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Leeds United v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Swansea City, led by manager Alan Pardew, visit Daniel Farke and his Leeds United side at the Elland Road on Saturday afternoon in the Championship. Championship statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Leeds to win

We are predicting Leeds will come out on top after 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Elland Road.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 78% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
78%
1/4
2%
-
Draw
15%
5/1-
Swansea
7%
11/1
8%
-
Leeds 2-0
15%
9/2
10%
-
Leeds 1-0
13%
11/2
8%
-
Leeds 3-0
12%
6/1
8%
-
Leeds 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
-
Draw 1-1
7%
10/1
8%
-
Leeds 4-0
7%
10/1-
Leeds 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
9%
-
Leeds 4-1
4%
20/1-
Leeds 5-0
3%
20/1-
Swansea 1-0
3%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Swansea 2-1
2%
33/1-
Leeds 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Leeds 5-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
65%
1/6-
Away 1st Goal
31%
5/1
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/4
5%
-
BTTS - No
61%
1/2
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
5/2
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
10%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
3%
22/1
12%
-
Home/draw
93%
1/20
1%
-
Away/draw
22%
11/4
6%
-
Home/away
85%
1/8-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
-
Home DNB
88%
1/16
1%
-
Away DNB
18%
9/1
9%
-
Leeds win to nil
52%
4/5
8%
-
Swansea win to nil
4%
16/1
11%
-
Leeds / Leeds
46%
4/5
4%
-
Leeds / Swansea
2%
50/1
24%
-
Leeds / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / Leeds
23%
13/5
3%
-
Draw / Swansea
4%
22/1-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Swansea / Leeds
4%
20/1
9%
-
Swansea / Swansea
4%
22/1-
Swansea / Draw
4%
22/1
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 38 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 38 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 11 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 21 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 76 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 19 games at home winning 15, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 47 goals, kept 12 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Swansea are in 16th position in the Championship on 44 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 10 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 4 and won 8. Swansea have conceded 29 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds Home38231145180 
-
-
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
2
Sheff Utd3825762580 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley38211524178 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland38191271869 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3F
Apr 12
5
Coventry3817813759 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
6
West Brom38131871457 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Bristol C3814159857 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
8
M'Boro3815914954 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 8
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Blackburn3815716252 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Watford3815716-452 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
Millwall38131213-251 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
12
Sheff Wed3814915-651 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Norwich38121313649 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
14
Preston38101711-547 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
15
QPR38111215-645 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
16
Swansea Away3812818-1144 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
-
-
17
Portsmouth3811918-1542 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
18
Oxford Utd38101216-1642 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
May 3
w
 
1-2F
19
Hull38101117-841 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
20
Stoke3891217-1439 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
21
Cardiff3891217-2039 
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
22
Derby3810820-1138 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
23
Luton389821-2635 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
24
Plymouth3871219-3733 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Apr 9
w
 
1-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
16
Leeds have not lost in 16 consecutive home league games
Leeds 1ST
20 league games
Home
16
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Leeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Leeds3 - 0Luton
Leeds2 - 0QPR
Leeds3 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Leeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
Leeds3 - 0Coventry
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds2 - 2QPR
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds0 - 1Portsmouth
HLeeds1 - 1West Brom
ALeeds3 - 1Sheff Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Sunderland
ALeeds4 - 0Watford
ALeeds2 - 0Coventry
HLeeds7 - 0Cardiff
ALeeds0 - 0Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds3 - 3Hull
HLeeds1 - 1Blackburn
ALeeds1 - 0Derby
ALeeds2 - 0Stoke
HLeeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
ALeeds1 - 1Preston
HLeeds3 - 1M'Boro
HLeeds2 - 0Derby
Swansea 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford1 - 0Swansea
Preston0 - 0Swansea
Stoke3 - 1Swansea
Bristol C0 - 1Swansea
Norwich5 - 1Swansea
Cardiff3 - 0Swansea
Portsmouth4 - 0Swansea
Hull2 - 1Swansea
Plymouth1 - 2Swansea
Luton1 - 1Swansea
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Oxford Utd1 - 2Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Utd1 - 0Swansea
Coventry1 - 2Swansea
West Brom1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Norwich2 - 2Swansea
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea0 - 2Burnley
ASwansea0 - 1Watford
HSwansea1 - 0M'Boro
ASwansea0 - 0Preston
HSwansea3 - 0Blackburn
ASwansea1 - 3Stoke
HSwansea0 - 1Sheff Wed
ASwansea1 - 0Bristol C
HSwansea0 - 2Coventry
ASwansea1 - 5Norwich
HSwansea1 - 2Sheff Utd
ASwansea0 - 3Cardiff
HSwansea1 - 1West Brom
ASwansea0 - 4Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 1Luton
HSwansea3 - 0QPR
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea2 - 3Sunderland
ASwansea2 - 1Plymouth
ASwansea1 - 1Luton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Leeds have beaten Swansea in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2007
Leeds
Swansea
Goals: Scored
9
4
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
LEE
4
SWA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds3 - 1
0 - 1Swansea
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds2 - 0
League games at Swansea since 2007
Swansea
Leeds
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
LEE
3
D
1
SWA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
3 - 4Leeds
0 - 4Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Swansea3 - 0
Swansea3 - 2
Goal Statistics
Leeds 1st Swansea 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
57%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 57% probability that Swansea will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Leeds have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Swansea have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280549/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
2.4
0.6
Attack rating
33%
better
LEE
SWA
view stats
Games scored31
23
Failed to score7
15
Scored first23
17
Goals scored76
38
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
35%
better
LEE
SWA
view stats
Games conceded17
28
Clean sheets21
10
Conceded first12
18
Goals conceded25
49
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+35%

Leeds v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381599
I MeslierJ PiroeD JamesJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK38
-
J Rodon DEF381
5
-
J Piroe FWD38156
1
-
B Aaronson MID3782
2
-
J Bogle  DEF3652
9
-
M Joseph FWD3633
-
A Tanaka MID3542
7
-
W Gnonto FWD3555
4
-
J Rothwell MID344
2
-
P Struijk DEF335
2
-
D James MID32109
4
-
M Solomon FWD3177
1
-
S Byram DEF2911
3
-
J Firpo DEF2539
7
-
L Ramazani FWD2542
2
-
E Ampadu MID21
5
-
I Gruev MID17
2
-
A Cil MID13
-
P Bamford FWD9
-
I Schmidt DEF7
-
M Wöber DEF61
1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381068
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldB Cabango
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK38
-
Ronald FWD3816
3
-
J Tymon DEF3724
5
-
J Key DEF372
3
-
B Cabango DEF3711
8
-
L Cullen FWD35102
7
-
Z Vipotnik FWD345
1
-
H Darling DEF3323
3
1
G Franco MID3221
5
-
F Bianchini FWD313
2
-
M Peart-Harris MID2934
6
-
J Eom  FWD2911
1
-
J Fulton MID241
4
-
O Cooper MID2111
-
K Naughton DEF20
1
-
J Allen MID171
1
-
C Christie DEF9
1
-
L O'Brien MID8
-
H Delcroix  DEF7
1
-
S. Parker DEF5
-
J Ginnelly FWD3
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-
B Lloyd MID1
-