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Hull City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00 BST, KCOM Stadium, Hull

We’ve Championship action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Ruben Albes and his Hull City side host John Coleman’s Derby County at the KCOM Stadium. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hull
47%
--
Draw
25%
--
Derby
27%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Hull 1-0
11%
--
Hull 2-1
9%
--
Hull 2-0
8%
--
Derby 1-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Derby 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Hull 3-1
5%
--
Derby 2-0
4%
--
Hull 3-0
4%
--
Hull 3-2
3%
--
Derby 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Hull 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
53%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
45%
--
Hull win to nil
26%
--
Derby win to nil
14%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

Hull have played 41 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 44 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Hull have played 20 games at home winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 9 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Derby are in 21st position in the Championship on 43 points having played 42 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 37 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

37 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 9 and won 9. Derby have conceded 47 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hull
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds42251345388 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley42241624488 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd4226792483 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland42211381976 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Bristol C42161610964 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
Coventry4118815562 
Apr 14
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
7
West Brom421418101260 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
8
M'Boro42179161060 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Millwall42161214060 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
10
Blackburn4216818056 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
11
Watford4216818-556 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
12
Swansea4215918-654 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
13
Norwich42131415553 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
14
Sheff Wed42141117-853 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
15
QPR42121416-650 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
16
Preston42101913-849 
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
17
Oxford Utd42121218-1748 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
18
Stoke42111417-1147 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-3A
May 3
l
 
2-1A
19
Portsmouth42121020-1646 
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
20
Hull Home41111119-944 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
21
Derby Away42111021-1043 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
-
-
22
Cardiff4291518-2142 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
23
Luton42101022-2640 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
24
Plymouth4291320-3840 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Hull 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hull since 2005
Hull
Derby
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
HUL
4
D
1
DER
6
League games at Derby since 2006
Derby
Hull
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
HUL
4
D
3
DER
5
Goal Statistics

Hull City's defensive record is very strong, Ruben Albes's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Derby County makes sense in this context.

Hull 20th Derby 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Hull will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Hull have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Derby have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280619/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hull
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
HUL
DER
3%
better
view stats
Games scored26
26
Failed to score15
15
Scored first17
16
Goals scored40
42
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
HUL
DER
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded34
31
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first23
22
Goals conceded49
52
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%

Hull v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Hull Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38639
I PandurJ Pedro A KamaraC Hughes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Slater MID3911
7
-
I Pandur GLK38
3
-
L Coyle DEF3812
7
-
A Jones DEF36
7
-
S McLoughlin DEF312
4
-
A Kamara FWD3043
1
-
J Pedro  FWD2961
4
1
M Burstow FWD2721
1
-
C Drameh DEF2611
2
-
G Puerta  MID26
4
1
S Alzate MID241
2
-
K Palmer MID2212
2
-
C Hughes DEF2111
9
-
J Gelhardt FWD143
3
-
M Crooks MID1321
1
-
K Joseph FWD12
-
L Millar FWD1112
3
-
Belloumi FWD1022
1
-
F Burns DEF9
1
-
M Jacob DEF81
2
-
Óscar Zambrano MID811
-
J Egan DEF6
1
-
E Matazo MID61
1
-
Lincoln MID61
-
N Amrabat FWD5
-
L Barry FWD4
-
H Vaughan MID3
1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
388411
J ZetterströmJ YatesJ YatesM Harness
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Jackson FWD4032
5
-
J Zetterström GLK38
1
-
E Adams MID385
10
-
K Goudmijn MID3822
5
-
J Yates FWD3684
1
-
M Harness MID3542
11
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3524
3
-
C Forsyth DEF3332
4
-
C Elder DEF293
8
-
C Nelson DEF2721
3
-
K Wilson DEF2721
-
N Phillips DEF263
4
-
B Osborn MID251
2
-
L Thompson MID241
5
-
R Nyambe DEF17
2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD17
2
-
D Brown FWD151
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD121
1
-
M Clarke DEF101
1
-
D Ozoh MID101
-
H. Armstrong MID91
2
-
S Langas DEF8
-
L Salvesen FWD81
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
K Roofe FWD2
-