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Burnley v Sunderland : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Jan, 20:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

It's a long trek for Régis Le Bris's Sunderland side on Friday night, as they visit the Turf Moor for a Championship showdown with Scott Parker's Burnley. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is shown below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Scott Parker and Régis Le Bris to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Burnley and Sunderland go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 42%	23/20 10%	23/20 5%
Draw 32%	23/10 3%	11/5
Sunderland 26%	12/5 13%	13/5 10%
Burnley 1-0 17%	5/1 9%	9/2 5%
Draw 0-0 16%	6/1 8%	5/1
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	5/1
Sunderland 1-0 12%	13/2 6%	13/2 6%
Burnley 2-0 9%	8/1 20%	7/1 7%
Burnley 2-1 7%	9/1 5%	15/2
Sunderland 2-1 5%	12/1 13%	10/1 15%
Sunderland 2-0 5%	14/1 21%	12/1 13%
Burnley 3-0 3%	20/1 24%	14/1
Draw 2-2 3%	20/1	14/1 12%
Burnley 3-1 2%	20/1	16/1 13%
Sunderland 3-1 1%	33/1 17%	25/1 10%
Sunderland 3-0 1%	40/1	28/1 15%
Burnley 3-2 1%	40/1	25/1 10%
Burnley 4-0 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 27%	13/8	29/20 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%	1/2	1/2 1%
Home 1st Goal 49%	8/11 7%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	6/4 13%	-
No 1st Goal 12%	6/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 35%	6/5 2%	23/20 4%
BTTS - No 65%	8/13 3%	13/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	9/2	17/4 5%
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1 9%	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 7%	15/2 15%	13/2 12%
Home/draw 74%	3/10 4%	2/7 6%
Away/draw 58%	4/6 7%	4/6 5%
Home/away 68%	1/3 2%	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 54%	1/2 2%	1/2
Under 1.5 Goals 46%	13/8 5%	29/20 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 11%	4/1	18/5 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 89%	1/6	1/6 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%	10/1	17/2 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 96%	1/20	1/25
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	22/1 12%	20/1
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1/80	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 84%	1/10 1%	1/10
Under 0.5 Goals 16%	6/1 8%	11/2 8%
Home DNB 65%	8/15 9%	1/2 7%
Away DNB 48%	11/8 13%	29/20 11%
Burnley win to nil 31%	9/4 18%	-
Sunderland win to nil 18%	4/1 9%	-
Burnley / Burnley 22%	11/4 15%	12/5 6%
Burnley / Sunderland 2%	40/1	28/1
Burnley / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Burnley 16%	4/1 11%	19/5 4%
Draw / Sunderland 11%	6/1 13%	6/1 7%
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	3/1
Sunderland / Burnley 3%	28/1	22/1
Sunderland / Sunderland 14%	5/1 20%	19/4 12%
Sunderland / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	12/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 10 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 9 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 39 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Sunderland are in 4th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Sunderland have conceded 4 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Sunderland
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	26	15	8	3	29	53	Jan 27	w 0-1F	d 2-2F	Feb 17
2	Burnley Home	26	14	10	2	22	52	-	-	w 1-0F	Jan 17
3	Sheff Utd	26	16	6	4	19	52	Apr 21	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
4	Sunderland Away	26	14	8	4	17	50	Jan 17	l 1-0A	-	-
5	M'Boro	26	11	8	7	11	41	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	Feb 3
6	West Brom	26	9	13	4	11	40	Mar 11	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Apr 5
7	Blackburn	25	11	6	8	5	39	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	Apr 21	d 2-2A
8	Bristol C	26	9	10	7	3	37	Mar 29	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	Apr 18
9	Watford	25	11	4	10	-1	37	w 2-1F	Apr 18	Feb 8	l 2-1A
10	Sheff Wed	26	10	7	9	-2	37	Feb 21	w 0-2F	w 4-0F	Mar 1
11	Norwich	26	9	9	8	6	36	Apr 12	w 1-2A	w 2-1A	Apr 8
12	Swansea	26	9	7	10	0	34	w 1-0F	Mar 15	Apr 12	w 2-3A
13	QPR	26	7	11	8	-5	32	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	May 3	d 0-00-0
14	Millwall	25	7	9	9	1	30	May 3	l 1-0A	Mar 29	d 1-1F
15	Preston	26	6	12	8	-6	30	d 0-00-0	Feb 15	Mar 11	d 0-00-0
16	Coventry	26	7	8	11	-3	29	w 2-0F	Apr 5	d 2-2F	Mar 15
17	Oxford Utd	25	7	7	11	-12	28	Feb 8	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	Apr 26
18	Derby	26	7	6	13	-4	27	d 0-00-0	Apr 9	w 2-0F	Jan 21
19	Stoke	26	6	9	11	-8	27	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	w 2-1A	l 1-0A
20	Luton	26	7	4	15	-17	25	Mar 8	w 1-4F	Feb 12	w 1-2F
21	Portsmouth	24	5	8	11	-11	23	w 2-1A	Feb 1	w 1-0F	w 1-3F
22	Hull	26	5	8	13	-11	23	Feb 12	d 1-1A	Feb 22	w 0-1F
23	Cardiff	25	5	8	12	-15	23	w 5-0F	Mar 1	Mar 8	w 0-2F
24	Plymouth	25	4	8	13	-29	20	w 1-0F	Jan 22	Jan 25	l 3-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Burnley have not lost in 13 consecutive league games

Burnley have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
Burnley	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Burnley	1 - 1	Blackburn
Burnley	5 - 0	Cardiff
Burnley	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
Burnley	1 - 4	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

5 / 20

Clean sheets

15 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Blackburn
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Burnley	0 - 0	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Stoke
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
A	Burnley	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Hull
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Oxford Utd

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke	1 - 0	Sunderland
Blackburn	2 - 2	Sunderland
Swansea	2 - 3	Sunderland
Sheff Utd	1 - 0	Sunderland
Millwall	1 - 1	Sunderland
Preston	0 - 0	Sunderland
QPR	0 - 0	Sunderland
Luton	1 - 2	Sunderland
Hull	0 - 1	Sunderland
Watford	2 - 1	Sunderland
Plymouth	3 - 2	Sunderland
Portsmouth	1 - 3	Sunderland
Cardiff	0 - 2	Sunderland
Watford	1 - 0	Sunderland
West Brom	0 - 1	Sunderland
Leeds	0 - 0	Sunderland
Cardiff	0 - 2	Sunderland
Southampton	4 - 2	Sunderland
Norwich	1 - 0	Sunderland
Birmingham	2 - 1	Sunderland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Sunderland	1 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Sunderland	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Sunderland	0 - 1	Stoke
A	Sunderland	2 - 2	Blackburn
H	Sunderland	2 - 1	Norwich
A	Sunderland	3 - 2	Swansea
H	Sunderland	1 - 1	Bristol C
H	Sunderland	2 - 1	Stoke
A	Sunderland	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Sunderland	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Sunderland	1 - 1	Millwall
H	Sunderland	2 - 2	Coventry
A	Sunderland	0 - 0	Preston
A	Sunderland	0 - 0	QPR
H	Sunderland	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Sunderland	2 - 1	Luton
A	Sunderland	1 - 0	Hull
H	Sunderland	2 - 2	Leeds
H	Sunderland	2 - 0	Derby
A	Sunderland	1 - 2	Watford

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley have not lost to Sunderland in 5 consecutive home league meetings

Burnley

Sunderland

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

3 / 8

BRN

SUN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burnley	4 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burnley	3 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Sunderland
	1 - 2	Sunderland
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Sunderland

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

5 / 9

Clean sheets

4 / 9

2 / 9

BRN

SUN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
Sunderland	1 - 0
	2 - 4	Burnley
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Sunderland	2 - 0
Sunderland	2 - 1
Sunderland	3 - 2
Sunderland	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Sunderland look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Burnley haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Championship games, and it could be a long night for R. Le Bris's men.

	Burnley 2nd	Sunderland 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 47% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Sunderland scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Burnley have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	-8 Sunderland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

BRN

SUN

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		21
Failed to score	9		5
Scored first	13		15
Goals scored	31		39
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

40%

better

BRN

SUN

view stats

Games conceded	9		15
Clean sheets	17		11
Conceded first	6		8
Goals conceded	9		22
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	20		8
Conversion rate against	5%		12%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.2
KickOff rating		+40%

Burnley v Sunderland Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	9	3	7
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Cullen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Estève DEF	26			2 -
J Trafford GLK	25			5 -
J Brownhill MID	25	9	3	3 -
J Cullen MID	24		1	7 -
J Anthony FWD	23	3	2	2 -
L Koleosho FWD	23	2		3 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	21	1		4 -
C Roberts DEF	21	1	2	2 -
J Laurent MID	21		1	2 -
B Humphreys DEF	20		2	2 1
L Pires DEF	19		2	3 -
H Mejbri MID	19		1	5 1
J Sarmiento FWD	19	2		2 -
J Rodríguez FWD	19	2		1 -
Z Flemming MID	17	4	1	1 -
L Foster FWD	12	1	1	3 -
A Hountondji FWD	9			-
H Massengo MID	8		1	1 -
J Worrall DEF	4		1	1 -
V Hladky GLK	1			-
S Sambo DEF	1			-
B Hedilazio FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	18	3	29
J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Anthony

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brownhill MID	9	18	3	26
Z Flemming MID	4	15	1	10
J Anthony FWD	3	13	2	29
L Koleosho FWD	2	11		25
J Sarmiento FWD	2	8		8
J Rodríguez FWD	2	3		3
L Foster FWD	1	4	1	2
C Egan-Riley DEF	1	2		8
C Roberts DEF	1	1	2	10
J Worrall DEF			1	1
H Massengo MID			1
A Hountondji FWD		1
H Mejbri MID		2	1	10
J Trafford GLK				1
L Pires DEF		1	2	19
B Humphreys DEF			2	10
J Laurent MID		3	1	11
J Cullen MID		3	1	19

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1765	42	96
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Cullen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Estève DEF	1765	28	84
C Egan-Riley DEF	1481	37	83
J Cullen MID	1385	34	96
C Roberts DEF	1139	21	70
J Brownhill MID	1013	42	87
J Trafford GLK	895	1	15
L Pires DEF	752	41	68
B Humphreys DEF	702	30	74
J Anthony FWD	674	31	82
J Laurent MID	542	26	77
L Koleosho FWD	498	31	95
H Mejbri MID	387	24	80
J Sarmiento FWD	267	26	72
J Worrall DEF	235	2	16
Z Flemming MID	182	9	46
J Rodríguez FWD	157	8	32
L Foster FWD	152	6	37
H Massengo MID	54	3	6
V Hladky GLK	34
A Hountondji FWD	30	1	4
S Sambo DEF	9	1	2
B Hedilazio FWD	9		2

Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	8	5	7
D Neil	W Isidor	P Roberts	P Roberts

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L O'Nien DEF	25	2	1	4 -
T Hume DEF	25		2	6 -
P Roberts MID	25	2	5	7 -
D Neil MID	25	1	3	2 1
J Bellingham MID	23	4	4	6 1
W Isidor FWD	23	8		5 -
A Patterson GLK	22			1 -
D Cirkin DEF	22	2	2	4 -
C Rigg MID	22	4	2	6 -
C Mepham DEF	20			6 1
E Mayenda FWD	18	4	5	-
R Mundle FWD	15	4	3	1 -
A Alese DEF	12			2 -
D Ballard DEF	12	2		2 -
A Browne MID	12	1		-
A Aouchiche MID	8		1	-
N Rusyn FWD	8			1 -
L Hjelde DEF	6			-
S Moore GLK	4			1 -
M. Aleksić FWD	2			1 -
I Poveda FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	23	5	30
W Isidor	W Isidor	P Roberts	P Roberts

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Isidor FWD	8	23		12
E Mayenda FWD	4	16	5	12
C Rigg MID	4	10	2	25
R Mundle FWD	4	9	3	15
J Bellingham MID	4	8	4	27
D Ballard DEF	2	4		4
L O'Nien DEF	2	3	1	10
P Roberts MID	2	12	5	30
D Cirkin DEF	2	5	2	10
D Neil MID	1	2	3	20
A Browne MID	1	4		3
A Patterson GLK		1
C Mepham DEF		2		8
T Hume DEF		2	2	24
A Alese DEF		1		3
A Aouchiche MID		8	1	5
L Hjelde DEF				1
M. Aleksić FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1355	57	148
L O'Nien	D Cirkin	J Bellingham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L O'Nien DEF	1355	30	94
T Hume DEF	1131	48	110
D Neil MID	1126	48	106
C Mepham DEF	1036	27	104
J Bellingham MID	886	56	148
P Roberts MID	718	41	106
D Cirkin DEF	685	57	133
A Patterson GLK	671	1	13
C Rigg MID	591	26	89
D Ballard DEF	538	8	62
A Alese DEF	297	11	26
R Mundle FWD	288	16	71
A Browne MID	209	11	36
W Isidor FWD	194	11	53
E Mayenda FWD	147	11	62
A Aouchiche MID	106	5	13
S Moore GLK	98		1
M. Aleksić FWD	35	5	7
N Rusyn FWD	13	2	6
L Hjelde DEF	12	1	1
I Poveda FWD	10	3	3

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Plymouth v Oxford Utd

Tue 14th Jan, 19:45

Cardiff v Watford

Tue 14th Jan, 19:45

Blackburn v Portsmouth

Oxford Utd v Blackburn

Sheff Wed v Bristol C

Sunderland v Plymouth

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

QPR v Sheff Wed

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

West Brom v Portsmouth

Sat 25th Jan, 15:00

Bristol C v Blackburn

Burnley v Sunderland : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Burnley have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Sunderland are in 4th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Burnley v Sunderland Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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