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Burnley v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 1st Jan, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley are in Championship action on Wednesday afternoon, as Scott Parker attempts to outsmart Steven Schumacher and his Stoke City side at the Turf Moor. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Burnley and Stoke go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't give us any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.57 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 53%	1.60	1.65
Draw 30%	3.75	3.70 3%
Stoke 17%	5.50	5.75 10%
Burnley 1-0 20%	5.00	5.00 4%
Draw 0-0 16%	7.50	7.00 7%
Burnley 2-0 13%	6.50	6.00
Draw 1-1 12%	7.50	7.00
Stoke 1-0 9%	11.00	10.00 5%
Burnley 2-1 7%	9.00	8.00
Burnley 3-0 5%	11.00	10.00
Stoke 2-1 3%	19.00	15.00
Burnley 3-1 3%	17.00	13.00
Stoke 2-0 3%	26.00	21.00 11%
Draw 2-2 2%	23.00	19.00
Burnley 4-0 2%	26.00	19.00
Burnley 4-1 1%	34.00	26.00
Burnley 3-2 1%	41.00	26.00
Stoke 3-1 1%	51.00	41.00 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%	2.38	2.30
Under 2.5 Goals 72%	1.57	1.55
Home 1st Goal 55%	1.40	-
Away 1st Goal 33%	3.60	-
No 1st Goal 12%	7.50	-
BTTS - Yes 31%	2.38	2.30 3%
BTTS - No 69%	1.53	1.55 1%
BTTS - Home Win 13%	4.75	4.33 2%
BTTS - Draw 14%	6.00	5.50 4%
BTTS - Away Win 5%	13.00	11.00
Home/draw 83%	1.14	1.13 2%
Away/draw 47%	2.30	2.20
Home/away 70%	1.25	1.29 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%	1.44	1.44
Under 1.5 Goals 45%	2.75	2.62 1%
Over 3.5 Goals 12%	4.50	4.33 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 88%	1.20	1.20 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%	10.00	8.50 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 96%	1.06	1.06 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	21.00	17.00 11%
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 84%	1.08	1.08 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 16%	7.50	7.00 7%
Home DNB 74%	1.22	1.20 2%
Away DNB 38%	4.00	4.00 7%
Burnley win to nil 40%	2.25	-
Stoke win to nil 12%	8.00	-
Burnley / Burnley 32%	2.60	2.50
Burnley / Stoke 2%	41.00	34.00
Burnley / Draw 5%	17.00	15.00
Draw / Burnley 20%	4.00	4.00
Draw / Stoke 8%	11.00	10.00 5%
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	4.60 4%
Stoke / Burnley 3%	26.00	21.00
Stoke / Stoke 8%	11.00	8.50 6%
Stoke / Draw 5%	19.00	15.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Burnley have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 11 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Stoke are in 19th position in the Championship on 22 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Stoke have conceded 25 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Stoke
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	23	14	6	3	28	48	Jan 27	w 0-1F	l 0-2A	Apr 21
2	Sheff Utd	23	15	5	3	19	48	Apr 21	w 0-2F	Apr 26	l 2-0A
3	Burnley Home	23	13	8	2	21	47	-	-	l 0-2A	Jan 1
4	Sunderland	23	12	8	3	16	44	Jan 17	l 1-0A	Dec 29	l 2-1F
5	Blackburn	22	11	5	6	7	38	d 1-1F	Jan 4	Mar 11	w 0-2F
6	Watford	22	11	4	7	3	37	w 2-1F	Apr 18	Mar 1	l 3-0A
7	M'Boro	23	10	6	7	10	36	d 1-1A	Dec 29	Feb 7	l 2-0A
8	West Brom	23	8	11	4	9	35	Mar 11	d 0-00-0	l 1-2A	Jan 18
9	Sheff Wed	23	9	6	8	-2	33	Feb 21	w 0-2F	Apr 18	l 2-0A
10	Swansea	23	8	6	9	3	30	w 1-0F	Mar 15	Feb 15	d 0-00-0
11	Bristol C	23	7	9	7	-1	30	Mar 29	w 0-1F	d 2-2F	Feb 12
12	Norwich	23	7	8	8	4	29	Apr 12	w 1-2A	d 1-1F	Feb 22
13	Millwall	22	7	7	8	2	28	May 3	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	Mar 15
14	Derby	23	7	6	10	0	27	d 0-00-0	Apr 9	w 2-1F	May 3
15	Coventry	23	7	6	10	-2	27	w 2-0F	Apr 5	w 1-0F	Mar 8
16	Preston	23	5	11	7	-6	26	d 0-00-0	Feb 15	d 0-00-0	Apr 5
17	QPR	23	5	10	8	-8	25	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	Mar 29	d 1-1F
18	Luton	23	7	4	12	-14	25	Mar 8	w 1-4F	Apr 8	l 2-1F
19	Stoke Away	23	5	7	11	-9	22	Jan 1	w 0-2F	-	-
20	Oxford Utd	22	5	6	11	-15	21	Feb 8	d 0-00-0	Jan 25	l 1-0A
21	Portsmouth	21	4	8	9	-11	20	w 2-1A	Feb 1	w 6-1F	Jan 22
22	Hull	23	4	7	12	-11	19	Feb 12	d 1-1A	l 1-3F	Feb 1
23	Cardiff	22	4	6	12	-16	18	w 5-0F	Mar 1	d 2-2F	Apr 12
24	Plymouth	22	4	6	12	-27	18	w 1-0F	Jan 22	Jan 4	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Stoke have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Burnley have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
Burnley	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Burnley	1 - 1	Blackburn
Burnley	5 - 0	Cardiff
Burnley	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
Burnley	1 - 4	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	0 - 5	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 2	Fulham
Burnley	1 - 1	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Stoke
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
A	Burnley	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Hull
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Leeds
H	Burnley	1 - 1	Blackburn

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Stoke
Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	2 - 1	Stoke
QPR	1 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	0 - 2	Stoke
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
M'Boro	2 - 0	Stoke
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Stoke
Plymouth	0 - 1	Stoke
Watford	3 - 0	Stoke
Southampton	0 - 1	Stoke
Sheff Wed	1 - 1	Stoke
Swansea	3 - 0	Stoke
Hull	0 - 2	Stoke
Preston	1 - 2	Stoke
Leeds	1 - 0	Stoke
Cardiff	2 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	3 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	3 - 1	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Leeds
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Stoke	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Luton
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Sunderland
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Burnley
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Preston
A	Stoke	1 - 1	QPR
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Millwall
A	Stoke	2 - 0	Blackburn
H	Stoke	2 - 1	Derby
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Stoke	2 - 2	Bristol C
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Norwich
A	Stoke	0 - 0	Swansea
H	Stoke	6 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	0 - 2	M'Boro
H	Stoke	1 - 3	Hull
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Plymouth

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley have not lost to Stoke in 6 consecutive league meetings

Burnley

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

4 / 11

BRN

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Stoke
Burnley	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Stoke
Burnley	2 - 1

Stoke

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 12

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

5 / 12

BRN

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
	0 - 2	Burnley
	0 - 1	Burnley
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Stoke	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Burnley
Stoke	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Burnley
Stoke	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Burnley
	1 - 2	Burnley
	0 - 1	Burnley

Goal Statistics

	Burnley 3rd	Stoke 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 4+ There is a 64% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 56% 1 32% 2 3 4+ There is a 56% probability that Stoke will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-24 Burnley have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted	-33 Stoke have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

15%

better

BRN

STK

view stats

Games scored	16		14
Failed to score	7		9
Scored first	12		11
Goals scored	30		23
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+15%

52%

better

BRN

STK

view stats

Games conceded	9		18
Clean sheets	14		5
Conceded first	6		10
Goals conceded	9		32
Avg. goals conceded	0.4		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	17		8
Conversion rate against	6%		12%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1.7
KickOff rating		+52%

Burnley v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	9	3	5
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Trafford

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Estève DEF	23			2 -
J Trafford GLK	22			5 -
J Brownhill MID	22	9	3	3 -
J Cullen MID	21		1	5 -
L Koleosho FWD	21	2		2 -
J Anthony FWD	20	3	2	1 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	18	1		4 -
C Roberts DEF	18	1	2	1 -
L Pires DEF	18		2	3 -
J Laurent MID	18		1	1 -
B Humphreys DEF	17		1	2 1
H Mejbri MID	17		1	5 -
J Rodríguez FWD	17	2		1 -
J Sarmiento FWD	16	2		2 -
Z Flemming MID	14	3	1	1 -
L Foster FWD	9	1	1	3 -
A Hountondji FWD	9			-
H Massengo MID	8		1	1 -
J Worrall DEF	4		1	1 -
V Hladky GLK	1			-
S Sambo DEF	1			-
B Hedilazio FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	17	3	26
J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Anthony

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brownhill MID	9	17	3	20
J Anthony FWD	3	12	2	26
Z Flemming MID	3	14	1	9
L Koleosho FWD	2	11		24
J Rodríguez FWD	2	3		2
J Sarmiento FWD	2	8		8
L Foster FWD	1	3	1	2
C Egan-Riley DEF	1	2		8
C Roberts DEF	1	1	2	9
J Worrall DEF			1	1
H Massengo MID			1
A Hountondji FWD		1
H Mejbri MID		2	1	10
B Humphreys DEF			1	7
J Laurent MID		3	1	10
L Pires DEF		1	2	17
J Cullen MID		3	1	19

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1559	41	87
M Estève	J Brownhill	L Koleosho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Estève DEF	1559	25	71
C Egan-Riley DEF	1269	34	72
J Cullen MID	1209	30	79
C Roberts DEF	989	18	58
J Brownhill MID	874	41	81
J Trafford GLK	783	1	12
L Pires DEF	705	37	61
B Humphreys DEF	632	28	68
J Anthony FWD	572	21	61
L Koleosho FWD	476	30	87
J Laurent MID	447	23	67
H Mejbri MID	354	20	72
J Worrall DEF	235	2	16
J Sarmiento FWD	217	19	59
J Rodríguez FWD	144	7	27
L Foster FWD	138	5	31
Z Flemming MID	138	7	39
H Massengo MID	54	3	6
V Hladky GLK	34
A Hountondji FWD	30	1	4
S Sambo DEF	9	1	2
B Hedilazio FWD	9		2

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
23	8	5	7
V Johansson	T Cannon	J. Bae	W Burger

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Johansson GLK	23			1 -
J. Bae MID	22		5	3 -
L. Koumas FWD	22	3	1	4 -
B Wilmot DEF	21	1		6 -
B Gibson DEF	21	3		5 -
E Bocat DEF	21		1	1 -
A Moran MID	20	3	1	5 -
M Manhoef FWD	20	3	3	1 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	19			5 -
W Burger MID	19			7 -
T Cannon FWD	19	8	1	2 -
M Rose DEF	13			1 -
T Seko MID	13			-
J Thompson MID	12			4 -
A Vidigal FWD	10			-
E Tezgel FWD	9			1 -
L Gooch FWD	9		1	-
E Stevens DEF	8		2	1 -
S. Sidibe MID	8		1	-
N Ennis FWD	7			-
S Gallagher FWD	6	1	1	1 -
R Mmaee FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	25	5	26
T Cannon	T Cannon	J. Bae	J. Bae

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Cannon FWD	8	25	1	8
L. Koumas FWD	3	9	1	7
B Gibson DEF	3	4
A Moran MID	3	6	1	14
M Manhoef FWD	3	16	3	22
B Wilmot DEF	1	3		6
S Gallagher FWD	1	1	1	2
E Tezgel FWD		3		2
N Ennis FWD		1
S. Sidibe MID			1	2
E Stevens DEF		1	2	6
L Gooch FWD		1	1	3
M Rose DEF				1
A Vidigal FWD		1
J Thompson MID				1
T Seko MID				3
J. Bae MID		7	5	26
W Burger MID		2		4
J Tchamadeu DEF				5
E Bocat DEF		3	1	10

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1338	37	100
B Gibson	B Wilmot	J. Bae

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Gibson DEF	1338	13	72
B Wilmot DEF	953	37	87
V Johansson GLK	750	1	19
E Bocat DEF	596	37	81
W Burger MID	592	31	63
J. Bae MID	579	32	100
A Moran MID	516	35	72
T Seko MID	512	24	46
J Tchamadeu DEF	476	15	41
M Rose DEF	413	8	29
M Manhoef FWD	381	17	70
J Thompson MID	336	8	24
E Stevens DEF	239	10	23
T Cannon FWD	233	13	84
L. Koumas FWD	171	36	65
S. Sidibe MID	133	4	12
L Gooch FWD	99	10	16
E Tezgel FWD	55	2	8
S Gallagher FWD	39	3	18
A Vidigal FWD	29	4	10
R Mmaee FWD	19		6
N Ennis FWD	16		3

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Norwich v QPR

Sun 29th Dec, 12:30

Sheff Utd v West Brom

Bristol C v Portsmouth

Oxford Utd v Plymouth

Millwall v Oxford Utd

Sunderland v Sheff Utd

Sunderland v Portsmouth

Sun 5th Jan, 15:00

QPR v Luton

Mon 6th Jan, 20:00

Burnley v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Burnley have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Stoke are in 19th position in the Championship on 22 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Burnley v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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