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Leeds United v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

The Championship is the focus for both Leeds United and Luton Town on Wednesday evening, as managers Daniel Farke and Rob Edwards battle it out at the Elland Road. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Leeds United's next match is v Derby at 12:30 on Saturday 7th December
Luton Town's next match is v Swansea at 15:00 on Saturday 7th December
The last English Championship meeting between Leeds and Luton was on Wednesday 27th November 2024
English Championship
November 27th 2024
Leeds 3
0 Luton
 
S. Byram 10'
J. Piroe 45'
D. James 81'
 
LEE
LUT
Shots On
11
4
Shots Off
2
2
Corners
9
1
Possession
76%
24%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
LeedsLuton
 
I. Meslier
J. Bogle
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
S. Byramfootball icon (M. Wöber 59')
A. Tanaka
B. Aaronson (L. Ramazani 84')
J. Rothwell (J. Guilavogui 84')
M. Solomon
J. Piroefootball icon (M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 70')
D. Gnonto (D. James 69')
T. Kaminski
A. Bell
T. Mengi
M. McGuinness
(D. Hashioka 46') R. Burke
(S. Baptiste 74') M. Nakamba
J. Clark
T. Krauß
(J. Taylor 59') J. Brown
(E. Adebayo 60') C. Morris
(T. Chong 77') V. Moses

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Leeds to win

A Championship victory in front of their own fans for Daniel Farke's Leeds side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Leeds win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
69%
9/20
1%
10/21
Draw
20%
3/110/3
3%
Luton
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
Leeds 2-0
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Leeds 1-0
13%
5/19/2
Leeds 2-1
9%
15/27/1
7%
Draw 1-1
9%
7/113/2
Leeds 3-0
9%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
6%
8/1
5%
15/2
Leeds 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Leeds 4-0
5%
18/114/1
Luton 1-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
Leeds 4-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Luton 2-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Leeds 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Leeds 5-0
2%
40/125/1
10%
Luton 2-0
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
4/53/4
3%
Home 1st Goal
61%
3/10-
Away 1st Goal
35%
3/1-
No 1st Goal
4%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
BTTS - No
56%
8/13
3%
8/13
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/427/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
13%
5/15/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Home/draw
88%
1/12
2%
1/11
1%
Away/draw
31%
13/8
5%
13/8
1%
Home/away
80%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/3
2%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
12/5
3%
21/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
8%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
1%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
5%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
82%
1/8
2%
2/15
1%
Away DNB
26%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Leeds win to nil
43%
11/10-
Luton win to nil
7%
12/1-
Leeds / Leeds
37%
5/423/20
2%
Leeds / Luton
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
Leeds / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Leeds
20%
3/129/10
Draw / Luton
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2
8%
9/2
Luton / Leeds
4%
22/118/1
Luton / Luton
7%
12/1
8%
9/1
Luton / Draw
5%
18/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Luton are in 16th position in the Championship on 18 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Luton have conceded 15 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley1810621736 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
3
Leeds 1810531835 
-
-
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
4
Sunderland189631333 
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 12
5
M'Boro189361130 
Dec 10
Apr 8
Mar 15
l
 
5-1A
6
Watford18936230 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
7
West Brom186102728 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 3
8
Blackburn17845428 
Jan 1
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
Dec 14
9
Norwich18675825 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
Jan 1
l
 
4-2F
10
Millwall17674525 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
11
Bristol C18675325 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 21
Dec 26
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
Jan 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
13
Swansea18657123 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
Dec 7
Dec 29
14
Stoke18567-321 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Dec 10
Apr 8
15
Derby18558-220 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Dec 20
Apr 18
16
Coventry18468-318 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Dec 21
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
Jan 21
18
Preston18396-818 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
19
Luton 185310-1318 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
-
-
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 11
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Feb 8
l
 
3-1A
22
Hull18369-915 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
23
QPR18297-1115 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
l
 
1-2F
Jan 6
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Luton 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
48
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leeds have not lost to Luton in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Leeds since 2006
Leeds
Luton
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
LEE
3
D
1
League games at Luton since 2005
Luton
Leeds
Goals: Scored
7
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
LEE
1
D
2
LUT
1
Goal Statistics
Leeds 3rd Luton 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Luton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Luton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280283/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
2
0.7
Attack rating
10%
better
LEE
LUT
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score4
3
Scored first9
7
Goals scored28
18
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
35%
better
LEE
LUT
view stats
Games conceded7
11
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded12
26
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+35%

Leeds v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18755
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Bogle 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK18
-
J Bogle  DEF1721
5
-
J Rodon DEF18
4
-
P Struijk DEF182
1
-
S Byram DEF1411
2
-
J Rothwell MID181
1
-
A Tanaka MID15
2
-
W Gnonto MID1835
4
-
B Aaronson MID1841
-
M Solomon MID1121
-
J Piroe FWD1872
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK
-
J Debayo DEF1
-
M Wöber DEF2
-
A Cil MID4
-
C. Crew MID1
-
D James MID1232
2
-
L Ramazani FWD1031
2
-
M Joseph FWD1823
-
P Bamford FWD7
-
Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17435
T KaminskiC MorrisT KraußJ Clark
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK171
2
1
R Burke DEF9
4
-
M McGuinness DEF1612
2
-
T Mengi DEF151
2
-
V Moses  MID111
-
T Krauß MID1313
-
M Nakamba MID10
1
-
J Clark MID1631
5
-
A Bell MID9
1
-
J Brown FWD1131
-
C Morris FWD1541
3
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
D Hashioka DEF9
3
-
T Holmes DEF81
2
1
P Mpanzu MID6
1
-
T Chong MID162
3
-
S Baptiste MID11
2
-
C Woodrow FWD8
1
-
J Taylor FWD9
-
E Adebayo FWD183
1
-