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Burnley v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Millwall are away on Saturday lunch time, as manager Cenk Laleci takes his men to visit Burnley and Scott Parker at the Turf Moor in the Championship. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Championship matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
58%
--
Draw
27%
--
Millwall
15%
--
Burnley 1-0
19%
--
Burnley 2-0
14%
--
Draw 0-0
13%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Burnley 2-1
8%
--
Millwall 1-0
8%
--
Burnley 3-0
7%
--
Burnley 3-1
4%
--
Millwall 2-1
3%
--
Burnley 4-0
2%
--
Draw 2-2
2%
--
Millwall 2-0
2%
--
Burnley 4-1
1%
--
Burnley 3-2
1%
--
Burnley 5-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
33%
--
No 1st Goal
10%
--
BTTS - Yes
34%
--
BTTS - No
66%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
5%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
42%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
--
Home DNB
77%
--
Away DNB
34%
--
Burnley win to nil
43%
--
Millwall win to nil
10%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 44 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 22 games and have kept 15 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 42 games against teams below in the table, having won 25, drawn 15 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 27 clean sheets and have failed to score in 13 fixtures. Burnley have outscored their opponents by 61 goals to 45 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 22 games at home winning 13, drawing 9 and losing 0 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 15 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Millwall are in 8th position in the Championship on 63 points having played 44 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 8 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Millwall have conceded 13 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Millwall
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds44271346094 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley Home44261624694 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 3
3
Sheff Utd44277102586 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
4
Sunderland442113101776 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Bristol C44171611867 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-3A
6
Coventry4419916566 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
7
M'Boro44189171063 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Millwall Away44171215-163 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
-
-
9
Blackburn4418818462 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
10
West Brom44141812860 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Swansea4417918-460 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
12
Watford4416820-756 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2A
13
Sheff Wed44151118-956 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
14
Norwich44131417153 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
QPR44131417-653 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
16
Portsmouth44141020-1352 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Stoke44121418-1550 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
18
Preston44101915-1049 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
19
Oxford Utd44121319-1849 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
Hull44121220-948 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
21
Derby44121022-946 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
22
Luton44121022-2346 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
23
Cardiff4491619-2343 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
24
Plymouth44101321-3743 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Burnley have won 3 consecutive home league games
22
Burnley have not lost in 22 consecutive home league games
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
Millwall 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2001
Burnley
Millwall
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
BRN
4
D
4
MIL
2
League games at Millwall since 2001
Millwall
Burnley
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
BRN
3
D
5
MIL
3
Goal Statistics
Burnley 2nd Millwall 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Millwall will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Burnley have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Millwall have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280630/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Millwall
1.4
0.6
Attack rating
11%
better
BRN
MIL
view stats
Games scored30
31
Failed to score14
13
Scored first23
22
Goals scored61
45
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
51%
better
BRN
MIL
view stats
Games conceded15
29
Clean sheets29
15
Conceded first9
19
Goals conceded15
46
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
7
Conversion rate against5%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+51%

Burnley v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4416712
M EstèveJ Brownhill J AnthonyJ Cullen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF441
3
-
J Trafford GLK43
9
-
J Cullen MID4213
12
-
J Anthony FWD4177
5
-
J Laurent MID4022
5
-
J Brownhill  MID40165
4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF391
7
1
C Roberts DEF3923
4
-
H Mejbri MID3513
7
1
Z Flemming MID34103
3
-
J Sarmiento  MID332
4
-
L Pires DEF322
7
-
L Koleosho FWD272
3
-
L Foster FWD2725
3
-
B Humphreys DEF2512
2
1
M Edwards FWD1311
1
-
A Barnes FWD111
1
-
J Worrall DEF91
1
-
E Agyei FWD3
-
B Hedilazio FWD31
1
-
O Sonne DEF2
-
J Shelvey MID2
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
N Redmond MID1
-
Millwall Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
421158
C NorreM IvanovicF AzeezG Saville
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Norre MID4434
6
-
G Saville MID434
8
-
L Jensen GLK41
1
-
J Bryan DEF3911
7
-
J Tanganga DEF382
7
-
G Honeyman MID3824
7
-
J Cooper DEF3431
4
-
M Ivanovic FWD3411
2
-
M Langstaff FWD3312
-
R Leonard MID321
8
-
F Azeez FWD3225
3
-
D Watmore FWD2651
-
A Emakhu FWD232
3
1
R Wintle MID201
3
-
B Mitchell MID19
1
-
T Crama DEF182
1
-
J Coburn FWD185
-
L Cundle MID141
2
-
A Connolly FWD141
3
-
D McNamara DEF13
1
-
M Wallace DEF11
-
S Hutchinson DEF9
1
-
W Harding DEF5
1
-
C. Scanlon DEF41
-
C Neghli FWD41
-
Z. Sturge DEF3
-
L Roberts GLK2
-
D Kelly MID2
-