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Derby County v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Saturday lunch time sees John Coleman’s Derby County and Mark Warburton’s Stoke City go head to head in a Championship clash at the Pride Park Stadium. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

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Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Derby 50%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Stoke 23%	-	-
Derby 1-0 15%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Draw 0-0 11%	-	-
Derby 2-0 10%	-	-
Stoke 1-0 9%	-	-
Derby 2-1 9%	-	-
Stoke 2-1 5%	-	-
Derby 3-0 5%	-	-
Derby 3-1 4%	-	-
Stoke 2-0 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Derby 3-2 2%	-	-
Derby 4-0 2%	-	-
Stoke 3-1 1%	-	-
Derby 4-1 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	-	-
No 1st Goal 7%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	-	-
BTTS - No 57%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 77%	-	-
Away/draw 50%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Home DNB 69%	-	-
Away DNB 42%	-	-
Derby win to nil 32%	-	-
Stoke win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 44 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

38 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 9 and won 10. Derby have conceded 48 goals, scored 40, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 22 games at home, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Stoke lay in 17th place on 50 points in the Championship league table having played 44 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 22 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 13 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Derby Stoke
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	44	27	13	4	60	94	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	l 6-0A
2	Burnley	44	26	16	2	46	94	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
3	Sheff Utd	44	27	7	10	25	86	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Apr 25	l 2-0A
4	Sunderland	44	21	13	10	17	76	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
5	Bristol C	44	17	16	11	8	67	w 3-0F	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
6	Coventry	44	19	9	16	5	66	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	l 3-2A
7	M'Boro	44	18	9	17	10	63	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	l 1-3A	l 2-0A
8	Millwall	44	17	12	15	-1	63	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
9	Blackburn	44	18	8	18	4	62	w 2-1F	l 4-2A	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
10	West Brom	44	14	18	12	8	60	w 2-1F	w 1-3F	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
11	Swansea	44	17	9	18	-4	60	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	w 3-1A	d 0-00-0
12	Watford	44	16	8	20	-7	56	l 0-2A	l 2-1F	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
13	Sheff Wed	44	15	11	18	-9	56	l 1-2F	l 4-2A	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
14	Norwich	44	13	14	17	1	53	l 2-3A	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	l 4-2A
15	QPR	44	13	14	17	-6	53	w 2-0F	l 4-0A	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
16	Portsmouth	44	14	10	20	-13	52	w 4-0F	d 2-2F	w 6-1F	l 3-1A
17	Stoke Away	44	12	14	18	-15	50	May 3	l 2-1A	-	-
18	Preston	44	10	19	15	-10	49	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
19	Oxford Utd	44	12	13	19	-18	49	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
20	Hull	44	12	12	20	-9	48	d 1-1A	Apr 26	l 1-3F	w 1-2A
21	Derby Home	44	12	10	22	-9	46	-	-	w 2-1F	May 3
22	Luton	44	12	10	22	-23	46	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
23	Cardiff	44	9	16	19	-23	43	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
24	Plymouth	44	10	13	21	-37	43	d 1-1F	w 2-3F	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby	0 - 1	Luton
Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
Derby	2 - 0	Preston
Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
Derby	0 - 2	Watford
Derby	0 - 1	Leeds
Derby	2 - 1	West Brom
Derby	4 - 0	Portsmouth
Derby	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
Derby	1 - 2	Swansea
Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
Derby	1 - 1	Hull
Derby	2 - 0	QPR
Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Derby	3 - 1	West Brom
H	Derby	0 - 1	Luton
A	Derby	2 - 2	Portsmouth
H	Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
A	Derby	0 - 1	Swansea
H	Derby	2 - 0	Preston
A	Derby	3 - 2	Plymouth
H	Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
H	Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
A	Derby	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Derby	0 - 4	QPR
H	Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Derby	1 - 1	Norwich
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Derby	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Derby	0 - 2	Watford
A	Derby	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Derby	2 - 4	Sheff Wed

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds	6 - 0	Stoke
Cardiff	0 - 1	Stoke
Preston	1 - 1	Stoke
Millwall	1 - 0	Stoke
Coventry	3 - 2	Stoke
Norwich	4 - 2	Stoke
Bristol C	2 - 0	Stoke
Hull	1 - 2	Stoke
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Stoke
West Brom	1 - 1	Stoke
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Stoke
Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	2 - 1	Stoke
QPR	1 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	0 - 2	Stoke
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
M'Boro	2 - 0	Stoke
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stoke	0 - 6	Leeds
H	Stoke	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Luton
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Preston
H	Stoke	3 - 1	QPR
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Stoke	2 - 3	Coventry
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Watford
H	Stoke	1 - 3	M'Boro
A	Stoke	2 - 4	Norwich
H	Stoke	3 - 1	Swansea
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Bristol C
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Plymouth
A	Stoke	0 - 0	Burnley

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 12

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

4 / 12

DER

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Derby	4 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Stoke
Derby	2 - 1
Derby	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Stoke
Derby	2 - 0
Derby	3 - 1
Derby	3 - 0
Derby	4 - 2

Stoke

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 13

9 / 13

Clean sheets

4 / 13

1 / 13

DER

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Derby
Stoke	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Stoke	2 - 1
Stoke	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Derby
Stoke	1 - 0
Stoke	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Derby
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Stoke	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Derby 21st	Stoke 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-19 Derby have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted	-18 Stoke have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

better

DER

STK

view stats

Games scored	28		28
Failed to score	16		16
Scored first	18		18
Goals scored	47		45
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	15		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+3%

DER

STK

better

view stats

Games conceded	34		31
Clean sheets	10		13
Conceded first	23		20
Goals conceded	56		60
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+8%

Derby v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
40	10	4	12
E Adams	J Yates	J Yates	E Adams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Jackson FWD	44	3	2	6 -
E Adams MID	42	6	1	12 -
K Goudmijn MID	41	2	2	5 -
J Zetterström GLK	40			2 -
J Yates FWD	40	10	4	1 -
M Harness MID	39	4	3	12 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	39	3	4	4 -
C Forsyth DEF	37	3	3	4 -
K Wilson DEF	31	2	1	-
N Phillips DEF	30		3	5 -
C Elder DEF	29		3	8 -
C Nelson DEF	27	2	1	3 -
L Thompson MID	26		1	5 -
B Osborn MID	25		1	2 -
T Barkhuizen FWD	18			2 -
R Nyambe DEF	17			2 -
D Brown FWD	15	1		-
M Clarke DEF	14	1	1	2 -
H. Armstrong MID	13	1		2 -
S Langas DEF	12			2 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	12	1		1 -
D Ozoh MID	10	1		-
L Salvesen FWD	8	1		-
J Ward MID	7			1 -
J Vickers GLK	4			-
K Roofe FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	25	4	41
J Yates	J Yates	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Yates FWD	10	25	4	12
E Adams MID	6	10	1	8
M Harness MID	4	9	3	11
K Jackson FWD	3	18	2	13
N Mendez-Laing FWD	3	12	4	41
C Forsyth DEF	3	6	3	8
C Nelson DEF	2	9	1	2
K Goudmijn MID	2	8	2	20
K Wilson DEF	2	8	1	12
D Brown FWD	1	2
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	1	4		7
M Clarke DEF	1	2	1	5
D Ozoh MID	1	2
L Salvesen FWD	1	8
H. Armstrong MID	1	2
J Ward MID		1
B Osborn MID			1	25
R Nyambe DEF				1
T Barkhuizen FWD		1		1
L Thompson MID		1	1	4
C Elder DEF		1	3	18
N Phillips DEF		3	3	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1205	145	326
E Adams	E Adams	E Adams

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Adams MID	1205	145	326
J Zetterström GLK	1069	2	20
C Forsyth DEF	1012	33	130
C Nelson DEF	966	38	122
K Goudmijn MID	894	42	108
N Phillips DEF	770	35	171
B Osborn MID	757	35	73
C Elder DEF	756	41	123
N Mendez-Laing FWD	651	47	98
M Harness MID	577	54	130
K Wilson DEF	554	47	159
L Thompson MID	512	26	62
K Jackson FWD	510	39	138
J Yates FWD	475	12	93
M Clarke DEF	463	28	104
R Nyambe DEF	381	29	56
S Langas DEF	361	19	49
H. Armstrong MID	266	22	45
D Ozoh MID	222	37	64
T Barkhuizen FWD	141	7	17
J Vickers GLK	106		2
L Salvesen FWD	79	4	22
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	73	2	24
D Brown FWD	53	4	20
J Ward MID	49	2	4
K Roofe FWD	3		2

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
44	6	5	13
V Johansson	L Baker	J. Bae	J Tchamadeu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Johansson GLK	44			3 -
J. Bae MID	43	3	5	5 -
L. Koumas FWD	42	3	2	6 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	40	1	2	13 -
B Wilmot DEF	37	3		8 -
W Burger MID	37	1	1	10 -
A Moran MID	34	4	3	9 -
M Manhoef FWD	33	5	5	1 -
E Bocat DEF	30		1	1 -
T Seko MID	25			1 -
B Gibson DEF	23	3		6 -
J Thompson MID	23		1	8 -
A Phillips DEF	22			4 -
M Rose DEF	22			3 -
S Gallagher FWD	20	3	1	6 -
E Stevens DEF	18		2	3 -
L Gooch FWD	18		1	4 -
L Baker MID	17	6	2	3 -
A Al-Hamadi FWD	13	2		1 -
B Pearson MID	12			4 -
E Tezgel FWD	12			1 -
A Vidigal FWD	10			-
N Lowe FWD	9	1		2 -
S. Sidibe MID	8		1	-
M Lawal DEF	5			-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF	5		1	-
R Mmaee FWD	3			-
J. Dixon DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	5	32
L Baker	M Manhoef	J. Bae	J. Bae

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Baker MID	6	12	2	4
M Manhoef FWD	5	25	5	27
A Moran MID	4	8	3	21
J. Bae MID	3	13	5	32
B Gibson DEF	3	4
S Gallagher FWD	3	8	1	5
L. Koumas FWD	3	15	2	11
B Wilmot DEF	3	7		6
A Al-Hamadi FWD	2	3		1
W Burger MID	1	5	1	12
J Tchamadeu DEF	1	3	2	14
N Lowe FWD	1	2
S. Sidibe MID			1	2
A Vidigal FWD		1
E Tezgel FWD		3		2
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF		1	1	1
V Johansson GLK				1
B Pearson MID				1
L Gooch FWD		2	1	3
E Stevens DEF		2	2	9
M Rose DEF				1
A Phillips DEF		2		1
J Thompson MID			1	2
T Seko MID		1		7
E Bocat DEF		4	1	11

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1716	83	206
B Wilmot	J. Bae	J. Bae

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	1716	55	151
V Johansson GLK	1446	1	33
B Gibson DEF	1399	14	78
W Burger MID	1261	77	167
J Tchamadeu DEF	1029	44	117
J. Bae MID	983	83	206
A Moran MID	840	69	134
A Phillips DEF	835	16	78
T Seko MID	832	45	87
E Bocat DEF	810	41	100
M Rose DEF	767	14	59
J Thompson MID	625	13	44
E Stevens DEF	541	29	65
M Manhoef FWD	516	20	101
L Baker MID	454	7	33
L. Koumas FWD	321	53	107
L Gooch FWD	257	24	38
B Pearson MID	234	17	26
S Gallagher FWD	147	14	93
S. Sidibe MID	133	4	12
A Al-Hamadi FWD	132	9	49
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF	111	3	15
N Lowe FWD	77	5	22
E Tezgel FWD	60	4	10
A Vidigal FWD	29	4	10
R Mmaee FWD	19		6
M Lawal DEF	18	2	4
J. Dixon DEF	4

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sheff Wed v Portsmouth

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Preston v Plymouth

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Oxford Utd v Sunderland

Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Derby County v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Derby have played 44 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Stoke lay in 17th place on 50 points in the Championship league table having played 44 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Derby v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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