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Cardiff City v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Daniel Farke pays counterpart Erol Bulut a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Championship, as their Leeds United and Cardiff City teams face each other at the Cardiff City Stadium. This preview has the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.

Best Tip: Leeds to win

This one only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the home team, that way is Leeds's. We predict Saturday's visitors to Cardiff City Stadium will be coming away victorious, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and give a best price of 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 62% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
16%
19/4
21%
19/4
10%
Draw
22%
3/1
5%
3/1
3%
Leeds
62%
11/20
9%
4/7
5%
Leeds 1-0
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Leeds 2-0
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
13%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/26/1
Leeds 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Leeds 3-0
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
Leeds 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Cardiff 1-0
6%
12/111/1
9%
Cardiff 2-1
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Leeds 4-0
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Leeds 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Leeds 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Cardiff 2-0
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
Leeds 5-0
1%
40/1
20%
28/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/1110/11
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/115/6
4%
Home 1st Goal
38%
12/5
18%
-
Away 1st Goal
58%
2/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1
9%
1/1
8%
BTTS - No
52%
8/11
5%
3/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
10/1
22%
9/1
18%
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/45/2
3%
Home/draw
38%
11/8
13%
11/8
8%
Away/draw
84%
1/7
3%
2/15
3%
Home/away
78%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
7%
23/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/511/5
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/33/10
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
1%
1/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/111/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/18/1
5%
Home DNB
32%
10/3
24%
16/5
14%
Away DNB
77%
1/5
7%
1/5
4%
Cardiff win to nil
9%
9/1
25%
-
Leeds win to nil
37%
6/4
9%
-
Cardiff / Cardiff
9%
9/1
25%
15/2
6%
Cardiff / Leeds
4%
20/118/1
Cardiff / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Draw / Cardiff
8%
10/1
16%
9/1
5%
Draw / Leeds
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Leeds / Cardiff
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
17%
Leeds / Leeds
34%
7/5
13%
11/8
5%
Leeds / Draw
5%
14/114/1
15%
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Cardiff
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Leeds
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Apr 26
Oct 26
 West Brom5410713 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
 Sunderland5401812 
Feb 15
Oct 4
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Blackburn5320611 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Mar 1
l
 
5-0A
 Burnley5311810 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Dec 7
Dec 29
 Watford5311410 
Oct 22
Feb 11
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Sheff Utd532059 
Oct 18
Feb 22
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Oxford Utd530239 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
 Derby530229 
Dec 7
Dec 29
Sep 21
Feb 1
 Leeds Away522138 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Jan 4
 M'Boro522128 
Dec 10
Apr 8
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
 Swansea521227 
Mar 29
Nov 24
Nov 27
Apr 5
 QPR5131-16 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Hull6132-26 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 4
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Stoke6204-56 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Jan 1
Nov 30
 Coventry5122-15 
Sep 28
Feb 8
Nov 2
May 3
 Norwich5122-25 
Jan 22
Oct 1
Oct 19
Feb 22
 Plymouth5122-45 
Nov 2
May 3
Feb 15
Oct 6
 Bristol C5122-55 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Oct 1
Jan 21
 Millwall511304 
Mar 12
Nov 6
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Luton5113-44 
Nov 27
Apr 5
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
Dec 11
Apr 8
 Preston5113-64 
Apr 12
Dec 14
Oct 22
Feb 11
 Portsmouth5032-53 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
-
-
 Cardiff Home5014-101 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Win / draw / win form
3
Cardiff have lost 3 consecutive home league games
7
Cardiff have not won in 7 consecutive league games
3
Leeds have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Cardiff 24TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Cardiff2 - 1Southampton
Cardiff1 - 3Hull
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Cardiff2 - 1Ipswich
Cardiff1 - 0Huddersfield
Cardiff2 - 1Stoke
Cardiff0 - 0Blackburn
Cardiff0 - 2Preston
Cardiff0 - 3Leeds
Cardiff0 - 2Leicester
Cardiff2 - 2Plymouth
Cardiff0 - 1Birmingham
Cardiff1 - 0Millwall
Cardiff0 - 1West Brom
Cardiff2 - 3Norwich
Cardiff2 - 0Bristol C
Cardiff1 - 1Watford
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACardiff0 - 1Derby
HCardiff0 - 2M'Boro
ACardiff1 - 1Swansea
ACardiff0 - 5Burnley
HCardiff0 - 2Sunderland
ACardiff2 - 5Rotherham
HCardiff1 - 4M'Boro
HCardiff2 - 1Southampton
ACardiff1 - 3Millwall
ACardiff1 - 0Birmingham
HCardiff1 - 3Hull
ACardiff2 - 1Coventry
HCardiff0 - 2Sunderland
ACardiff0 - 2Swansea
HCardiff2 - 1Ipswich
HCardiff1 - 0Huddersfield
ACardiff1 - 0Bristol C
HCardiff2 - 1Stoke
HCardiff0 - 0Blackburn
ACardiff1 - 4Norwich
Leeds 9TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
West Brom0 - 0Leeds
Norwich0 - 0Leeds
QPR4 - 0Leeds
M'Boro3 - 4Leeds
Coventry2 - 1Leeds
Watford2 - 2Leeds
Sheff Wed0 - 2Leeds
Huddersfield1 - 1Leeds
Plymouth0 - 2Leeds
Swansea0 - 4Leeds
Bristol C0 - 1Leeds
Cardiff0 - 3Leeds
West Brom1 - 0Leeds
Preston2 - 1Leeds
Sunderland1 - 0Leeds
Blackburn0 - 2Leeds
Rotherham1 - 1Leeds
Leicester0 - 1Leeds
Stoke1 - 0Leeds
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds0 - 1Burnley
HLeeds2 - 0Hull
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
ALeeds0 - 0West Brom
HLeeds3 - 3Portsmouth
HLeeds0 - 1Southampton
HLeeds4 - 0Norwich
ALeeds0 - 0Norwich
HLeeds1 - 2Southampton
ALeeds0 - 4QPR
ALeeds4 - 3M'Boro
HLeeds0 - 1Blackburn
HLeeds0 - 0Sunderland
ALeeds1 - 2Coventry
HLeeds3 - 1Hull
ALeeds2 - 2Watford
HLeeds2 - 0Millwall
ALeeds2 - 0Sheff Wed
HLeeds1 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 1Huddersfield
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cardiff since 2004
Cardiff
Leeds
Goals: Scored
16
13
Games: Scored
8 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
4 / 12
CAR
7
D
2
LEE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
0 - 3Leeds
Cardiff2 - 0
Cardiff3 - 1
0 - 2Leeds
0 - 2Leeds
Cardiff3 - 1
Cardiff2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cardiff2 - 1
Cardiff1 - 0
Cardiff2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Leeds since 2005
Leeds
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
10
22
Games: Scored
7 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
5 / 12
CAR
7
D
4
LEE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 4Cardiff
0 - 2Cardiff
Leeds1 - 0
1 - 2Cardiff
0 - 1Cardiff
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Cardiff
0 - 1Cardiff
0 - 1Cardiff
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Cardiff City fans, as should a 5 Championship matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Leeds United's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Cardiff City have conceded in each of their last 9 Championship outings. A PG of 1.9 for D. Farke's side suggests that run should continue.

Cardiff 24th Leeds 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Cardiff scoring 1 goal or less
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
Cardiff have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
Leeds have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280151/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
0.8
1.9
Attack rating
CAR
LEE
71%
better
view stats
Games scored1
3
Failed to score4
2
Scored first0
3
Goals scored1
7
Avg. goals scored0.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal37
8
Conversion rate for3
13
Avg. XG for0.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+71%
Defence rating
CAR
LEE
60%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
2
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded11
4
Avg. goals conceded2.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
7
Conversion rate against27%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.6
KickOff rating
+60%

Cardiff v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5111
P NgC RobinsonO TannerP Ng
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Ng DEF5
1
-
C Chambers DEF5
-
M Siopis MID5
1
-
C O'Dowda MID5
-
R Colwill MID5
1
-
C Willock MID5
-
O Tanner FWD51
-
W Kanga FWD5
-
E Horvath GLK4
-
D Goutas DEF4
-
A Ramsey MID4
1
-
C Robinson FWD41
-
Y Méïté FWD4
-
J Ralls MID3
1
-
A Robertson MID3
-
A Ghazi FWD3
-
J Bagan DEF2
1
-
J Daland DEF2
1
-
J Alnwick GLK1
-
W Fish DEF1
1
-
M Fagan-Walcott DEF1
-
D Turnbull MID1
-
C. Ashford MID1
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
I MeslierB AaronsonM JosephJ Firpo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK5
-
J Bogle  DEF5
1
-
P Struijk DEF51
1
-
J Firpo DEF51
2
-
J Rodon DEF5
2
-
J Rothwell MID5
-
B Aaronson MID52
-
E Ampadu MID5
2
-
I Gruev MID5
1
-
J Piroe FWD511
-
W Gnonto FWD51
2
-
M Joseph FWD512
-
S Byram DEF3
-
D James FWD31
1
-
A Tanaka MID2
-
M Solomon FWD21
-
L Ramazani FWD2
-
P Bamford FWD2
-
J Gelhardt FWD1
-