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Burnley v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Dec, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

It's an away match for Tom Cleverley's Watford side on Saturday afternoon, as they visit the Turf Moor for a Championship meeting with Scott Parker's Burnley. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
52%
--
Draw
25%
--
Watford
23%
--
Burnley 1-0
12%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Burnley 2-0
10%
--
Burnley 2-1
10%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Watford 1-0
7%
--
Watford 2-1
6%
--
Burnley 3-0
5%
--
Burnley 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Watford 2-0
4%
--
Burnley 3-2
2%
--
Burnley 4-0
2%
--
Burnley 4-1
2%
--
Watford 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
77%
--
Away/draw
48%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
40%
--
Burnley win to nil
30%
--
Watford win to nil
12%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 27 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Watford are in 8th position in the Championship on 31 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Watford have conceded 5 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Watford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd2013521742 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
2
Leeds2012532241 
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
Feb 11
l
 
2-1A
3
Burnley Home2010821738 
-
-
Apr 18
Dec 21
4
Sunderland2010731437 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
5
Blackburn191045634 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
6
West Brom207112932 
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 15
Apr 12
7
M'Boro20947931 
d
 
1-1A
Dec 29
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
8
Watford Away19946231 
Dec 21
Apr 18
-
-
9
Swansea20767227 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
10
Norwich20686526 
Apr 12
Dec 15
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
11
Bristol C20686026 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
12
Sheff Wed20758-626 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
May 3
w
 
2-6F
13
Millwall19676325 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Mar 8
w
 
2-3F
14
Preston204106-622 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Jan 21
l
 
3-0A
15
Luton206410-1222 
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
16
Coventry20569-421 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
17
Derby20569-421 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
18
Stoke20569-521 
Jan 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
19
QPR20497-621 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 1
20
Oxford Utd19469-1018 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
21
Portsmouth18387-917 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
Dec 26
Apr 21
22
Cardiff194510-1317 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
Dec 29
-
23
Plymouth194510-2117 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 22
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
24
Hull203710-1016 
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
Apr 8
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
10
Burnley have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
Burnley 3RD
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Watford 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2001
Burnley
Watford
Goals: Scored
33
25
Games: Scored
16 / 18
11 / 18
Clean sheets
7 / 18
2 / 18
BRN
9
D
6
WAT
3
League games at Watford since 2001
Watford
Burnley
Goals: Scored
24
26
Games: Scored
14 / 18
15 / 18
Clean sheets
3 / 18
4 / 18
BRN
8
D
4
WAT
6
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is very strong, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 20 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Watford makes sense in this context.

Burnley 3rd Watford 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Watford scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
Burnley have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280341/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.6
1
Attack rating
BRN
WAT
10%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score7
5
Scored first10
8
Goals scored24
27
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
55%
better
BRN
WAT
view stats
Games conceded7
14
Clean sheets13
5
Conceded first5
10
Goals conceded7
25
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
8
Conversion rate against5%
13%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+55%

Burnley v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20625
M EstèveJ Brownhill J Brownhill H Mejbri
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF20
2
-
J Trafford GLK19
3
-
J Brownhill  MID1962
3
-
L Koleosho FWD192
2
-
J Cullen MID18
4
-
L Pires DEF172
3
-
J Anthony FWD1722
1
-
C Roberts DEF1612
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF151
3
-
J Laurent MID151
-
J Sarmiento  FWD152
2
-
J Rodríguez FWD152
1
-
B Humphreys DEF14
2
1
H Mejbri MID14
5
-
Z Flemming MID1111
1
-
A Hountondji FWD9
-
H Massengo MID81
1
-
L Foster FWD811
3
-
J Worrall DEF31
1
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20747
M PollockV BayoG ChakvetadzeR Porteous
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pollock DEF203
3
-
G Chakvetadze MID2014
3
-
E Kayembe MID195
1
-
V Bayo FWD197
4
-
Y Larouci DEF182
-
D Bachmann GLK17
-
R Andrews DEF1731
-
M Sissoko MID171
1
-
R Porteous DEF162
7
-
K Baah FWD1622
4
-
F Carvallo DEF15
7
-
T Ince FWD151
-
K Sema FWD141
-
F Ebosele DEF1211
6
-
J Morris DEF11
1
-
I Louza  MID10
1
-
T Dele-Bashiru MID92
-
D Jebbison FWD9
2
-
R Vata FWD91
-
J Bond GLK4
-
A Ogbonna DEF4
-
J Ngakia DEF4
1
-
P Dwomoh MID3
-
M Rajovic FWD31
2
-
M. Doumbia FWD3
-
K Keben DEF1
-