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Derby County v Sunderland : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Jan, 19:45 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Régis Le Bris will be hoping for a vital away win in the Championship on Tuesday evening, as he takes his Sunderland side to the Pride Park Stadium to visit Derby County and Paul Warne. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
43%
--
Draw
28%
--
Sunderland
29%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Derby 1-0
13%
--
Sunderland 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Derby 2-1
8%
--
Derby 2-0
8%
--
Sunderland 2-1
7%
--
Sunderland 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Sunderland 3-1
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Sunderland 3-0
2%
--
Sunderland 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Home 1st Goal
50%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
57%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
49%
--
Derby win to nil
26%
--
Sunderland win to nil
17%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Derby have conceded 29 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Sunderland lay in 4th place on 50 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 34 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Sunderland have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Sunderland have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Sunderland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2615832953 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Feb 17
2
Burnley26141022252 
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
3
Sheff Utd2616641952 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland Away2614841750 
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
-
-
5
M'Boro2611871141 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
6
West Brom2691341140 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
7
Blackburn251168539 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
8
Bristol C269107337 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
9
Watford2511410-137 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
10
Sheff Wed261079-237 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
11
Norwich26998636 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
12
Swansea269710034 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
Apr 12
w
 
2-3A
13
QPR267118-532 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
14
Millwall25799130 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston266128-630 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
16
Coventry267811-329 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
17
Oxford Utd257711-1228 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 26
18
Derby Home267613-427 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Jan 21
19
Stoke266911-827 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
20
Luton267415-1725 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
Feb 12
w
 
1-2F
21
Portsmouth245811-1123 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
22
Hull265813-1123 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
23
Cardiff255812-1523 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
24
Plymouth254813-2920 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Derby2 - 1West Brom
Derby4 - 0Portsmouth
Derby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Derby1 - 1Plymouth
Derby1 - 1Hull
Derby2 - 0QPR
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
HDerby2 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 2Luton
HDerby4 - 0Portsmouth
ADerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 2Leeds
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 2Swansea
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
Sunderland 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke1 - 0Sunderland
Blackburn2 - 2Sunderland
Swansea2 - 3Sunderland
Sheff Utd1 - 0Sunderland
Millwall1 - 1Sunderland
Preston0 - 0Sunderland
QPR0 - 0Sunderland
Luton1 - 2Sunderland
Hull0 - 1Sunderland
Watford2 - 1Sunderland
Plymouth3 - 2Sunderland
Portsmouth1 - 3Sunderland
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Watford1 - 0Sunderland
West Brom0 - 1Sunderland
Leeds0 - 0Sunderland
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Southampton4 - 2Sunderland
Norwich1 - 0Sunderland
Birmingham2 - 1Sunderland
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSunderland1 - 0Portsmouth
HSunderland2 - 1Sheff Utd
ASunderland0 - 1Stoke
ASunderland2 - 2Blackburn
HSunderland2 - 1Norwich
ASunderland3 - 2Swansea
HSunderland1 - 1Bristol C
HSunderland2 - 1Stoke
ASunderland0 - 1Sheff Utd
HSunderland0 - 0West Brom
ASunderland1 - 1Millwall
HSunderland2 - 2Coventry
ASunderland0 - 0Preston
ASunderland0 - 0QPR
HSunderland2 - 0Oxford Utd
ASunderland2 - 1Luton
ASunderland1 - 0Hull
HSunderland2 - 2Leeds
HSunderland2 - 0Derby
ASunderland1 - 2Watford
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
Sunderland have not lost to Derby in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
13
18
Games: Scored
7 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
6 / 13
DER
4
D
2
SUN
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
1 - 4Sunderland
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Sunderland
0 - 2Sunderland
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Sunderland
Derby1 - 0
0 - 5Sunderland
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 1
0 - 1Sunderland
Derby5 - 0
0 - 1Sunderland
League games at Sunderland since 1993
Sunderland
Derby
Goals: Scored
20
7
Games: Scored
13 / 14
7 / 14
Clean sheets
7 / 14
1 / 14
D
5
SUN
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Sunderland2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
Sunderland2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Sunderland2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland2 - 0
Sunderland3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Sunderland1 - 0
Sunderland1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Derby 18th Sunderland 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 63% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Sunderland will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Sunderland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280414/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Sunderland
1.3
1
Attack rating
DER
SUN
9%
better
view stats
Games scored20
21
Failed to score6
5
Scored first12
15
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
DER
SUN
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
15
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first13
8
Goals conceded35
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%

Derby v Sunderland Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26657
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF2621
3
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD2625
2
-
K Jackson FWD2632
4
-
K Goudmijn MID2522
3
-
J Zetterström GLK24
1
-
E Adams MID244
7
-
J Yates FWD2362
1
-
C Forsyth DEF2212
2
-
K Wilson DEF2121
-
M Harness FWD2011
5
-
N Phillips DEF19
2
-
E Cashin DEF191
5
-
C Elder DEF181
6
-
B Osborn MID171
2
-
J Collins FWD17
1
-
L Thompson MID15
3
-
D Brown FWD131
-
R Nyambe DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
1
-
T Barkhuizen FWD9
1
-
S Bradley DEF7
1
-
J Ward MID6
1
-
T Chirewa MID5
1
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25857
D NeilW IsidorP RobertsP Roberts
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L O'Nien DEF2521
4
-
T Hume DEF252
6
-
P Roberts MID2525
7
-
D Neil MID2513
2
1
J Bellingham MID2344
6
1
W Isidor FWD238
5
-
A Patterson GLK22
1
-
D Cirkin DEF2222
4
-
C Rigg MID2242
6
-
C Mepham DEF20
6
1
E Mayenda FWD1845
-
R Mundle FWD1543
1
-
A Alese  DEF12
2
-
D Ballard DEF122
2
-
A Browne MID121
-
A Aouchiche MID81
-
N Rusyn FWD8
1
-
L Hjelde DEF6
-
S Moore GLK4
1
-
M. Aleksić FWD2
1
-
I Poveda FWD2
-