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Derby County v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 18th Apr, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Luton Town, led by manager Matt Gray, visit John Coleman and his Derby County side at the Pride Park Stadium on Friday lunch time in the Championship. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
50%
--
Draw
28%
--
Luton
22%
--
Derby 1-0
16%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
12%
--
Derby 2-0
11%
--
Luton 1-0
9%
--
Derby 2-1
9%
--
Luton 2-1
5%
--
Derby 3-0
5%
--
Derby 3-1
4%
--
Luton 2-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Derby 4-0
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Luton 3-1
1%
--
Derby 4-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
41%
--
BTTS - No
59%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
78%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
--
Home DNB
69%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Derby win to nil
33%
--
Luton win to nil
14%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 41 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Derby have outscored their opponents by 42 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 21 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored 25 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Luton are in 23rd position in the Championship on 40 points having played 41 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

15 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 42 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

39 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 9 and won 10. Luton have conceded 58 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds41241345285 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
2
Burnley41231624385 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
3
Sheff Utd4126782583 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
4
Sunderland41211372076 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
5
Bristol C41161510963 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
6
M'Boro41179151160 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-1A
7
Coventry4017815459 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
8
West Brom411318101157 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
May 3
9
Millwall41151214-157 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
10
Watford4116817-456 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
11
Norwich41131414653 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
12
Blackburn4115818-153 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
13
Sheff Wed41141116-753 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
14
Preston41101912-749 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
15
Swansea4013918-1048 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
16
QPR40111316-846 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
17
Portsmouth4012919-1545 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
Oxford Utd40111217-1645 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2F
19
Hull41111119-944 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Stoke41101417-1244 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
21
Derby Home4111921-1042 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
22
Cardiff4191517-2042 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
23
Luton Away41101021-2540 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
-
-
24
Plymouth4081319-3637 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Luton 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Derby have not lost to Luton in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Derby since 1993
Derby
Luton
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
DER
4
D
5
League games at Luton since 1992
Luton
Derby
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
DER
3
D
1
LUT
6
Goal Statistics
Derby 21st Luton 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Luton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Luton have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280596/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
6%
better
DER
LUT
view stats
Games scored26
26
Failed to score14
14
Scored first16
16
Goals scored42
36
Avg. goals scored1
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
5%
better
DER
LUT
view stats
Games conceded31
31
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first22
21
Goals conceded52
61
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%

Derby v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
388411
J ZetterströmJ YatesJ YatesM Harness
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Jackson FWD4032
5
-
J Zetterström GLK38
1
-
E Adams MID385
10
-
K Goudmijn MID3822
5
-
J Yates FWD3684
1
-
M Harness MID3542
11
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3524
3
-
C Forsyth DEF3332
4
-
C Elder DEF293
8
-
C Nelson DEF2721
3
-
K Wilson DEF2721
-
N Phillips DEF263
4
-
B Osborn MID251
2
-
L Thompson MID241
5
-
R Nyambe DEF17
2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD17
2
-
D Brown FWD151
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD121
1
-
M Clarke DEF101
1
-
D Ozoh MID101
-
H. Armstrong MID91
2
-
S Langas DEF8
-
L Salvesen FWD81
-
J Ward MID7
1
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
K Roofe FWD2
-
Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38749
T KaminskiC MorrisJ ClarkJ Clark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK381
4
1
E Adebayo FWD385
1
-
M McGuinness DEF3733
4
-
J Clark MID3454
9
-
C Morris FWD3472
7
-
J Brown FWD2941
4
-
A Bell DEF24
1
-
A Doughty MID2414
5
-
T Chong MID242
5
-
L Walsh  MID211
2
2
Z Nelson MID201
5
-
M Nakamba MID20
2
-
V Moses  FWD181
-
D Hashioka DEF17
3
-
T Mengi DEF141
2
-
R Walters DEF13
2
-
S Baptiste MID13
2
-
R Burke DEF11
4
-
T Aasgaard MID111
-
I Jones FWD111
3
-
M Alli FWD10
-
J Johnson DEF8
3
2
M Andersen DEF8
3
-
K Naismith DEF7
1
1
C Makosso DEF7
-
L Dabo MID7
1
-
L Nordas FWD61
-
J Bowler FWD6
-
J Shea  GLK1
-