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Cardiff City v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Matt Gray guides his Luton Town side to the Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday evening, with Metin Diyadin's Cardiff City their rivals. Championship statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.

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Cardiff City's next match is v Blackburn at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
Luton Town's next match is v M'Boro at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
The last English Championship meeting between Cardiff and Luton was on Tuesday 11th March 2025
English Championship
March 11th 2025
Cardiff 1
2 Luton
 
C. Chambers 50'57' J. Clark
80' T. Aasgaard
 
CAR
LUT
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
4
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
CardiffLuton
 
E. Horvath
D. Goutas (Y. Meïté 85')
C. Chambersfootball icon
W. Fish
P. Ng
A. Ramsey (S. Mannsverk 50')
C. O'Dowda
A. Robertson (I. Davies 69')
R. Colwill (C. Willock 69')
W. Alves (C. Robinson 70')
Y. Salech
T. Kaminski
A. Bell
C. Makosso
M. McGuinness
(R. Burke 87') football iconT. Aasgaard
(M. Alli 58') A. Doughty
football iconJ. Clark
(Z. Nelson 58') L. Walsh
I. Jones
(J. Brown 58') E. Adebayo
(J. Bowler 75') C. Morris

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Cardiff and Luton a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Championship fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cardiff are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
50%
13/10
12%
11/8
1%
Draw
25%
9/4
2%
11/5
2%
Luton
25%
21/10
18%
21/10
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
8%
5/1
Cardiff 1-0
12%
6/1
22%
11/2
7%
Cardiff 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Cardiff 2-0
9%
10/1
15%
17/2
5%
Luton 1-0
8%
15/2
6%
13/2
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
15%
6/1
7%
Luton 2-1
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Cardiff 3-1
5%
20/116/1
Cardiff 3-0
5%
20/1
19%
16/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Luton 2-0
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
Cardiff 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Luton 3-1
2%
25/1
24%
20/1
11%
Cardiff 4-1
2%
40/133/1
Cardiff 4-0
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
6/5
10%
6/5
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/6
7%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/10
18%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
5/6
6%
10/11
3%
BTTS - No
50%
5/6
9%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
11/2
30%
5/1
4%
Home/draw
75%
4/11
6%
7/20
1%
Away/draw
50%
4/7
9%
4/7
1%
Home/away
75%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/5
8%
2/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
2/1
14%
9/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10/3
27%
29/10
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/9
8%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/1
38%
7/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/14
4%
1/14
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/100
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
2%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
20%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
68%
8/13
11%
13/20
1%
Away DNB
43%
6/5
20%
23/20
5%
Cardiff win to nil
29%
11/4
17%
-
Luton win to nil
13%
4/1
11%
-
Cardiff / Cardiff
22%
3/1
8%
27/10
1%
Cardiff / Luton
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Cardiff / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Cardiff
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Luton
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
10/3
2%
Luton / Cardiff
3%
28/122/1
10%
Luton / Luton
15%
4/1
15%
19/5
4%
Luton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Cardiff have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Cardiff have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Cardiff have played 18 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 22 goals at home.

Luton are in 23rd position in the Championship on 31 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

15 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 40 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 6 and won 8. Luton have conceded 55 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cardiff
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3724762477 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Leeds36221044976 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
7-0A
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
3
Burnley37201523975 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-0A
4
Sunderland37191262169 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
5
West Brom37131771456 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
May 3
6
Coventry3716813456 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
7
Bristol C3713159754 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
8
M'Boro3715814953 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
l
 
5-1A
9
Blackburn3615714452 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 15
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
10
Sheff Wed3714914-551 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
11
Norwich37121312749 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-2F
12
Watford3614715-449 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
13
Millwall36121212-148 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
14
QPR37111115-644 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
15
Preston3791711-644 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
16
Swansea3612816-844 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
17
Portsmouth3611916-1342 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
Oxford Utd3691215-1639 
Apr 21
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2F
19
Hull3691017-937 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
20
Stoke3681216-1436 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
21
Cardiff Home3781217-2136 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
22
Derby379820-1235 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
23
Luton Away379721-2634 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
24
Plymouth3661218-3730 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Cardiff 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Luton 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
D
2
Lost
17
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Luton have beaten Cardiff in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cardiff since 2005
Cardiff
Luton
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
CAR
3
LUT
3
League games at Luton since 2006
Luton
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
3 / 7
CAR
3
D
2
LUT
2
Goal Statistics

Cardiff City have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.6 against Luton Town on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been an issue for Luton Town of late. It has been 8 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Tuesday evening against Cardiff City.

Cardiff 21st Luton 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Cardiff will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Cardiff’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-38
Luton have scored 38% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280522/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.6
1
Attack rating
8%
better
CAR
LUT
view stats
Games scored25
23
Failed to score11
13
Scored first14
14
Goals scored39
32
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
CAR
LUT
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
29
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first21
20
Goals conceded59
59
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%

Cardiff v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331249
C ChambersC RobinsonR ColwillP Ng
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Horvath GLK8
-
P Ng DEF3011
9
-
D Goutas DEF3311
3
1
W Fish DEF12
2
-
C O'Dowda DEF3322
6
-
C Chambers MID3321
8
-
A Ramsey MID8
1
-
R Colwill MID3414
2
-
A Robertson MID2932
6
-
W Alves MID51
-
Y Salech FWD114
1
-
Subs
M. Turner GLK
-
J Daland DEF16
3
-
J Bagan DEF261
4
1
S Mannsverk MID8
3
-
C Willock MID2821
-
C. Ashford MID2023
-
Y Méïté FWD271
2
-
I Davies FWD41
-
C Robinson FWD30121
1
2
Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35749
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyJ Clark
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK351
4
1
C Makosso DEF4
-
M McGuinness DEF
-
A Bell DEF21
1
-
I Jones MID9
2
-
L Walsh  MID181
1
2
J Clark MID3153
9
-
T Aasgaard MID81
-
A Doughty MID2114
5
-
C Morris FWD3172
7
-
E Adebayo FWD355
1
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
R Burke DEF10
4
-
M Andersen DEF8
3
-
L Dabo MID4
1
-
Z Nelson MID201
5
-
J Brown FWD2841
3
-
M Alli FWD7
-
L Nordas FWD31
-
J Bowler FWD6
-