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Derby County v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Dec, 20:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Friday night sees Paul Warne’s Derby County and John Mousinho’s Portsmouth go up against one another in a Championship battle at the Pride Park Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
51%
--
Draw
24%
--
Portsmouth
25%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Derby 1-0
10%
--
Derby 2-1
10%
--
Derby 2-0
9%
--
Portsmouth 1-0
7%
--
Portsmouth 2-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Derby 3-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Derby 3-0
5%
--
Portsmouth 2-0
4%
--
Derby 3-2
3%
--
Derby 4-1
2%
--
Portsmouth 3-1
2%
--
Derby 4-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
24%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
68%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Derby win to nil
27%
--
Portsmouth win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Championship league table. Derby are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Derby have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Portsmouth are in 24th position in the Championship on 13 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Portsmouth have conceded 30 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Portsmouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
2
Burnley1810621736 
Apr 9
Dec 10
Feb 1
l
 
2-1F
3
Leeds1810531835 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
4
Sunderland189631333 
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
Jan 5
5
M'Boro189361130 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Jan 18
d
 
2-2F
6
Watford18936230 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Apr 21
Dec 26
7
West Brom186102728 
Dec 26
Apr 21
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
8
Blackburn17845428 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
Mar 29
Jan 15
9
Norwich18675825 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
Dec 10
Apr 18
10
Millwall17674525 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
Apr 5
11
Bristol C18675325 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
Dec 7
Dec 29
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 1
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
13
Swansea18657123 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
Jan 1
d
 
2-2F
14
Stoke18567-321 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
Jan 22
l
 
6-1A
15
Derby 18558-220 
-
-
Apr 12
Dec 13
16
Coventry18468-318 
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
Dec 21
Apr 9
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
18
Preston18396-818 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
19
Luton185310-1318 
Apr 18
Dec 20
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Feb 11
l
 
2-0A
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
22
Hull18369-915 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
May 3
d
 
1-1A
23
QPR18297-1115 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
24
Portsmouth 16277-1213 
Dec 13
Apr 12
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Derby1 - 1Plymouth
Derby1 - 1Hull
Derby2 - 0QPR
Derby2 - 3Norwich
Derby1 - 0Cardiff
Derby3 - 0Bristol C
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Derby3 - 0L Orient
Derby1 - 0Blackpool
Derby1 - 0Bolton
Derby2 - 1Reading
Derby3 - 0Port Vale
Derby1 - 2Charlton
Derby1 - 0Stevenage
Derby1 - 1Shrewsbury
Derby2 - 1Cheltenham
Derby3 - 2Burton
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Wed
HDerby1 - 2Swansea
ADerby1 - 1Preston
HDerby1 - 1Plymouth
ADerby2 - 1Coventry
ADerby1 - 2Stoke
HDerby1 - 1Hull
ADerby1 - 1Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Millwall
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0Cardiff
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
Portsmouth 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea2 - 2Portsmouth
Plymouth1 - 0Portsmouth
Hull1 - 1Portsmouth
Cardiff2 - 0Portsmouth
QPR1 - 2Portsmouth
Stoke6 - 1Portsmouth
Burnley2 - 1Portsmouth
M'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Lincoln0 - 2Portsmouth
Bolton1 - 1Portsmouth
Wycombe1 - 3Portsmouth
Peterborough0 - 1Portsmouth
Blackpool0 - 0Portsmouth
Charlton0 - 0Portsmouth
Carlisle0 - 1Portsmouth
Oxford Utd2 - 2Portsmouth
Port Vale0 - 1Portsmouth
Fleetwood0 - 1Portsmouth
Cheltenham2 - 1Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortsmouth2 - 2Swansea
HPortsmouth3 - 1Preston
APortsmouth0 - 1Plymouth
APortsmouth1 - 1Hull
HPortsmouth1 - 2Sheff Wed
APortsmouth0 - 2Cardiff
APortsmouth2 - 1QPR
HPortsmouth1 - 1Oxford Utd
APortsmouth1 - 6Stoke
HPortsmouth0 - 0Sheff Utd
APortsmouth1 - 2Burnley
HPortsmouth0 - 3West Brom
HPortsmouth1 - 3Sunderland
APortsmouth2 - 2M'Boro
HPortsmouth0 - 0Luton
APortsmouth3 - 3Leeds
APortsmouth2 - 0Lincoln
HPortsmouth1 - 2Wigan
HPortsmouth3 - 2Barnsley
APortsmouth1 - 1Bolton
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Derby have drawn with Portsmouth in 4 consecutive league meetings
8
Derby have not lost to Portsmouth in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
19
13
Games: Scored
10 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
0 / 10
DER
5
D
3
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Derby2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Portsmouth
Derby3 - 2
Derby3 - 0
Derby1 - 0
2 - 4Portsmouth
League games at Portsmouth since 1993
Portsmouth
Derby
Goals: Scored
21
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
DER
2
D
4
POR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Portsmouth3 - 1
Portsmouth6 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Derby
Portsmouth3 - 2
Portsmouth3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Derby County have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Portsmouth on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Derby 15th Portsmouth 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Derby will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Portsmouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Portsmouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280332/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Portsmouth
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
21%
better
DER
POR
view stats
Games scored16
11
Failed to score2
5
Scored first9
6
Goals scored22
18
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
12%
better
DER
POR
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded24
30
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1
1.7
KickOff rating
+12%

Derby v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18435
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF182
2
-
E Adams MID182
5
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1823
2
-
K Jackson FWD1822
2
-
K Goudmijn MID172
2
-
J Zetterström GLK16
-
C Forsyth DEF1611
2
-
E Cashin DEF16
5
-
J Yates FWD1542
1
-
K Wilson DEF131
-
B Osborn MID131
2
-
J Collins FWD12
1
-
M Harness FWD1211
4
-
C Elder DEF111
5
-
N Phillips DEF11
1
-
L Thompson MID10
2
-
R Nyambe DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD81
1
-
D Brown FWD81
-
T Barkhuizen FWD6
1
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Ward MID4
-
S Bradley DEF3
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
T Chirewa MID2
1
-
Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17434
C OgilvieC Lang J MurphyC Lang 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ogilvie DEF172
2
-
M Pack MID161
3
-
C Saydee FWD152
2
-
C Lang  FWD1542
4
-
R Poole DEF14
1
-
J Murphy FWD1433
2
-
F Potts MID131
2
-
M Ritchie MID131
2
-
A Dozzell MID13
4
-
P Lane FWD131
1
-
J Williams DEF12
4
-
T Devlin MID11
-
T Mcintyre DEF10
2
-
S Silvera FWD10
-
N Schmid GLK9
-
K Yengi FWD9
2
-
M O’Mahony FWD92
-
W Norris GLK8
2
-
H Blair FWD8
3
-
Z Swanson DEF7
1
-
E Sørensen FWD61
-
O Moxon MID5
1
-
R Towler DEF4
2
-
A Kamara MID3
1
-
C Bishop FWD31
-
J Archer GLK2
-
C Shaughnessy DEF2
1
-
J. Farrell DEF1
-
B Stevenson MID1
-