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Leeds United v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Dec, 20:00 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Daniel Farke welcomes Michael Carrick to the Elland Road on Tuesday night, as their Leeds United and Middlesbrough charges do battle in the Championship. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
45%
--
Draw
24%
--
M'Boro
31%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Leeds 2-1
9%
--
Leeds 1-0
9%
--
M'Boro 2-1
7%
--
Leeds 2-0
7%
--
M'Boro 1-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Leeds 3-1
5%
--
M'Boro 2-0
5%
--
Leeds 3-0
4%
--
Leeds 3-2
3%
--
M'Boro 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-2
3%
--
Leeds 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Leeds win to nil
21%
--
M'Boro win to nil
14%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 29 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

M'Boro are in 6th position in the Championship on 27 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 1. M'Boro have conceded 3 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1711421535 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
2
Burnley179621533 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
Dec 29
Dec 6
3
Sunderland179621433 
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
Feb 3
l
 
1-0A
4
Leeds 169521632 
-
-
Apr 8
Dec 10
5
Watford17926229 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
6
M'Boro 168351027 
Dec 10
Apr 8
-
-
7
West Brom17692727 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
w
 
0-1F
8
Millwall16664524 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
Dec 14
Apr 12
9
Norwich17575622 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
10
Blackburn15645222 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Nov 27
Apr 5
11
Bristol C17575-122 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
12
Sheff Wed17647-622 
Jan 19
w
 
0-2F
Dec 26
Apr 21
13
Stoke17566-121 
Apr 21
Dec 26
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
14
Derby16556020 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
15
Swansea16547019 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
16
Luton16538-818 
Nov 27
Apr 5
w
 
5-1F
Mar 15
17
Coventry17458-317 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
l
 
0-3A
May 3
18
Oxford Utd17458-817 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
19
Preston17386-817 
Apr 12
Dec 14
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
20
Plymouth17458-1617 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Apr 18
Dec 21
21
Cardiff16448-916 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
22
Hull17368-715 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
Nov 30
Jan 1
23
Portsmouth15267-1212 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
24
QPR16187-1311 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
Mar 11
w
 
1-4F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds2 - 0QPR
Leeds3 - 0Plymouth
Leeds2 - 1Watford
Leeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
Leeds3 - 0Coventry
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Leeds2 - 0Hull
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
Leeds4 - 0Norwich
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Blackburn
Leeds0 - 0Sunderland
Leeds3 - 1Hull
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 0Stoke
Leeds3 - 1Leicester
Leeds3 - 0Rotherham
Leeds1 - 0Norwich
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds4 - 3Swansea
HLeeds2 - 0QPR
ALeeds0 - 1Millwall
HLeeds3 - 0Plymouth
ALeeds0 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds2 - 1Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Sheff Utd
ALeeds2 - 2Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 1Norwich
HLeeds3 - 0Coventry
ALeeds2 - 0Cardiff
HLeeds0 - 1Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Hull
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds0 - 0West Brom
HLeeds3 - 3Portsmouth
HLeeds0 - 1Southampton
HLeeds4 - 0Norwich
ALeeds0 - 0Norwich
HLeeds1 - 2Southampton
M'Boro 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro6 - 2Oxford Utd
HM'Boro5 - 1Luton
AM'Boro4 - 1QPR
HM'Boro0 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro3 - 3Norwich
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
HM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
AM'Boro1 - 2Watford
AM'Boro1 - 0West Brom
HM'Boro2 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro0 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
HM'Boro3 - 4Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Ipswich
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Leeds have beaten M'Boro in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Leeds have not lost to M'Boro in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
27
16
Games: Scored
14 / 19
11 / 19
Clean sheets
8 / 19
5 / 19
LEE
10
D
5
MID
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds3 - 2
Leeds4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 1
Leeds2 - 1
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3M'Boro
2 - 3M'Boro
Leeds1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Leeds3 - 0
League games at M'Boro since 1992
M'Boro
Leeds
Goals: Scored
24
22
Games: Scored
12 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
7 / 19
LEE
7
D
8
MID
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
3 - 4Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro3 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 2Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday night, not least because Middlesbrough have conceded in each of their last 5 Championship games. A PG of 1.6 for D. Farke's side suggests that run should continue.

Leeds 4th M'Boro 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+26
M'Boro have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280318/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
LEE
MID
2%
better
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score4
4
Scored first9
9
Goals scored28
29
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
32%
better
LEE
MID
view stats
Games conceded7
11
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded12
19
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against0.7
0.8
KickOff rating
+32%

Leeds v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16656
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Firpo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK16
-
P Struijk DEF162
1
-
J Rodon DEF16
4
-
J Rothwell MID161
1
-
B Aaronson MID1641
-
J Piroe FWD1662
-
W Gnonto FWD1635
4
-
M Joseph FWD1623
-
J Bogle  DEF152
4
-
S Byram DEF131
2
-
J Firpo DEF1313
6
-
A Tanaka MID13
2
-
D James FWD1022
2
-
M Solomon FWD921
-
I Gruev MID8
2
-
L Ramazani FWD831
-
E Ampadu MID7
2
-
P Bamford FWD6
-
I Schmidt DEF4
-
J Gelhardt FWD2
-
M Wöber DEF1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16775
F AzazE LathF AzazH Hackney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Ayling DEF162
1
-
F Azaz MID1657
3
-
E Lath FWD1672
2
-
S Dieng GLK15
-
A Morris MID15
2
-
H Hackney MID142
4
1
I Jones FWD14
1
-
D Burgzorg FWD132
1
-
G Edmundson DEF121
4
-
N Borges DEF121
2
-
T Conway FWD126
-
M. Hamilton FWD12
-
M Clarke DEF112
-
B Doak FWD1113
4
-
R McGree MID1015
1
-
R Berg DEF8
1
-
A Dijksteel DEF81
-
D Barlaser MID81
-
J Howson MID5
-
L Engel DEF3
1
-
M Forss FWD3
-
D Fry DEF1
-
A Gilbert FWD1
-