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Cardiff City v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 12:30 BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

We’ve Championship action to look forward to on Saturday lunch time, as Erol Bulut and his Cardiff City side host Luke Williams’s Swansea City at the Cardiff City Stadium. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Cardiff and Swansea a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Championship match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cardiff are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
40%
6/48/5
Draw
28%
12/59/4
Swansea
32%
7/47/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Cardiff 1-0
12%
7/113/2
Swansea 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
17/27/1
Cardiff 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Cardiff 2-0
7%
11/110/1
Swansea 2-1
7%
9/18/1
Swansea 2-0
6%
12/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Cardiff 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Cardiff 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Swansea 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Swansea 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Cardiff 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Swansea 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
11/101/1
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/118/11
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
51%
10/1110/11
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/217/4
Home/draw
68%
2/54/9
Away/draw
60%
1/21/2
Home/away
72%
3/101/3
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/45/2
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/72/7
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/101/11
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
17/27/1
Home DNB
59%
4/54/5
Away DNB
52%
10/1110/11
Cardiff win to nil
24%
3/1-
Swansea win to nil
19%
7/2-
Cardiff / Cardiff
19%
10/33/1
Cardiff / Swansea
3%
28/122/1
Cardiff / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Cardiff
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Swansea
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/17/2
Swansea / Cardiff
3%
28/120/1
Swansea / Swansea
18%
7/210/3
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Cardiff have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 8 and won 4. Cardiff have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cardiff have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Swansea lay in 12th place on 34 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swansea have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Swansea have played 13 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cardiff
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2615832953 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
2
Burnley26141022252 
Mar 1
l
 
5-0A
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
3
Sheff Utd2616641952 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
Jan 21
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland2614841750 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
l
 
2-3F
Apr 12
5
M'Boro2611871141 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
6
West Brom2691341140 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Blackburn251168539 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 15
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
8
Bristol C269107337 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
9
Watford2511410-137 
Jan 14
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
10
Sheff Wed261079-237 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Feb 12
d
 
0-00-0
11
Norwich26998636 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
12
Swansea Away269710034 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
-
-
13
QPR267118-532 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
14
Millwall25799130 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 21
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
15
Preston266128-630 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 8
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
16
Coventry267811-329 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
17
Oxford Utd257711-1228 
Apr 21
l
 
3-2A
May 3
w
 
1-2F
18
Derby267613-427 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
19
Stoke266911-827 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
20
Luton267415-1725 
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
21
Portsmouth245811-1123 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 11
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
22
Hull265813-1123 
Feb 8
l
 
4-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
23
Cardiff Home255812-1523 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
24
Plymouth254813-2920 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 22
Apr 9
w
 
1-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Cardiff 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Swansea 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cardiff since 2009
Cardiff
Swansea
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
CAR
3
D
2
SWA
4
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
17
7
Games: Scored
8 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
2 / 10
CAR
2
D
2
SWA
6
Goal Statistics
Cardiff 23rd Swansea 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Cardiff have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Swansea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280402/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
CAR
SWA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score10
9
Scored first9
12
Goals scored25
30
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
CAR
SWA
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
20
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first15
12
Goals conceded40
30
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+19%

Cardiff v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23846
C ChambersC RobinsonR ColwillP Ng
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Colwill MID2414
2
-
C Chambers DEF231
4
-
C O'Dowda MID2312
4
-
D Goutas DEF221
1
-
J Alnwick GLK21
2
-
C Willock MID2111
-
O Tanner FWD2121
1
-
A Robertson MID2031
4
-
P Ng DEF191
6
-
M Siopis MID19
5
-
C Robinson FWD198
1
1
Y Méïté FWD191
1
-
A Ghazi FWD1721
-
J Bagan DEF15
2
1
W Kanga FWD15
-
A Rinomhota MID14
4
-
J Ralls MID131
5
-
D Turnbull MID121
2
-
J Daland DEF11
2
-
C. Ashford MID912
-
E Horvath GLK4
-
J Collins DEF4
1
-
A Ramsey MID4
1
-
W Fish DEF3
2
-
R. Kpakio DEF21
-
M. Reindorf FWD2
-
M Fagan-Walcott DEF1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26865
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldM Peart-Harris
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK26
-
J Key DEF261
3
-
H Darling DEF2623
3
-
M Grimes MID2621
3
-
Ronald FWD2616
2
-
B Cabango DEF2511
4
-
J Tymon DEF253
4
-
Z Vipotnik FWD244
1
-
M Peart-Harris MID2323
5
-
L Cullen FWD2381
4
-
G Franco MID2121
4
-
F Bianchini FWD202
1
-
J Eom  FWD181
1
-
A Abdulai DEF151
1
-
J Allen MID151
1
-
J Fulton MID141
2
-
K Naughton DEF13
1
-
O Cooper MID1211
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-