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Luton Town v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Apr, 12:30 BST, Kenilworth Road, Luton

the Kenilworth Road faithful welcome Leeds United's travelling contingent on Saturday lunch time, as Matt Gray's Luton Town go head to head with Daniel Farke's team in the Championship. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we're not predicting a thriller here. The statistics suggest Luton and Leeds both are poor in attack and defence, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luton
21%
17/4
5%
-
Draw
27%
31/10
2%
-
Leeds
52%
3/5-
Leeds 1-0
16%
5/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
6%
-
Leeds 2-0
11%
6/1-
Draw 0-0
11%
9/1-
Leeds 2-1
9%
15/2-
Luton 1-0
9%
11/1-
Leeds 3-0
5%
10/1
8%
-
Luton 2-1
5%
16/1-
Leeds 3-1
4%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
11%
-
Luton 2-0
3%
25/1-
Leeds 4-0
2%
22/1-
Leeds 3-2
2%
28/1-
Leeds 4-1
1%
28/1
12%
-
Luton 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
39%
12/5
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
2/5-
No 1st Goal
8%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
41%
1/1-
BTTS - No
59%
8/11-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
11/4-
Home/draw
48%
13/10-
Away/draw
79%
1/6-
Home/away
73%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
6/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/10
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/1-
Home DNB
40%
3/1
7%
-
Away DNB
71%
2/9
2%
-
Luton win to nil
13%
8/1
13%
-
Leeds win to nil
35%
6/4-
Luton / Luton
8%
9/1
5%
-
Luton / Leeds
4%
22/1-
Luton / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Luton
8%
10/1-
Draw / Leeds
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Leeds / Luton
2%
40/1-
Leeds / Leeds
33%
6/4-
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Luton have played 39 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

37 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 7 and won 10. Luton have conceded 56 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 19 games at home, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 2nd place on 81 points in the Championship league table having played 39 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 37 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 12 and losing 4 games. They have scored 73 goals and kept 20 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 19 away games, winning 8, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Luton
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3926762783 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
2
Leeds Away39231245181 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
Burnley39221524281 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Sunderland39201271972 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
5
Coventry3917814559 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
West Brom39131881357 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
M'Boro39169141057 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 8
8
Bristol C39141510757 
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
9
Watford3915816-453 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
10
Norwich39131313752 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Blackburn3915717152 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
12
Sheff Wed39141015-652 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Millwall39131214-351 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Preston39101712-747 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
15
QPR39111216-845 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
16
Swansea3912918-1145 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-4A
17
Portsmouth3912918-1445 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
18
Stoke39101217-1242 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
19
Oxford Utd39101217-1742 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
20
Derby3911820-941 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
21
Hull39101118-941 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
22
Cardiff3991317-2040 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
23
Luton Home3910821-2538 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
24
Plymouth3971319-3734 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Luton 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Luton1 - 0Portsmouth
Luton1 - 1Plymouth
Luton0 - 1Sheff Utd
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 0Preston
Luton0 - 1Norwich
Luton2 - 1Derby
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Luton1 - 1Swansea
Luton1 - 0Hull
Luton1 - 0Cardiff
Luton1 - 1West Brom
Luton1 - 2Sunderland
Luton3 - 0Watford
Luton2 - 2Oxford Utd
Luton2 - 1Sheff Wed
Luton1 - 2QPR
Luton1 - 4Burnley
Luton2 - 4Fulham
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuton1 - 0Hull
HLuton0 - 0M'Boro
ALuton2 - 1Cardiff
ALuton0 - 4Burnley
HLuton1 - 0Portsmouth
ALuton0 - 2Watford
HLuton1 - 1Plymouth
HLuton0 - 1Sheff Utd
ALuton0 - 2Sunderland
ALuton1 - 1Sheff Wed
HLuton0 - 1Millwall
ALuton2 - 3Oxford Utd
HLuton0 - 0Preston
ALuton1 - 2QPR
HLuton0 - 1Norwich
ALuton1 - 2Swansea
ALuton0 - 1Bristol C
HLuton2 - 1Derby
ALuton0 - 2Blackburn
HLuton2 - 1Stoke
Leeds 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Watford0 - 4Leeds
Coventry0 - 2Leeds
Burnley0 - 0Leeds
Hull3 - 3Leeds
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Stoke0 - 2Leeds
Preston1 - 1Leeds
Blackburn1 - 0Leeds
Swansea3 - 4Leeds
Millwall1 - 0Leeds
Bristol C0 - 0Leeds
Sunderland2 - 2Leeds
Norwich1 - 1Leeds
Cardiff0 - 2Leeds
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
West Brom0 - 0Leeds
Norwich0 - 0Leeds
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds2 - 2Swansea
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds0 - 1Portsmouth
HLeeds1 - 1West Brom
ALeeds3 - 1Sheff Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Sunderland
ALeeds4 - 0Watford
ALeeds2 - 0Coventry
HLeeds7 - 0Cardiff
ALeeds0 - 0Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds3 - 3Hull
HLeeds1 - 1Blackburn
ALeeds1 - 0Derby
ALeeds2 - 0Stoke
HLeeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
ALeeds1 - 1Preston
HLeeds3 - 1M'Boro
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Leeds have not lost to Luton in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Luton since 2005
Luton
Leeds
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
LUT
1
D
2
LEE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
1 - 2Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
Luton5 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Leeds since 2006
Leeds
Luton
Goals: Scored
8
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
LEE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Luton 23rd Leeds 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Luton scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Luton have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280560/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
0.8
1.4
Attack rating
LUT
LEE
37%
better
view stats
Games scored25
32
Failed to score14
7
Scored first15
24
Goals scored35
78
Avg. goals scored0.9
2
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
18
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
LUT
LEE
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
18
Clean sheets9
21
Conceded first21
12
Goals conceded60
27
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+39%

Luton v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
37749
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyJ Clark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK371
4
1
E Adebayo FWD375
1
-
M McGuinness DEF3633
4
-
J Clark MID3353
9
-
C Morris FWD3372
7
-
J Brown FWD2941
4
-
A Bell DEF23
1
-
A Doughty MID2314
5
-
T Chong MID232
5
-
L Walsh  MID201
2
2
Z Nelson MID201
5
-
M Nakamba MID20
2
-
V Moses  FWD181
-
D Hashioka DEF17
3
-
T Mengi DEF141
2
-
R Walters DEF13
2
-
S Baptiste MID13
2
-
R Burke DEF11
4
-
T Aasgaard MID101
-
I Jones FWD10
2
-
M Alli FWD9
-
J Johnson DEF8
3
2
M Andersen DEF8
3
-
K Naismith DEF7
1
1
C Makosso DEF6
-
L Dabo MID6
1
-
J Bowler FWD6
-
L Nordas FWD51
-
J Shea  GLK1
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
391599
I MeslierJ PiroeD JamesJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK39
-
J Rodon DEF391
5
-
J Piroe FWD39156
1
-
B Aaronson MID3892
2
-
J Bogle  DEF3752
9
-
M Joseph FWD3733
-
A Tanaka MID3642
8
-
W Gnonto FWD3665
5
-
J Rothwell MID354
2
-
P Struijk DEF345
2
-
D James MID33109
4
-
M Solomon FWD3277
1
-
S Byram DEF3011
3
-
J Firpo DEF2639
7
-
L Ramazani FWD2642
2
-
E Ampadu MID22
6
-
I Gruev MID17
2
-
A Cil MID13
-
P Bamford FWD9
-
I Schmidt DEF7
-
M Wöber DEF61
1
-