Cardiff City's team badge Derby County's team badge

Cardiff City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00 BST, Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Erol Bulut welcomes Paul Warne to the Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Cardiff City and Derby County teams clash in the Championship. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cardiff
41%
--
Draw
27%
--
Derby
32%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Cardiff 1-0
11%
--
Derby 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Cardiff 2-1
8%
--
Cardiff 2-0
7%
--
Derby 2-1
7%
--
Derby 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Cardiff 3-1
4%
--
Cardiff 3-0
3%
--
Derby 3-1
3%
--
Cardiff 3-2
2%
--
Derby 3-0
2%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
59%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
60%
--
Away DNB
51%
--
Cardiff win to nil
24%
--
Derby win to nil
18%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Cardiff have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 8 and won 4. Cardiff have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cardiff have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Derby lay in 18th place on 27 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derby have played 14 away games, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cardiff
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2615832953 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley26141022252 
Mar 1
l
 
5-0A
Apr 9
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd2616641952 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland2614841750 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
5
M'Boro2611871141 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
6
West Brom2691341140 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
7
Blackburn251168539 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 15
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
8
Bristol C269107337 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Watford2511410-137 
Jan 14
w
 
1-2F
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
10
Sheff Wed261079-237 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
11
Norwich26998636 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
12
Swansea269710034 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
13
QPR267118-532 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
w
 
2-0F
Feb 14
14
Millwall25799130 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 21
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
15
Preston266128-630 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 8
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
16
Coventry267811-329 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
17
Oxford Utd257711-1228 
Apr 21
l
 
3-2A
Feb 11
d
 
1-1A
18
Derby Away267613-427 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
-
-
19
Stoke266911-827 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
May 3
l
 
2-1A
20
Luton267415-1725 
Mar 11
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1F
21
Portsmouth245811-1123 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 11
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
22
Hull265813-1123 
Feb 8
l
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
23
Cardiff Home255812-1523 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
24
Plymouth254813-2920 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Derby have lost 3 consecutive away league games
6
Derby have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Cardiff 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Derby 18TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cardiff since 2003
Cardiff
Derby
Goals: Scored
32
15
Games: Scored
11 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
5 / 16
CAR
9
D
4
DER
3
League games at Derby since 2004
Derby
Cardiff
Goals: Scored
25
22
Games: Scored
14 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
3 / 17
CAR
5
D
6
DER
6
Goal Statistics
Cardiff 23rd Derby 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Cardiff have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Derby have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280427/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
CAR
DER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
CAR
DER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Cardiff v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23846
C ChambersC RobinsonR ColwillP Ng
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Colwill MID2414
2
-
C Chambers DEF231
4
-
C O'Dowda MID2312
4
-
D Goutas DEF221
1
-
J Alnwick GLK21
2
-
C Willock MID2111
-
O Tanner FWD2121
1
-
A Robertson MID2031
4
-
P Ng DEF191
6
-
M Siopis MID19
5
-
C Robinson FWD198
1
1
Y Méïté FWD191
1
-
A Ghazi FWD1721
-
J Bagan DEF15
2
1
W Kanga FWD15
-
A Rinomhota MID14
4
-
J Ralls MID131
5
-
D Turnbull MID121
2
-
J Daland DEF11
2
-
C. Ashford MID912
-
E Horvath GLK4
-
J Collins DEF4
1
-
A Ramsey MID4
1
-
W Fish DEF3
2
-
R. Kpakio DEF21
-
M. Reindorf FWD2
-
M Fagan-Walcott DEF1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26657
C NelsonJ YatesN Mendez-LaingE Adams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF2621
3
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD2625
2
-
K Jackson FWD2632
4
-
K Goudmijn MID2522
3
-
J Zetterström GLK24
1
-
E Adams MID244
7
-
J Yates FWD2362
1
-
C Forsyth DEF2212
2
-
K Wilson DEF2121
-
M Harness FWD2011
5
-
N Phillips DEF19
2
-
E Cashin DEF191
5
-
C Elder DEF181
6
-
B Osborn MID171
2
-
J Collins FWD17
1
-
L Thompson MID15
3
-
D Brown FWD131
-
R Nyambe DEF9
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD91
1
-
T Barkhuizen FWD9
1
-
S Bradley DEF7
1
-
J Ward MID6
1
-
T Chirewa MID5
1
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Vickers GLK2
-