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Leeds United v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 12:30 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Leeds United and their manager Daniel Farke will be looking to get one over on Paul Warne and his Derby County side on Saturday lunch time, as the pair clash at the Elland Road in the Championship. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
59%
--
Draw
23%
--
Derby
18%
--
Leeds 1-0
13%
--
Leeds 2-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Leeds 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Leeds 3-0
7%
--
Derby 1-0
6%
--
Leeds 3-1
6%
--
Derby 2-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Leeds 4-0
3%
--
Derby 2-0
3%
--
Leeds 4-1
2%
--
Leeds 3-2
2%
--
Derby 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
47%
--
BTTS - No
53%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
82%
--
Away/draw
41%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
76%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Leeds win to nil
36%
--
Derby win to nil
10%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Derby are in 14th position in the Championship on 20 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Derby have conceded 15 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1711421535 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
2
Burnley179621533 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
Apr 9
Dec 10
3
Sunderland179621433 
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
4
Leeds 169521632 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 7
5
Watford17926229 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
6
M'Boro168351027 
Dec 10
Apr 8
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
7
West Brom17692727 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 26
Apr 21
8
Millwall16664524 
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
9
Norwich17575622 
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
10
Blackburn15645222 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
11
Bristol C17575-122 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
12
Sheff Wed17647-622 
Jan 19
w
 
0-2F
Dec 1
Jan 1
13
Stoke17566-121 
Apr 21
Dec 26
May 3
l
 
2-1A
14
Derby 16556020 
Dec 7
Dec 29
-
-
15
Swansea16547019 
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
Nov 27
Apr 5
16
Luton16538-818 
Nov 27
Apr 5
Apr 18
Dec 20
17
Coventry17458-317 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
18
Oxford Utd17458-817 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
19
Preston17386-817 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
20
Plymouth17458-1617 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
21
Cardiff16448-916 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
22
Hull17368-715 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
23
Portsmouth15267-1212 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
Dec 13
Apr 12
24
QPR16187-1311 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Derby 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leeds since 1997
Leeds
Derby
Goals: Scored
29
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
5 / 20
LEE
8
D
6
DER
6
League games at Derby since 1996
Derby
Leeds
Goals: Scored
27
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
5 / 20
LEE
7
D
5
DER
8
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday lunch time, not least because Derby County have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship outings. A PG of 1.8 for D. Farke's side suggests that run should continue.

Leeds 4th Derby 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Derby have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280308/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
0%
better
LEE
DER
view stats
Games scored12
14
Failed to score4
2
Scored first9
8
Goals scored28
20
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
32%
better
LEE
DER
view stats
Games conceded7
12
Clean sheets9
4
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded12
20
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%

Leeds v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16656
I MeslierJ PiroeW GnontoJ Firpo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK16
-
J Rodon DEF16
4
-
P Struijk DEF162
1
-
J Rothwell MID161
1
-
B Aaronson MID1641
-
M Joseph FWD1623
-
J Piroe FWD1662
-
W Gnonto FWD1635
4
-
J Bogle  DEF152
4
-
S Byram DEF131
2
-
J Firpo DEF1313
6
-
A Tanaka MID13
2
-
D James FWD1022
2
-
M Solomon FWD921
-
I Gruev MID8
2
-
L Ramazani FWD831
-
E Ampadu MID7
2
-
P Bamford FWD6
-
I Schmidt DEF4
-
J Gelhardt FWD2
-
M Wöber DEF1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16435
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF162
1
-
E Adams MID161
4
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1613
2
-
K Jackson FWD1622
2
-
K Goudmijn MID152
2
-
J Zetterström GLK14
-
C Forsyth DEF1411
2
-
E Cashin DEF14
5
-
J Yates FWD1442
1
-
B Osborn MID121
1
-
K Wilson DEF111
-
N Phillips DEF11
1
-
J Collins FWD10
1
-
M Harness FWD101
3
-
C Elder DEF91
3
-
R Nyambe DEF9
1
-
L Thompson MID8
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD71
1
-
D Brown FWD71
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Ward MID4
-
T Barkhuizen FWD4
1
-
S Bradley DEF3
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
T Chirewa MID2
1
-