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Derby County v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 27th Nov, 20:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Luke Williams pays counterpart Paul Warne a visit on Wednesday night in the Championship, as their Swansea City and Derby County teams face each other at the Pride Park Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

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Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Derby 52%	-	-
Draw 28%	-	-
Swansea 20%	-	-
Derby 1-0 17%	-	-
Draw 0-0 13%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Derby 2-0 12%	-	-
Swansea 1-0 9%	-	-
Derby 2-1 8%	-	-
Derby 3-0 5%	-	-
Swansea 2-1 4%	-	-
Derby 3-1 4%	-	-
Swansea 2-0 3%	-	-
Draw 2-2 3%	-	-
Derby 4-0 2%	-	-
Derby 3-2 1%	-	-
Derby 4-1 1%	-	-
Swansea 3-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 34%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 66%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 37%	-	-
No 1st Goal 9%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 37%	-	-
BTTS - No 63%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	-	-
Home/draw 80%	-	-
Away/draw 48%	-	-
Home/away 72%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 61%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 39%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 15%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 85%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 87%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 13%	-	-
Home DNB 72%	-	-
Away DNB 39%	-	-
Derby win to nil 37%	-	-
Swansea win to nil 13%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Derby have conceded 10 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 7 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Swansea lay in 11th place on 19 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches. Swansea are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swansea have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Swansea have played 8 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Derby Swansea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Sunderland	15	9	4	2	14	31	Jan 21	l 2-0A	Dec 14	Apr 12
2	Sheff Utd	15	10	3	2	12	31	Feb 1	l 1-0A	Jan 21	l 1-0A
3	Leeds	15	8	5	2	15	29	Dec 29	Dec 7	Nov 24	Mar 29
4	Burnley	15	7	6	2	12	27	Apr 9	Dec 10	Mar 15	l 1-0A
5	Watford	16	8	2	6	1	26	Jan 18	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	Mar 12
6	West Brom	15	6	7	2	7	25	Dec 26	Apr 21	Jan 4	l 1-0A
7	M'Boro	15	7	3	5	6	24	w 1-0F	Mar 1	Mar 8	l 1-0A
8	Millwall	15	6	5	4	5	23	Feb 22	d 1-1F	l 0-1A	Apr 26
9	Blackburn	15	6	4	5	2	22	Mar 8	l 4-2A	Feb 22	l 1-0A
10	Bristol C	15	5	7	3	1	22	w 3-0F	Jan 4	d 1-1F	Feb 9
11	Swansea	15	5	4	6	1	19	Nov 27	Apr 5	-	-
12	Derby	15	5	4	6	0	19	-	-	Apr 5	Nov 27
13	Stoke	15	5	4	6	-1	19	May 3	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Feb 15
14	Norwich	15	4	6	5	1	18	l 2-3A	Feb 8	w 1-0F	Jan 25
15	Sheff Wed	15	5	3	7	-8	18	Dec 1	Jan 1	Feb 11	d 0-00-0
16	Oxford Utd	15	4	5	6	-1	17	Feb 11	d 1-1A	May 3	w 1-2F
17	Plymouth	16	4	5	7	-11	17	d 1-1F	Mar 15	Apr 9	Dec 10
18	Coventry	15	4	4	7	-1	16	Mar 11	w 1-2F	Feb 1	w 1-2F
19	Hull	15	3	6	6	-4	15	d 1-1A	Apr 26	Apr 18	Dec 21
20	Preston	15	3	6	6	-8	15	Mar 29	Nov 23	w 3-0F	Mar 1
21	Luton	15	4	3	8	-9	15	Apr 18	Dec 20	Dec 29	Dec 7
22	Cardiff	15	4	3	8	-9	15	w 1-0F	Jan 25	d 1-1F	Jan 18
23	Portsmouth	15	2	6	7	-12	12	Dec 13	Apr 12	Nov 30	Jan 1
24	QPR	15	1	7	7	-13	10	w 2-0F	Feb 14	Dec 26	Apr 21

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
Derby	1 - 1	Hull
Derby	2 - 0	QPR
Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff
Derby	3 - 0	Bristol C
Derby	1 - 0	M'Boro
Derby	2 - 0	Carlisle
Derby	3 - 0	L Orient
Derby	1 - 0	Blackpool
Derby	1 - 0	Bolton
Derby	2 - 1	Reading
Derby	3 - 0	Port Vale
Derby	1 - 2	Charlton
Derby	1 - 0	Stevenage
Derby	1 - 1	Shrewsbury
Derby	2 - 1	Cheltenham
Derby	3 - 2	Burton
Derby	2 - 3	Peterborough
Derby	3 - 1	Lincoln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
A	Derby	2 - 1	Coventry
A	Derby	1 - 2	Stoke
H	Derby	1 - 1	Hull
A	Derby	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Derby	1 - 1	Millwall
H	Derby	2 - 0	QPR
A	Derby	0 - 2	Sunderland
H	Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
A	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Derby	3 - 0	Bristol C
A	Derby	1 - 2	Watford
H	Derby	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Derby	2 - 4	Blackburn
H	Derby	2 - 0	Carlisle
A	Derby	1 - 0	Cambridge
H	Derby	3 - 0	L Orient
A	Derby	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Derby	2 - 2	Portsmouth

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
Oxford Utd	1 - 2	Swansea
Sheff Wed	0 - 0	Swansea
Blackburn	1 - 0	Swansea
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Swansea
Coventry	1 - 2	Swansea
West Brom	1 - 0	Swansea
M'Boro	1 - 0	Swansea
Norwich	2 - 2	Swansea
Huddersfield	0 - 4	Swansea
M'Boro	2 - 0	Swansea
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Swansea
Bristol C	1 - 0	Swansea
Watford	1 - 1	Swansea
Sunderland	1 - 2	Swansea
Hull	0 - 1	Swansea
Leicester	3 - 1	Swansea
Birmingham	2 - 2	Swansea
Coventry	2 - 2	Swansea
Southampton	5 - 0	Swansea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Burnley
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Watford
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
H	Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	0 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Blackburn
H	Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Bristol C
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Coventry
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Norwich
A	Swansea	0 - 1	West Brom
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Cardiff
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Preston
A	Swansea	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	2 - 2	Norwich
A	Swansea	4 - 0	Huddersfield
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Stoke

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby have not lost to Swansea in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Derby have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Swansea

Derby

Swansea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

DER

SWA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Derby	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Derby	2 - 1
Derby	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Swansea
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Swansea

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

DER

SWA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Swansea	2 - 1
Swansea	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Derby
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Swansea	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Swansea City's defensive record is to be admired, L. Williams's men having conceded 1 or less in 16 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Derby County makes sense in this context.

	Derby 12th	Swansea 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal	0 49% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 84% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+10 Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-7 Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

38%

better

DER

SWA

view stats

Games scored	13		7
Failed to score	2		8
Scored first	8		7
Goals scored	19		11
Avg. goals scored	1.3		0.7
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		10
Conversion rate for	16		10
Avg. XG for	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+38%

DER

SWA

25%

better

view stats

Games conceded	11		10
Clean sheets	4		5
Conceded first	7		6
Goals conceded	19		10
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		13
Conversion rate against	15%		7%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+25%

Derby v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	3	3	5
C Nelson	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing	E Cashin

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Nelson DEF	15	2		1 -
E Adams MID	15	1		4 -
K Goudmijn MID	15	2		2 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	15	1	3	2 -
K Jackson FWD	15	2	2	2 -
J Zetterström GLK	13			-
C Forsyth DEF	13	1	1	2 -
E Cashin DEF	13			5 -
J Yates FWD	13	3	2	1 -
B Osborn MID	11		1	1 -
K Wilson DEF	10	1		-
N Phillips DEF	10			1 -
C Elder DEF	9		1	3 -
R Nyambe DEF	9			1 -
J Collins FWD	9			1 -
M Harness FWD	9	1		2 -
L Thompson MID	7			-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	7	1		1 -
D Brown FWD	6	1		-
D Ozoh MID	5	1		-
J Ward MID	4			-
T Barkhuizen FWD	4			1 -
S Bradley DEF	3			1 -
J Vickers GLK	2			-
T Chirewa MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	3	21
J Yates	K Jackson	N Mendez-Laing	N Mendez-Laing

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Yates FWD	3	7	2	6
C Nelson DEF	2	6		1
K Goudmijn MID	2	4		6
K Jackson FWD	2	8	2	6
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	1	4		4
N Mendez-Laing FWD	1	3	3	21
C Forsyth DEF	1	1	1	3
K Wilson DEF	1	3		2
E Adams MID	1	2		4
D Ozoh MID	1	2
D Brown FWD	1	1
M Harness FWD	1	2		3
S Bradley DEF		1
T Barkhuizen FWD		1
J Ward MID		1
C Elder DEF			1	4
L Thompson MID				2
R Nyambe DEF				1
N Phillips DEF		2
B Osborn MID			1	13
E Cashin DEF		4		1
T Chirewa MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
627	55	114
E Cashin	E Adams	E Adams

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Cashin DEF	627	25	70
C Nelson DEF	548	16	51
K Goudmijn MID	408	18	40
E Adams MID	340	55	114
J Zetterström GLK	336	1	9
N Mendez-Laing FWD	309	22	52
C Forsyth DEF	294	13	33
B Osborn MID	254	15	27
C Elder DEF	251	9	30
K Jackson FWD	235	19	61
R Nyambe DEF	209	15	29
K Wilson DEF	171	12	42
J Yates FWD	145	2	33
N Phillips DEF	139	5	22
M Harness FWD	136	7	17
D Ozoh MID	100	20	36
L Thompson MID	93	2	5
J Vickers GLK	57		1
S Bradley DEF	54		2
J Collins FWD	37	1	9
T Barkhuizen FWD	37	3	7
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	33	2	10
T Chirewa MID	25	3	5
J Ward MID	24	1	3
D Brown FWD	12		7

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	2	3	4
L Vigouroux	Z Vipotnik	Ronald	J Tymon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Vigouroux GLK	15			-
H Darling DEF	15		1	2 -
J Key DEF	15			2 -
B Cabango DEF	15	1	1	2 -
M Grimes MID	15	1		1 -
Ronald FWD	15		3	2 -
J Tymon DEF	14			4 -
Z Vipotnik FWD	14	2		-
G Franco MID	13		1	4 -
M Peart-Harris MID	12	1		2 -
O Cooper MID	12	1	1	-
L Cullen FWD	12	2		2 -
J Allen MID	11			1 -
K Naughton DEF	10			1 -
A Abdulai DEF	10	1		1 -
F Bianchini FWD	9	1		1 -
J Eom FWD	9		1	-
J Fulton MID	7			2 -
N Tjoe-A-On DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	3	14
Z Vipotnik	Z Vipotnik	Ronald	Ronald

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cullen FWD	2	6		3
Z Vipotnik FWD	2	7		1
M Peart-Harris MID	1	2		7
B Cabango DEF	1	1	1	3
M Grimes MID	1	3		13
F Bianchini FWD	1	3
A Abdulai DEF	1	1		2
O Cooper MID	1	2	1	8
J Fulton MID				1
J Eom FWD		2	1	6
K Naughton DEF				2
J Allen MID		2		2
H Darling DEF		5	1	3
G Franco MID		5	1	8
J Tymon DEF		1		12
Ronald FWD		6	3	14
J Key DEF		3		9

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1241	37	96
M Grimes	G Franco	Ronald

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Grimes MID	1241	23	53
B Cabango DEF	1149	33	69
H Darling DEF	1026	12	80
L Vigouroux GLK	656	1	6
J Key DEF	617	20	64
J Tymon DEF	574	17	36
G Franco MID	453	37	62
Ronald FWD	347	26	96
K Naughton DEF	265	13	25
O Cooper MID	210	15	45
J Eom FWD	200	13	45
M Peart-Harris MID	181	9	36
J Allen MID	139	5	9
L Cullen FWD	119	9	30
J Fulton MID	101	4	10
A Abdulai DEF	97	6	26
Z Vipotnik FWD	64	1	15
F Bianchini FWD	59	11	20
N Tjoe-A-On DEF	4

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Blackburn v Portsmouth

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:00

Luton v Hull

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:00

Millwall v Sunderland

Sheff Utd v Oxford Utd

Sunderland v West Brom

Tue 26th Nov, 20:00

Cardiff v QPR

Wed 27th Nov, 19:45

Portsmouth v Millwall

Sheff Utd v Sunderland

Fri 29th Nov, 20:00

Watford v QPR

Sat 30th Nov, 12:30

Oxford Utd v Millwall

Derby County v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Derby have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Swansea lay in 11th place on 19 points in the Championship league table having played 15 matches. Swansea are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Derby v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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