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Leeds United v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 12th Mar, 19:45 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United and Millwall meet at the Elland Road on Wednesday evening, with both Daniel Farke and Cenk Laleci aiming for victory in the Championship. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Leeds to win

As training goes on this week and the Leeds players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Elland Road hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Millwall in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Wednesday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
71%
1.25
3%
1.29
Draw
19%
5.505.50
4%
Millwall
10%
11.00
16%
12.00
20%
Leeds 2-0
14%
5.00
9%
5.00
5%
Leeds 1-0
14%
5.50
8%
5.25
5%
Leeds 3-0
10%
7.00
7%
6.50
7%
Leeds 2-1
9%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Draw 1-1
9%
11.009.50
Draw 0-0
7%
10.00
17%
10.00
9%
Leeds 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
Leeds 4-0
5%
12.00
8%
11.00
Millwall 1-0
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Leeds 4-1
3%
21.0017.00
Draw 2-2
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
10%
Millwall 2-1
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
13%
Leeds 5-0
2%
23.00
12%
19.00
Leeds 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
12%
Millwall 2-0
1%
51.00
24%
41.00
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1.91
6%
1.85
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1.91
5%
1.85
5%
Home 1st Goal
63%
1.18
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
33%
6.00
20%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10.00
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
2.62
10%
2.60
9%
BTTS - No
59%
1.44
6%
1.44
6%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4.00
14%
3.70
6%
BTTS - Draw
12%
8.50
6%
8.00
7%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
23.00
21%
19.00
12%
Home/draw
90%
1.05
2%
1.04
1%
Away/draw
29%
3.75
7%
3.70
3%
Home/away
81%
1.141.14
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.29
3%
1.29
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.75
6%
3.40
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.20
7%
3.10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.36
3%
1.33
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6.00
9%
5.75
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.12
2%
1.12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.00
18%
11.00
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
1.03
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
1.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
9%
Home DNB
84%
1.06
2%
1.05
2%
Away DNB
23%
10.00
25%
8.50
13%
Leeds win to nil
46%
1.73
5%
-
Millwall win to nil
6%
15.00-
Leeds / Leeds
44%
1.83
4%
1.83
2%
Leeds / Millwall
1%
67.00
31%
51.00
11%
Leeds / Draw
4%
21.00
11%
19.00
Draw / Leeds
23%
3.50
3%
3.60
5%
Draw / Millwall
4%
23.00
10%
17.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
7%
Millwall / Leeds
4%
23.00
10%
21.00
11%
Millwall / Millwall
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
15%
Millwall / Draw
4%
23.0021.00
11%
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below in the table, having won 20, drawn 10 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 19 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 72 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 18 games at home winning 14, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 45 goals, kept 11 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Millwall are in 13th position in the Championship on 48 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Millwall have conceded 19 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Millwall
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3724762477 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 8
2
Leeds Home36221044976 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
3
Burnley37201523975 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
May 3
4
Sunderland37191262169 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
5
West Brom37131771456 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Coventry3716813456 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Bristol C3713159754 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-3A
8
M'Boro3715814953 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 8
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
9
Blackburn3615714452 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
10
Sheff Wed3714914-551 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Norwich37121312749 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 21
l
 
2-1A
12
Watford3614715-449 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2A
13
Millwall Away36121212-148 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
-
-
14
QPR37111115-644 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston3791711-644 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
16
Swansea3612816-844 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
17
Portsmouth3611916-1342 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
w
 
0-1F
18
Oxford Utd3691215-1639 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
19
Hull3691017-937 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
20
Stoke3681216-1436 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
21
Cardiff3781217-2136 
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
22
Derby379820-1235 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
23
Luton379721-2634 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
24
Plymouth3661218-3730 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
15
Leeds have not lost in 15 consecutive home league games
Leeds 2ND
20 league games
Home
15
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Leeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Leeds3 - 0Luton
Leeds2 - 0QPR
Leeds3 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Leeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
Leeds3 - 0Coventry
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
Leeds4 - 0Norwich
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds0 - 1Portsmouth
HLeeds1 - 1West Brom
ALeeds3 - 1Sheff Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Sunderland
ALeeds4 - 0Watford
ALeeds2 - 0Coventry
HLeeds7 - 0Cardiff
ALeeds0 - 0Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds3 - 3Hull
HLeeds1 - 1Blackburn
ALeeds1 - 0Derby
ALeeds2 - 0Stoke
HLeeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
ALeeds1 - 1Preston
HLeeds3 - 1M'Boro
HLeeds2 - 0Derby
ALeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds3 - 0Luton
Millwall 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford1 - 2Millwall
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Preston1 - 1Millwall
Plymouth5 - 1Millwall
Portsmouth0 - 1Millwall
Luton0 - 1Millwall
Sheff Wed2 - 2Millwall
Coventry0 - 0Millwall
Norwich2 - 1Millwall
M'Boro1 - 0Millwall
Oxford Utd1 - 1Millwall
Stoke1 - 1Millwall
Swansea0 - 1Millwall
West Brom0 - 0Millwall
Cardiff1 - 0Millwall
QPR1 - 1Millwall
Hull0 - 0Millwall
Bristol C4 - 3Millwall
Swansea0 - 1Millwall
Sunderland0 - 1Millwall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMillwall2 - 1Watford
HMillwall0 - 2Bristol C
AMillwall1 - 0Derby
AMillwall1 - 1Preston
HMillwall1 - 1West Brom
AMillwall1 - 5Plymouth
HMillwall2 - 1QPR
AMillwall1 - 0Portsmouth
AMillwall1 - 0Luton
HMillwall2 - 2Cardiff
HMillwall0 - 1Hull
AMillwall2 - 2Sheff Wed
HMillwall0 - 1Oxford Utd
AMillwall0 - 0Coventry
AMillwall1 - 2Norwich
HMillwall1 - 0Blackburn
AMillwall0 - 1M'Boro
HMillwall0 - 1Sheff Utd
HMillwall0 - 1Coventry
AMillwall1 - 1Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Leeds have beaten Millwall in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Millwall
Goals: Scored
30
17
Games: Scored
14 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
1 / 15
LEE
11
D
2
MIL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds3 - 2
Leeds3 - 2
3 - 4Millwall
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds3 - 1
0 - 2Millwall
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds4 - 2
Leeds2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Millwall since 2005
Millwall
Leeds
Goals: Scored
20
14
Games: Scored
12 / 16
10 / 16
Clean sheets
6 / 16
4 / 16
LEE
4
D
2
MIL
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall1 - 0
0 - 3Leeds
Millwall2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Millwall1 - 0
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall1 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Millwall3 - 2
Millwall2 - 1
Millwall1 - 0
Millwall3 - 1
0 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Leeds 2nd Millwall 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Millwall will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Leeds have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-6
Millwall’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280529/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Millwall
2.1
0.6
Attack rating
30%
better
LEE
MIL
view stats
Games scored29
25
Failed to score7
11
Scored first22
17
Goals scored72
36
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
12
Avg. XG for2
1.1
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
27%
better
LEE
MIL
view stats
Games conceded16
24
Clean sheets20
12
Conceded first11
16
Goals conceded23
37
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

Leeds v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361598
I MeslierJ PiroeD JamesJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK36
-
J Rodon DEF361
5
-
J Piroe FWD36156
1
-
B Aaronson MID3582
2
-
M Joseph FWD3533
-
J Bogle  DEF3442
8
-
A Tanaka MID3332
7
-
W Gnonto FWD3355
4
-
J Rothwell MID324
2
-
P Struijk DEF315
1
-
D James MID30109
4
-
M Solomon FWD2977
1
-
S Byram DEF2811
3
-
J Firpo DEF2338
7
-
L Ramazani FWD2342
2
-
E Ampadu MID21
5
-
I Gruev MID16
2
-
A Cil MID13
-
P Bamford FWD10
-
I Schmidt DEF7
-
M Wöber DEF61
1
-
Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35558
L JensenM IvanovicF AzeezG Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Saville MID362
8
-
C Norre MID3631
5
-
L Jensen GLK35
1
-
J Tanganga DEF332
7
-
J Bryan DEF3311
6
-
G Honeyman MID3323
7
-
F Azeez FWD2815
2
-
M Langstaff FWD2812
-
R Leonard MID271
8
-
J Cooper DEF2631
4
-
M Ivanovic FWD265
2
-
D Watmore FWD2651
-
R Wintle MID181
3
-
A Emakhu FWD152
1
1
D McNamara DEF13
1
-
B Mitchell MID12
1
-
M Wallace DEF11
-
J Coburn FWD114
-
T Crama DEF102
1
-
S Hutchinson DEF9
1
-
A Connolly FWD81
1
-
L Cundle MID71
1
-
C. Scanlon DEF41
-
C Neghli FWD3
-
L Roberts GLK2
-
D Kelly MID2
-
Z. Sturge DEF1
-