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Burnley v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 6th Dec, 20:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Michael Carrick pays counterpart Scott Parker a visit on Friday night in the Championship, as their Middlesbrough and Burnley sides face each other at the Turf Moor. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
37%
--
Draw
26%
--
M'Boro
36%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Burnley 1-0
10%
--
M'Boro 1-0
9%
--
Burnley 2-1
8%
--
M'Boro 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Burnley 2-0
6%
--
M'Boro 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Burnley 3-1
4%
--
M'Boro 3-1
4%
--
Burnley 3-0
3%
--
M'Boro 3-0
3%
--
Burnley 3-2
2%
--
M'Boro 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
17%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
63%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Burnley win to nil
20%
--
M'Boro win to nil
19%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 29 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 8 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

M'Boro are in 6th position in the Championship on 27 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 1. M'Boro have conceded 3 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1711421535 
Apr 21
Dec 26
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
2
Burnley 179621533 
-
-
Dec 29
Dec 6
3
Sunderland179621433 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Feb 3
l
 
1-0A
4
Leeds169521632 
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
Apr 8
Dec 10
5
Watford17926229 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
6
M'Boro 168351027 
Dec 6
Dec 29
-
-
7
West Brom17692727 
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
w
 
0-1F
8
Millwall16664524 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Dec 14
Apr 12
9
Norwich17575622 
Apr 12
Dec 15
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
10
Blackburn15645222 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
Nov 27
Apr 5
11
Bristol C17575-122 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
12
Sheff Wed17647-622 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
Dec 26
Apr 21
13
Stoke17566-121 
Jan 1
Nov 30
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
14
Derby16556020 
Dec 10
Apr 9
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
15
Swansea16547019 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
16
Luton16538-818 
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
w
 
5-1F
Mar 15
17
Coventry17458-317 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
l
 
0-3A
May 3
18
Oxford Utd17458-817 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
19
Preston17386-817 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
20
Plymouth17458-1617 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 22
Apr 18
Dec 21
21
Cardiff16448-916 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
22
Hull17368-715 
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
Nov 30
Jan 1
23
Portsmouth15267-1212 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
24
QPR16187-1311 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Mar 11
w
 
1-4F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Burnley have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
5
Burnley have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley2 - 0Coventry
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Burnley0 - 0QPR
Burnley0 - 0Preston
Burnley1 - 0Plymouth
Burnley2 - 1Portsmouth
Burnley1 - 1Blackburn
Burnley5 - 0Cardiff
Burnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
Burnley1 - 1Brighton
Burnley1 - 1Wolves
Burnley2 - 1Brentford
Burnley0 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley0 - 5Arsenal
Burnley2 - 2Fulham
Burnley1 - 1Luton
Burnley0 - 2Liverpool
Burnley0 - 2Everton
Burnley5 - 0Sheff Utd
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 0Coventry
ABurnley1 - 0Bristol C
HBurnley1 - 0Swansea
ABurnley0 - 0West Brom
ABurnley0 - 1Millwall
HBurnley0 - 0QPR
ABurnley1 - 1Hull
ABurnley2 - 0Sheff Wed
HBurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley1 - 0Plymouth
ABurnley0 - 0Oxford Utd
HBurnley2 - 1Portsmouth
ABurnley1 - 0Leeds
HBurnley1 - 1Blackburn
ABurnley0 - 1Sunderland
HBurnley5 - 0Cardiff
ABurnley4 - 1Luton
HBurnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
ABurnley1 - 2Spurs
HBurnley1 - 4Newcastle
M'Boro 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro6 - 2Oxford Utd
HM'Boro5 - 1Luton
AM'Boro4 - 1QPR
HM'Boro0 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro3 - 3Norwich
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
HM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
AM'Boro1 - 2Watford
AM'Boro1 - 0West Brom
HM'Boro2 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro0 - 1Sunderland
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
HM'Boro3 - 4Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Ipswich
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Burnley have not lost to M'Boro in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Burnley since 1994
Burnley
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
4 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
4 / 8
BRN
3
D
2
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley3 - 1
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2M'Boro
Burnley3 - 1
0 - 3M'Boro
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Burnley
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
2 / 8
BRN
2
D
1
MID
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
1 - 2Burnley
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro3 - 2
0 - 2Burnley
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Burnley of late. It has been 6 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday night against Middlesbrough.

Burnley 2nd M'Boro 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Burnley have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+26
M'Boro have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280305/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
BRN
MID
17%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score6
4
Scored first9
9
Goals scored21
29
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
51%
better
BRN
MID
view stats
Games conceded6
11
Clean sheets11
5
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded6
19
Avg. goals conceded0.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
5
Conversion rate against5%
18%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+51%

Burnley v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17524
M EstèveJ Brownhill L PiresJ Cullen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF17
2
-
J Trafford GLK16
2
-
J Brownhill  MID1651
2
-
L Koleosho FWD162
2
-
L Pires DEF152
3
-
J Cullen MID15
4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF141
3
-
J Anthony FWD1422
1
-
C Roberts DEF132
1
-
H Mejbri MID12
4
-
J Laurent MID12
-
J Sarmiento  FWD122
2
-
J Rodríguez FWD121
1
-
B Humphreys DEF11
2
1
Z Flemming MID811
1
-
H Massengo MID81
1
-
A Hountondji FWD8
-
L Foster FWD811
3
-
J Worrall DEF31
1
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16775
F AzazE LathF AzazH Hackney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Ayling DEF162
1
-
F Azaz MID1657
3
-
E Lath FWD1672
2
-
S Dieng GLK15
-
A Morris MID15
2
-
H Hackney MID142
4
1
I Jones FWD14
1
-
D Burgzorg FWD132
1
-
G Edmundson DEF121
4
-
N Borges DEF121
2
-
T Conway FWD126
-
M. Hamilton FWD12
-
M Clarke DEF112
-
B Doak FWD1113
4
-
R McGree MID1015
1
-
R Berg DEF8
1
-
A Dijksteel DEF81
-
D Barlaser MID81
-
J Howson MID5
-
L Engel DEF3
1
-
M Forss FWD3
-
D Fry DEF1
-
A Gilbert FWD1
-