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Cardiff City v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 14th Jan, 19:45 BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Tom Cleverley leads his Watford troops to the Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday evening, with Erol Bulut's Cardiff City their challengers. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a smart selection is published below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Cardiff or Watford are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cardiff are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
46%
13/10
2%
5/4
Draw
24%
23/10
6%
5/2
Watford
30%
21/10
3%
2/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Cardiff 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
Cardiff 1-0
9%
13/2
17%
7/1
Cardiff 2-0
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Watford 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Watford 1-0
7%
8/1
18%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
8/1
25%
9/1
Cardiff 3-1
5%
18/1
12%
12/1
Watford 2-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Cardiff 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Cardiff 3-2
3%
28/1
26%
18/1
Watford 3-1
3%
25/1
13%
16/1
Watford 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
20/1
Cardiff 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1/1
11%
3/4
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
4/5
10%
19/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
8/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/5
11%
13/20
BTTS - No
42%
10/11
13%
23/20
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/4
10%
3/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2
18%
4/1
Home/draw
70%
4/114/11
Away/draw
54%
4/7
3%
8/13
Home/away
76%
1/3
3%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/3
6%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
12/5
15%
27/10
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/4
25%
9/5
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/7
8%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
6/1
27%
17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/10
4%
1/7
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1
36%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33
2%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/16
2%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
17%
9/1
Home DNB
63%
8/138/13
2%
Away DNB
47%
6/523/20
Cardiff win to nil
23%
11/4
13%
-
Watford win to nil
14%
9/2-
Cardiff / Cardiff
22%
11/45/2
Cardiff / Watford
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Cardiff / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Cardiff
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Watford
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
Watford / Cardiff
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
Watford / Watford
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
Watford / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Cardiff have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 8 and won 4. Cardiff have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cardiff have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Watford lay in 9th place on 37 points in the Championship league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Watford have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Watford have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cardiff
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2615832953 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
Feb 11
l
 
2-1A
2
Burnley26141022252 
Mar 1
l
 
5-0A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
3
Sheff Utd2616641952 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland2614841750 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
5
M'Boro2611871141 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
6
West Brom2691341140 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
7
Blackburn251168539 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
8
Bristol C269107337 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
9
Watford Away2511410-137 
Jan 14
w
 
1-2F
-
-
10
Sheff Wed261079-237 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
2-6F
11
Norwich26998636 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
12
Swansea269710034 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
13
QPR267118-532 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
14
Millwall25799130 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 21
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
15
Preston266128-630 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 8
Jan 21
l
 
3-0A
16
Coventry267811-329 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
17
Oxford Utd257711-1228 
Apr 21
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
18
Derby267613-427 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
19
Stoke266911-827 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
20
Luton267415-1725 
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
21
Portsmouth245811-1123 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 11
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
22
Hull265813-1123 
Feb 8
l
 
4-1F
Apr 8
d
 
1-1A
23
Cardiff Home255812-1523 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Jan 14
24
Plymouth254813-2920 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 22
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Watford have lost 3 consecutive league games
5
Cardiff have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
5
Watford have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Cardiff 23RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Watford 9TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Watford have not lost to Cardiff in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Cardiff since 2003
Cardiff
Watford
Goals: Scored
23
28
Games: Scored
13 / 14
13 / 14
Clean sheets
1 / 14
1 / 14
CAR
5
D
2
WAT
7
League games at Watford since 2003
Watford
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
18
22
Games: Scored
9 / 15
13 / 15
Clean sheets
2 / 15
6 / 15
CAR
6
D
5
WAT
4
Goal Statistics

Cardiff City's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Watford have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship outings. A PG of 1.6 for Erol Bulut's side suggests that run should continue.

Cardiff 23rd Watford 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Cardiff will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Cardiff have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280306/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
CAR
WAT
23%
better
view stats
Games scored15
20
Failed to score10
5
Scored first9
9
Goals scored25
35
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
CAR
WAT
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
20
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded40
36
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%

Cardiff v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23846
C ChambersC RobinsonR ColwillP Ng
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Colwill MID2414
2
-
C Chambers DEF231
4
-
C O'Dowda MID2312
4
-
D Goutas DEF221
1
-
J Alnwick GLK21
2
-
C Willock MID2111
-
O Tanner FWD2121
1
-
A Robertson MID2031
4
-
P Ng DEF191
6
-
M Siopis MID19
5
-
C Robinson FWD198
1
1
Y Méïté FWD191
1
-
A Ghazi FWD1721
-
J Bagan DEF15
2
1
W Kanga FWD15
-
A Rinomhota MID14
4
-
J Ralls MID131
5
-
D Turnbull MID121
2
-
J Daland DEF11
2
-
C. Ashford MID912
-
E Horvath GLK4
-
J Collins DEF4
1
-
A Ramsey MID4
1
-
W Fish DEF3
2
-
R. Kpakio DEF21
-
M. Reindorf FWD2
-
M Fagan-Walcott DEF1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25957
M PollockV BayoG ChakvetadzeR Porteous
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pollock DEF253
4
-
G Chakvetadze MID2525
4
-
E Kayembe MID246
3
-
V Bayo FWD249
4
-
Y Larouci DEF232
-
D Bachmann GLK22
1
-
M Sissoko MID221
2
-
R Andrews DEF2132
1
-
K Baah FWD2142
5
1
R Porteous DEF202
7
-
F Carvallo DEF19
7
-
T Ince FWD171
-
F Ebosele DEF1611
7
-
R Vata FWD1423
-
K Sema FWD141
-
J Morris DEF13
1
-
I Louza  MID13
4
-
D Jebbison FWD13
2
-
J Ngakia DEF91
2
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID92
-
A Ogbonna DEF5
-
J Bond GLK4
-
P Dwomoh MID4
-
M Rajovic FWD31
2
-
M. Doumbia FWD3
-
K Keben DEF1
-