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Burnley v Portsmouth : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Saturday afternoon sees Scott Parker’s Burnley and John Mousinho’s Portsmouth go up against one another in a Championship battle at the Turf Moor. Analysing both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Burnley to win

We are predicting Burnley will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Turf Moor.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
66%
9/20
2%
1/2
Draw
20%
16/517/5
2%
Portsmouth
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Burnley 2-0
11%
6/111/2
7%
Burnley 1-0
11%
13/211/2
Burnley 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
7/113/2
6%
Burnley 3-0
8%
9/18/1
5%
Burnley 3-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/110/1
Portsmouth 1-0
4%
18/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Burnley 4-0
4%
18/114/1
Portsmouth 2-1
4%
20/114/1
Burnley 4-1
4%
20/116/1
Burnley 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Portsmouth 2-0
2%
33/122/1
Burnley 5-0
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/118/11
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/101/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/3-
Away 1st Goal
39%
13/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
5/610/11
3%
BTTS - No
49%
5/65/6
1%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
2%
11/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/29/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/19/1
5%
Home/draw
85%
1/10
1%
1/9
1%
Away/draw
34%
13/88/5
Home/away
80%
2/91/5
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/91/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/311/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/49/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/92/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/14/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/62/13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/110/1
Home DNB
79%
1/7
3%
1/6
Away DNB
28%
9/2
10%
18/5
2%
Burnley win to nil
36%
6/4-
Portsmouth win to nil
7%
12/1
18%
-
Burnley / Burnley
36%
6/5
2%
6/5
Burnley / Portsmouth
2%
40/133/1
Burnley / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Burnley
20%
3/1
8%
3/1
Draw / Portsmouth
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Portsmouth / Burnley
4%
20/116/1
Portsmouth / Portsmouth
8%
10/18/1
Portsmouth / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Burnley
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Portsmouth
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 11
Nov 7
 West Brom5410713 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
 Sunderland5401812 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 5
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
 Blackburn5320611 
Mar 29
Nov 23
-
-
 Burnley Home5311810 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Watford5311410 
Apr 21
Dec 26
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Sheff Utd532059 
Sep 28
Feb 8
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Oxford Utd530239 
Oct 5
Feb 15
Dec 10
Apr 9
 Derby530229 
Apr 12
Dec 13
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
 Leeds522138 
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
Dec 6
Dec 29
 M'Boro522128 
Jan 18
d
 
2-2F
Nov 10
Mar 15
 Swansea521227 
Jan 1
Nov 30
Oct 26
Apr 26
 QPR5131-16 
Feb 22
Oct 19
Feb 12
Oct 23
 Hull6132-26 
May 3
Nov 2
Jan 1
Nov 30
 Stoke6204-56 
Jan 22
Oct 2
Nov 26
Apr 5
 Coventry5122-15 
Dec 21
Apr 9
Apr 12
Dec 15
 Norwich5122-25 
Dec 10
Apr 18
Oct 1
Jan 22
 Plymouth5122-45 
Mar 11
Nov 5
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Bristol C5122-55 
Dec 7
Dec 29
May 3
Nov 3
 Millwall511304 
Nov 27
Apr 5
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
 Luton5113-44 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
Feb 22
Oct 19
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Oct 25
Apr 26
Oct 5
Feb 15
 Preston5113-64 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Sep 21
Feb 1
 Portsmouth Away5032-53 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
 Cardiff5014-101 
Feb 11
Oct 22
Win / draw / win form
12
Portsmouth have not lost in 12 consecutive away league games
Burnley 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley1 - 1Blackburn
Burnley5 - 0Cardiff
Burnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 1Brentford
Burnley0 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley0 - 5Arsenal
Burnley2 - 2Fulham
Burnley1 - 1Luton
Burnley0 - 2Liverpool
Burnley0 - 2Everton
Burnley5 - 0Sheff Utd
Burnley1 - 2West Ham
Burnley0 - 2C Palace
Burnley1 - 4Chelsea
Burnley0 - 1Man Utd
Burnley2 - 5Spurs
Burnley1 - 3A Villa
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 0Leeds
HBurnley1 - 1Blackburn
ABurnley0 - 1Sunderland
HBurnley5 - 0Cardiff
ABurnley4 - 1Luton
HBurnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
ABurnley1 - 2Spurs
HBurnley1 - 4Newcastle
ABurnley1 - 1Man Utd
ABurnley4 - 1Sheff Utd
HBurnley1 - 1Brighton
ABurnley0 - 1Everton
HBurnley1 - 1Wolves
ABurnley2 - 2Chelsea
HBurnley2 - 1Brentford
ABurnley2 - 2West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Bournemouth
ABurnley0 - 3C Palace
HBurnley0 - 5Arsenal
ABurnley1 - 3Liverpool
Portsmouth 23RD
20 league games
Away
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
M'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
Leeds3 - 3Portsmouth
Lincoln0 - 2Portsmouth
Bolton1 - 1Portsmouth
Wycombe1 - 3Portsmouth
Peterborough0 - 1Portsmouth
Blackpool0 - 0Portsmouth
Charlton0 - 0Portsmouth
Carlisle0 - 1Portsmouth
Oxford Utd2 - 2Portsmouth
Port Vale0 - 1Portsmouth
Fleetwood0 - 1Portsmouth
Cheltenham2 - 1Portsmouth
Exeter0 - 0Portsmouth
Bristol R2 - 1Portsmouth
Shrewsbury0 - 3Portsmouth
Northampton0 - 3Portsmouth
Burton0 - 2Portsmouth
Reading2 - 3Portsmouth
Cambridge0 - 0Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortsmouth0 - 3West Brom
HPortsmouth1 - 3Sunderland
APortsmouth2 - 2M'Boro
HPortsmouth0 - 0Luton
APortsmouth3 - 3Leeds
APortsmouth2 - 0Lincoln
HPortsmouth1 - 2Wigan
HPortsmouth3 - 2Barnsley
APortsmouth1 - 1Bolton
HPortsmouth3 - 1Shrewsbury
HPortsmouth2 - 2Derby
APortsmouth3 - 1Wycombe
APortsmouth1 - 0Peterborough
HPortsmouth2 - 1Burton
APortsmouth0 - 0Blackpool
HPortsmouth2 - 1Oxford Utd
APortsmouth0 - 0Charlton
HPortsmouth4 - 1Reading
HPortsmouth3 - 1Cambridge
APortsmouth1 - 0Carlisle
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Portsmouth have not lost to Burnley in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Burnley since 2000
Burnley
Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
D
3
POR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 1Portsmouth
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Portsmouth
0 - 3Portsmouth
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Portsmouth since 2001
Portsmouth
Burnley
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
BRN
2
D
1
POR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portsmouth
1 - 5Burnley
1 - 2Burnley
Portsmouth2 - 0
Portsmouth1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Portsmouth2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Portsmouth have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Championship games. This run could continue, with Burnley's PG an impressive 2.1.

Burnley 4th Portsmouth 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Burnley will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Portsmouth scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Burnley have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Portsmouth have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280150/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Portsmouth
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
42%
better
BRN
POR
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score1
2
Scored first4
1
Goals scored11
6
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal3
5
Conversion rate for29
19
Avg. XG for0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
53%
better
BRN
POR
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded3
11
Avg. goals conceded0.6
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded14
5
Conversion rate against7%
18%
Avg. XG against1
2.3
KickOff rating
+53%

Burnley v Portsmouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
L PiresJ Brownhill L PiresH Massengo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Pires DEF52
1
-
M Estève DEF5
1
-
J Brownhill  MID52
-
J Trafford GLK4
1
-
C Roberts DEF41
-
H Massengo MID41
2
-
L Koleosho FWD42
1
-
L Foster FWD411
2
-
J Cullen MID3
1
-
A Hountondji FWD3
-
J Rodríguez FWD3
1
-
J Worrall DEF2
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF2
1
-
H Mejbri MID2
2
-
J Laurent MID2
-
J Anthony FWD21
1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD2
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
B Humphreys DEF1
1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
Z Flemming MID1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
Portsmouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
W NorrisC SaydeeM PackW Norris
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Norris GLK5
2
-
J Williams DEF5
1
-
C Ogilvie DEF5
2
-
A Dozzell MID5
2
-
M Pack MID51
2
-
C Saydee FWD52
2
-
P Lane FWD5
-
C Lang  FWD521
1
-
R Towler DEF4
2
-
M Ritchie MID4
-
S Silvera FWD4
-
Z Swanson DEF3
1
-
O Moxon MID3
-
H Blair FWD3
1
-
E Sørensen FWD31
-
C Shaughnessy DEF2
1
-
A Kamara MID2
1
-
T Devlin MID2
-
K Yengi FWD2
1
-
T Mcintyre DEF1
-
R Poole DEF1
-
B Stevenson MID1
-
M O’Mahony FWD1
-
J Murphy FWD1
1
-