%	17/20 5%
Away DNB 51%	5/6 2%	17/20 3%
Luton win to nil 24%	7/2 10%	-
M'Boro win to nil 18%	7/2	-
Luton / Luton 19%	10/3 4%	16/5
Luton / M'Boro 3%	25/1	20/1 11%
Luton / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Luton 13%	5/1 8%	5/1
Draw / M'Boro 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / Draw 16%	9/2	19/5 4%
M'Boro / Luton 3%	25/1	20/1
M'Boro / M'Boro 19%	10/3 8%	3/1 3%
M'Boro / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Luton have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 6 and won 9. Luton have conceded 56 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 8th place on 53 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 18 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Luton M'Boro
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Sheff Utd	37	24	7	6	24	77	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	l 3-1A
2	Leeds	36	22	10	4	49	76	Apr 5	l 3-0A	Apr 8	l 3-1A
3	Burnley	37	20	15	2	39	75	l 1-4A	l 4-0A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F
4	Sunderland	37	19	12	6	21	69	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	l 2-3F	l 1-0A
5	West Brom	37	13	17	7	14	56	d 1-1A	May 3	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
6	Coventry	37	16	8	13	4	56	Apr 26	l 3-2F	l 0-3A	May 3
7	Bristol C	37	13	15	9	7	54	Apr 21	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	l 2-1F
8	M'Boro Away	37	15	8	14	9	53	Mar 15	l 5-1A	-	-
9	Blackburn	36	15	7	14	4	52	Apr 12	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	Apr 4
10	Sheff Wed	37	14	9	14	-5	51	w 2-1A	d 1-1F	d 3-3F	Apr 21
11	Norwich	37	12	13	12	7	49	l 0-1A	l 4-2F	Apr 26	d 3-3A
12	Watford	36	14	7	15	-4	49	w 3-0F	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
13	Millwall	36	12	12	12	-1	48	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	Apr 12
14	QPR	37	11	11	15	-6	44	l 1-2F	l 2-1A	w 2-1F	w 1-4F
15	Preston	37	9	17	11	-6	44	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	d 1-1F	l 2-1A
16	Swansea	36	12	8	16	-8	44	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
17	Portsmouth	36	11	9	16	-13	42	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A	l 2-1F
18	Oxford Utd	36	9	12	15	-16	39	d 2-2F	l 3-2F	Mar 29	w 2-6A
19	Hull	36	9	10	17	-9	37	w 1-0F	Mar 29	w 3-1F	w 0-1F
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	-14	36	w 2-1A	Apr 8	w 2-0F	w 1-3F
21	Cardiff	37	8	12	17	-21	36	w 1-0F	w 1-2A	d 1-1F	w 0-2F
22	Derby	37	9	8	20	-12	35	w 2-1A	Apr 18	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
23	Luton Home	37	9	7	21	-26	34	-	-	w 5-1F	Mar 15
24	Plymouth	36	6	12	18	-37	30	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	Apr 18	d 3-3A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton	1 - 0	Portsmouth
Luton	1 - 1	Plymouth
Luton	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Luton	0 - 1	Millwall
Luton	0 - 0	Preston
Luton	0 - 1	Norwich
Luton	2 - 1	Derby
Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
Luton	1 - 1	Swansea
Luton	1 - 0	Hull
Luton	1 - 0	Cardiff
Luton	1 - 1	West Brom
Luton	1 - 2	Sunderland
Luton	3 - 0	Watford
Luton	2 - 2	Oxford Utd
Luton	2 - 1	Sheff Wed
Luton	1 - 2	QPR
Luton	1 - 4	Burnley
Luton	2 - 4	Fulham
Luton	1 - 1	Everton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Luton	2 - 1	Cardiff
A	Luton	0 - 4	Burnley
H	Luton	1 - 0	Portsmouth
A	Luton	0 - 2	Watford
H	Luton	1 - 1	Plymouth
H	Luton	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Luton	0 - 2	Sunderland
A	Luton	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Luton	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Luton	2 - 3	Oxford Utd
H	Luton	0 - 0	Preston
A	Luton	1 - 2	QPR
H	Luton	0 - 1	Norwich
A	Luton	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Luton	0 - 1	Bristol C
H	Luton	2 - 1	Derby
A	Luton	0 - 2	Blackburn
H	Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
H	Luton	1 - 1	Swansea
A	Luton	2 - 4	Norwich

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro
Stoke	1 - 3	M'Boro
Bristol C	2 - 1	M'Boro
Sheff Utd	3 - 1	M'Boro
Preston	2 - 1	M'Boro
Portsmouth	2 - 1	M'Boro
Hull	0 - 1	M'Boro
Plymouth	3 - 3	M'Boro
Leeds	3 - 1	M'Boro
Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
Oxford Utd	2 - 6	M'Boro
QPR	1 - 4	M'Boro
Norwich	3 - 3	M'Boro
Watford	2 - 1	M'Boro
West Brom	0 - 1	M'Boro
Sunderland	1 - 0	M'Boro
Cardiff	0 - 2	M'Boro
Derby	1 - 0	M'Boro
Cardiff	1 - 4	M'Boro
Ipswich	1 - 1	M'Boro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	M'Boro	2 - 1	QPR
A	M'Boro	0 - 1	Swansea
H	M'Boro	1 - 0	Derby
A	M'Boro	3 - 1	Stoke
A	M'Boro	1 - 2	Bristol C
H	M'Boro	0 - 1	Watford
A	M'Boro	1 - 3	Sheff Utd
H	M'Boro	2 - 3	Sunderland
A	M'Boro	1 - 2	Preston
H	M'Boro	2 - 0	West Brom
A	M'Boro	1 - 2	Portsmouth
H	M'Boro	1 - 1	Cardiff
A	M'Boro	1 - 0	Hull
H	M'Boro	0 - 0	Burnley
H	M'Boro	3 - 3	Sheff Wed
A	M'Boro	3 - 3	Plymouth
H	M'Boro	1 - 0	Millwall
A	M'Boro	1 - 3	Leeds
A	M'Boro	1 - 1	Burnley
H	M'Boro	3 - 1	Hull

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Luton have not lost to M'Boro in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Luton

M'Boro

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

LUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Luton	2 - 1
Luton	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Luton	5 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

M'Boro

Luton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

LUT

MID

FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro	5 - 1
M'Boro	2 - 1
M'Boro	2 - 1
M'Boro	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Luton
M'Boro	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Luton 23rd	M'Boro 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal	0 32% 1 37% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 69% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-25 Luton have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted	+21 M'Boro have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

LUT

MID

29%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		28
Failed to score	13		8
Scored first	14		21
Goals scored	32		55
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.5
Avg. shots per game	7		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		16
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+29%

LUT

MID

17%

better

view stats

Games conceded	29		26
Clean sheets	7		10
Conceded first	20		14
Goals conceded	59		47
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.1
KickOff rating		+17%

Luton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	7	4	9
T Kaminski	C Morris	A Doughty	J Clark

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Kaminski GLK	35		1	4 1
E Adebayo FWD	35	5		1 -
M McGuinness DEF	34	3	3	4 -
J Clark MID	31	5	3	9 -
C Morris FWD	31	7	2	7 -
J Brown FWD	28	4	1	3 -
T Chong MID	23	2		5 -
A Bell DEF	21			1 -
A Doughty MID	21	1	4	5 -
Z Nelson MID	20		1	5 -
M Nakamba MID	20			2 -
L Walsh MID	18		1	1 2
V Moses FWD	18	1		-
D Hashioka DEF	17			3 -
T Mengi DEF	15	1		2 -
R Walters DEF	13			2 -
S Baptiste MID	13			2 -
R Burke DEF	10			4 -
I Jones FWD	9			2 -
J Johnson DEF	8			3 2
M Andersen DEF	8			3 -
T Aasgaard MID	8	1		-
M Alli FWD	7			-
K Naismith DEF	6			1 1
J Bowler FWD	6			-
C Makosso DEF	4			-
L Dabo MID	4			1 -
L Nordas FWD	3		1	-
J Shea GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	28	4	36
C Morris	E Adebayo	A Doughty	A Doughty

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Morris FWD	7	23	2	17
J Clark MID	5	17	3	23
E Adebayo FWD	5	28		15
J Brown FWD	4	9	1	8
M McGuinness DEF	3	6	3	4
T Chong MID	2	7		12
T Mengi DEF	1	4		1
V Moses FWD	1	2		9
T Aasgaard MID	1	4		1
A Doughty MID	1	3	4	36
L Dabo MID				1
J Johnson DEF				1
L Nordas FWD			1	1
T Kaminski GLK			1	1
I Jones FWD		2
R Burke DEF		1		3
S Baptiste MID		1		8
D Hashioka DEF		1		3
L Walsh MID		3	1	2
M Nakamba MID				1
Z Nelson MID		1	1	8
A Bell DEF				4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1268	47	239
M McGuinness	A Doughty	C Morris

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M McGuinness DEF	1268	41	227
T Kaminski GLK	1154		5
J Clark MID	885	44	139
A Bell DEF	751	34	97
C Morris FWD	675	13	239
A Doughty MID	665	47	86
T Mengi DEF	599	21	55
M Nakamba MID	478	39	58
T Chong MID	456	17	91
L Walsh MID	412	24	49
D Hashioka DEF	383	32	105
V Moses FWD	316	30	82
R Walters DEF	309	37	61
S Baptiste MID	281	11	27
E Adebayo FWD	267	12	107
Z Nelson MID	252	18	42
R Burke DEF	215	17	38
J Brown FWD	202	12	89
I Jones FWD	177	15	44
T Aasgaard MID	174	7	40
M Andersen DEF	165	5	29
J Johnson DEF	158	9	24
K Naismith DEF	140	9	34
C Makosso DEF	93	6	13
J Shea GLK	71		1
L Dabo MID	65	2	13
M Alli FWD	50	1	13
L Nordas FWD	23	1	11
J Bowler FWD	22	3	7

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	11	11	10
F Azaz	T Conway	F Azaz	G Edmundson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Azaz MID	36	10	11	5 -
H Hackney MID	34	5	2	5 1
D Burgzorg FWD	33	5	2	2 -
N Borges DEF	31		3	4 -
T Conway FWD	27	11	1	1 -
L Ayling DEF	26		2	4 -
A Morris MID	26		2	3 -
G Edmundson DEF	24	1		10 -
A Dijksteel DEF	24	2	1	4 -
B Doak FWD	24	3	7	8 -
D Barlaser MID	22	1	1	2 -
R Berg DEF	20			3 2
S Dieng GLK	17			-
D Fry DEF	16			1 -
R McGree MID	16	1	5	2 -
M Forss FWD	15	1		1 -
J Howson MID	12	1		-
M Travers GLK	8			-
M Whittaker FWD	8		1	-
T Glover GLK	7			-
R Giles DEF	7			-
S Junior FWD	7			-
S Brynn GLK	6			-
K Iheanacho FWD	6			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	34	11	39
T Conway	F Azaz	F Azaz	F Azaz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Conway FWD	11	20	1	8
F Azaz MID	10	34	11	39
D Burgzorg FWD	5	19	2	13
H Hackney MID	5	20	2	25
B Doak FWD	3	14	7	34
A Dijksteel DEF	2	2	1	5
J Howson MID	1	2		3
G Edmundson DEF	1	2		2
D Barlaser MID	1	2	1	19
R McGree MID	1	10	5	20
M Forss FWD	1	5		1
S Junior FWD				1
R Giles DEF				1
T Glover GLK				1
M Whittaker FWD		5	1	1
S Dieng GLK				1
D Fry DEF		2		1
R Berg DEF				2
A Morris MID		1	2	6
L Ayling DEF		2	2	16
N Borges DEF		3	3	18
K Iheanacho FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2435	74	169
H Hackney	H Hackney	H Hackney

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H Hackney MID	2435	74	169
A Morris MID	1605	65	125
G Edmundson DEF	1497	23	76
L Ayling DEF	1377	62	124
N Borges DEF	1218	56	142
R Berg DEF	1148	22	79
A Dijksteel DEF	1088	45	117
F Azaz MID	1065	28	91
D Barlaser MID	961	18	40
D Fry DEF	928	3	56
B Doak FWD	623	26	88
J Howson MID	466	13	23
S Dieng GLK	464		5
R McGree MID	413	9	33
D Burgzorg FWD	387	32	100
T Conway FWD	343	11	44
M Whittaker FWD	212	5	33
M Travers GLK	201		4
T Glover GLK	200	1	5
S Brynn GLK	140	2	2
R Giles DEF	117	5	9
K Iheanacho FWD	102	5	10
M Forss FWD	93	10	17
S Junior FWD	91	7	18

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Portsmouth v Plymouth

Coventry v Sunderland

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00

Blackburn v Cardiff

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00

Sheff Wed v Sheff Utd

Sun 16th Mar, 12:30

Luton Town v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Luton have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

M'Boro lay in 8th place on 53 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Luton v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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