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Burnley v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Feb, 19:45 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley are in Championship action on Tuesday evening, as Scott Parker looks to get one over on Gary Rowett and his Oxford United side at the Turf Moor. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Championship match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Burnley and Oxford Utd go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in terms of who could claim victory. The stats don't supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.62 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 58%	1.48 7%	1.50 7%
Draw 30%	3.80 10%	4.00 17%
Oxford Utd 12%	7.50 25%	7.00 7%
Burnley 1-0 24%	5.00 9%	4.80 13%
Draw 0-0 18%	7.50 12%	7.00 26%
Burnley 2-0 15%	6.00 9%	5.75
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50 12%	7.50 6%
Oxford Utd 1-0 8%	13.00 32%	11.00 15%
Burnley 3-0 6%	9.50 19%	9.00 13%
Burnley 2-1 6%	9.00 5%	8.00
Burnley 3-1 3%	15.00 15%	13.00 18%
Burnley 4-0 2%	21.00 40%	17.00 31%
Oxford Utd 2-1 2%	23.00 21%	19.00
Oxford Utd 2-0 2%	34.00 17%	26.00
Draw 2-2 1%	26.00 13%	21.00 11%
Burnley 4-1 1%	29.00 26%	23.00 21%
Burnley 3-2 1%	41.00	29.00 26%
Burnley 5-0 1%	41.00 21%	29.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%	2.30 15%	2.25 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%	1.62 10%	1.60 14%
Home 1st Goal 59%	1.33 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 27%	4.33 13%	-
No 1st Goal 15%	7.50 12%	-
BTTS - Yes 24%	2.50 5%	2.45 11%
BTTS - No 76%	1.50 2%	1.50 7%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	4.50 13%	4.20 20%
BTTS - Draw 11%	6.00 8%	6.00 8%
BTTS - Away Win 3%	19.00 10%	13.00
Home/draw 88%	1.10 4%	1.10 1%
Away/draw 42%	2.62 13%	2.50 13%
Home/away 70%	1.25 2%	1.25 6%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%	1.44 8%	1.40 9%
Under 1.5 Goals 50%	2.75 19%	2.70 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 9%	4.33 24%	4.20 31%
Under 3.5 Goals 91%	1.22 6%	1.20 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%	9.00 29%	8.50 42%
Under 4.5 Goals 97%	1.07 3%	1.06 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 1%	19.00 27%	17.00 42%
Under 5.5 Goals 99%	1.02 1%	1.01 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 82%	1.08 1%	1.07 3%
Under 0.5 Goals 18%	7.50 12%	7.50 25%
Home DNB 79%	1.14 6%	1.14 2%
Away DNB 33%	5.50 31%	5.00 9%
Burnley win to nil 48%	2.10 10%	-
Oxford Utd win to nil 9%	11.00 27%	-
Burnley / Burnley 34%	2.38 16%	2.30 10%
Burnley / Oxford Utd 2%	51.00	41.00
Burnley / Draw 5%	17.00 11%	15.00 12%
Draw / Burnley 21%	3.75 4%	3.80
Draw / Oxford Utd 6%	13.00 24%	12.00 8%
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00 17%	5.00 17%
Oxford Utd / Burnley 3%	26.00 13%	21.00 11%
Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd 7%	13.00 24%	10.00 9%
Oxford Utd / Draw 4%	19.00 10%	17.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 10 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 12 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 18 clean sheets and have failed to score in 11 fixtures. Burnley have outscored their opponents by 36 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 8 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Oxford Utd are in 16th position in the Championship on 37 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Oxford Utd have conceded 33 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Oxford Utd
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	30	18	9	3	41	63	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	Apr 18	l 4-0A
2	Sheff Utd	30	19	6	5	20	61	Apr 21	w 0-2F	Apr 5	l 3-0A
3	Burnley Home	30	15	13	2	27	58	-	-	d 0-00-0	Feb 4
4	Sunderland	30	16	10	4	19	58	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	Apr 26	l 2-0A
5	Blackburn	30	13	6	11	5	45	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
6	West Brom	30	10	14	6	12	44	Mar 11	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	Feb 22
7	M'Boro	30	12	8	10	10	44	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	l 2-6F	Mar 29
8	Norwich	30	11	9	10	7	42	Apr 12	w 1-2A	w 2-0F	Mar 8
9	Bristol C	30	10	12	8	3	42	Mar 29	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
10	Sheff Wed	30	11	9	10	-3	42	Feb 21	w 0-2F	l 1-3F	Apr 12
11	Coventry	30	11	8	11	3	41	w 2-0F	Apr 5	Mar 1	l 3-2A
12	Watford	30	12	5	13	-2	41	w 2-1F	Apr 18	Mar 15	l 1-0A
13	Millwall	30	10	10	10	3	40	May 3	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
14	QPR	30	9	11	10	-6	38	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	Apr 9	l 2-0A
15	Preston	30	8	13	9	-5	37	d 0-00-0	Feb 15	w 3-1A	d 1-1F
16	Oxford Utd Away	30	9	10	11	-10	37	Feb 4	d 0-00-0	-	-
17	Swansea	30	9	7	14	-10	34	w 1-0F	Mar 15	l 1-2A	May 3
18	Stoke	30	7	11	12	-9	32	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
19	Cardiff	30	7	10	13	-18	31	w 5-0F	Mar 1	w 3-2F	Apr 21
20	Portsmouth	30	7	9	14	-16	30	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Feb 15	d 1-1A
21	Hull	30	7	8	15	-9	29	Feb 12	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	Mar 12
22	Derby	30	7	6	17	-9	27	d 0-00-0	Apr 9	d 1-1F	Feb 11
23	Luton	30	7	6	17	-19	27	Mar 8	w 1-4F	w 3-2A	d 2-2A
24	Plymouth	30	5	10	15	-34	25	w 1-0F	w 0-5F	w 2-0F	d 1-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Burnley have drawn 3 consecutive home league games

Oxford Utd have drawn 3 consecutive away league games

Burnley have not lost in 17 consecutive league games

Oxford Utd have not lost in 9 consecutive league games

Burnley have kept a clean sheet for 8 consecutive league games

Burnley have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
Burnley	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Burnley	1 - 1	Blackburn
Burnley	5 - 0	Cardiff
Burnley	1 - 2	Nottm Forest
Burnley	1 - 4	Newcastle
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Wolves
Burnley	2 - 1	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

5 / 20

Clean sheets

15 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
A	Burnley	5 - 0	Plymouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Blackburn
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Burnley	0 - 0	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Stoke
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
A	Burnley	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Burnley	0 - 0	QPR
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Hull

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Plymouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Preston	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Millwall	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
Leeds	4 - 0	Oxford Utd
QPR	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
Sheff Utd	3 - 0	Oxford Utd
Watford	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Sunderland	2 - 0	Oxford Utd
Portsmouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Luton	2 - 2	Oxford Utd
Bristol C	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Blackburn	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
Coventry	3 - 2	Oxford Utd
Bolton	0 - 2	Oxford Utd
Peterborough	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Exeter	1 - 2	Oxford Utd
Burton	0 - 4	Oxford Utd
Shrewsbury	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
Port Vale	0 - 2	Oxford Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Bristol C
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 0	Stoke
H	Oxford Utd	3 - 2	Luton
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Plymouth
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Preston
A	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Millwall
H	Oxford Utd	2 - 0	Plymouth
H	Oxford Utd	3 - 2	Cardiff
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 4	Leeds
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 3	Sheff Wed
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 2	QPR
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Millwall
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 3	Sheff Utd
H	Oxford Utd	2 - 6	M'Boro
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 1	Watford
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Hull
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Oxford Utd	0 - 2	Sunderland
H	Oxford Utd	1 - 1	Derby

Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.4, Oxford United look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Burnley haven't conceded a goal in 8 consecutive Championship matches, and it could be a long evening for Gary Rowett's men.

	Burnley 3rd	Oxford Utd 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 4+ There is a 64% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal	0 66% 1 27% 2 3 4+ There is a 66% probability that Oxford Utd will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-32 Burnley have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 Oxford Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

BRN

OXF

15%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		22
Failed to score	10		6
Scored first	13		14
Goals scored	31		33
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		17
Avg. XG for	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+15%

59%

better

BRN

OXF

view stats

Games conceded	9		21
Clean sheets	18		7
Conceded first	6		13
Goals conceded	9		43
Avg. goals conceded	0.3		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	20		7
Conversion rate against	5%		15%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+59%

Burnley v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	9	4	9
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Brownhill	J Cullen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Estève DEF	30			2 -
J Trafford GLK	29			7 -
J Brownhill MID	28	9	4	3 -
J Cullen MID	28	1	1	9 -
J Anthony FWD	27	3	2	4 -
J Laurent MID	26	2	1	3 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	25	1		6 -
C Roberts DEF	25	1	3	3 -
L Koleosho FWD	25	2		3 -
J Sarmiento MID	23	2		2 -
B Humphreys DEF	22		2	2 1
H Mejbri MID	22		1	5 1
L Pires DEF	21		2	3 -
Z Flemming MID	21	6	1	1 -
L Foster FWD	16	1	2	3 -
J Egan DEF	7			-
J Worrall DEF	5		1	1 -
E Agyei FWD	3			-
A Barnes FWD	2			-
V Hladky GLK	1			-
O Sonne DEF	1			-
S Sambo DEF	1			-
B Hedilazio FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	20	4	36
J Brownhill	Z Flemming	J Brownhill	J Anthony

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brownhill MID	9	18	4	29
Z Flemming MID	6	20	1	11
J Anthony FWD	3	16	2	36
J Laurent MID	2	7	1	12
L Koleosho FWD	2	11		25
J Sarmiento MID	2	8		9
J Cullen MID	1	4	1	22
C Egan-Riley DEF	1	2		9
C Roberts DEF	1	2	3	15
L Foster FWD	1	7	2	5
E Agyei FWD				1
H Mejbri MID		2	1	10
J Worrall DEF			1	1
J Egan DEF				1
L Pires DEF		2	2	21
J Trafford GLK				1
B Humphreys DEF		1	2	11

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2025	46	118
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Cullen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Estève DEF	2025	34	99
C Egan-Riley DEF	1752	38	96
J Cullen MID	1633	38	118
C Roberts DEF	1342	26	82
J Brownhill MID	1126	46	98
J Trafford GLK	1069	1	16
L Pires DEF	835	44	75
J Anthony FWD	794	37	101
B Humphreys DEF	794	33	82
J Laurent MID	689	34	96
L Koleosho FWD	505	31	97
H Mejbri MID	408	24	84
J Sarmiento MID	299	28	79
J Worrall DEF	241	2	16
Z Flemming MID	236	11	61
L Foster FWD	233	14	57
J Egan DEF	81	2	6
V Hladky GLK	34
E Agyei FWD	24	4	6
S Sambo DEF	9	1	2
B Hedilazio FWD	9		2
O Sonne DEF	2		1
A Barnes FWD	1

Oxford Utd Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	5	4	6
J Cumming	M Harris	C Brannagan	E Moore

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Cumming GLK	30			1 -
C Brown DEF	30	4	3	3 -
R Rodrigues MID	30	4	3	2 -
M Harris FWD	30	5	1	3 -
W Vaulks MID	29	1	1	1 -
T Goodrham FWD	27	3	3	4 -
G Leigh DEF	26	5	1	1 -
P Kioso DEF	23		1	4 -
I Mizouni MID	23	1	2	2 -
E Moore DEF	20		2	6 -
C Brannagan MID	19	2	4	6 -
S Long DEF	17		1	2 -
M Phillips FWD	16		1	1 -
P Placheta FWD	16	2	2	-
S Dembélé FWD	15		1	2 -
J McEachran MID	12		1	1 -
H Avest DEF	11	1		-
O Dale FWD	11			-
B Nelson DEF	8			1 -
A. Matos MID	5			2 -
M Helik DEF	4	1		2 -
J Bennett DEF	4			1 -
T Bradshaw FWD	4			1 -
J Thorniley DEF	2			-
O Romeny FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	17	4	26
M Harris	M Harris	C Brannagan	T Goodrham

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Leigh DEF	5	6	1	20
M Harris FWD	5	17	1	12
R Rodrigues MID	4	10	3	19
C Brown DEF	4	6	3	9
T Goodrham FWD	3	11	3	26
C Brannagan MID	2	9	4	16
P Placheta FWD	2	8	2	9
H Avest DEF	1	4		3
M Helik DEF	1	1		3
I Mizouni MID	1	6	2	12
W Vaulks MID	1	4	1	17
T Bradshaw FWD		2		1
B Nelson DEF				1
A. Matos MID				1
M Phillips FWD		2	1	6
O Dale FWD		1		5
J McEachran MID			1	6
S Dembélé FWD		5	1	5
S Long DEF		2	1	6
E Moore DEF		3	2	2
P Kioso DEF			1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1486	53	165
C Brown	W Vaulks	C Brown

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Brown DEF	1486	25	165
W Vaulks MID	1208	53	113
J Cumming GLK	1130		8
E Moore DEF	863	15	76
C Brannagan MID	772	36	64
G Leigh DEF	753	31	114
P Kioso DEF	750	47	131
T Goodrham FWD	690	50	126
S Long DEF	586	21	74
I Mizouni MID	533	44	64
R Rodrigues MID	532	37	110
B Nelson DEF	385	10	31
M Harris FWD	293	20	66
P Placheta FWD	283	18	46
M Helik DEF	275	3	21
J McEachran MID	255	16	26
S Dembélé FWD	205	23	70
M Phillips FWD	170	6	42
J Bennett DEF	166	8	18
H Avest DEF	149	9	25
O Dale FWD	98	5	14
A. Matos MID	30	6	12
J Thorniley DEF	23	1	9
T Bradshaw FWD	21		8
O Romeny FWD	6	1	2

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

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Sat 8th Feb, 12:30

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Sat 8th Feb, 15:00

Sheff Utd v Portsmouth

West Brom v Blackburn

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Burnley v Oxford United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Burnley have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 10 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Oxford Utd are in 16th position in the Championship on 37 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Burnley v Oxford Utd Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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