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Burnley v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 27th Jan, 20:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

Daniel Farke is aiming for a crucial away win in the Championship on Monday night, as he takes his Leeds United side to the Turf Moor to visit Burnley and Scott Parker. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
38%
--
Draw
30%
--
Leeds
32%
--
Burnley 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
13%
--
Leeds 1-0
12%
--
Burnley 2-0
7%
--
Burnley 2-1
7%
--
Leeds 2-1
7%
--
Leeds 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Burnley 3-0
3%
--
Burnley 3-1
3%
--
Leeds 3-1
2%
--
Leeds 3-0
2%
--
Burnley 3-2
1%
--
Leeds 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
42%
--
BTTS - No
58%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
11%
--
Home/draw
68%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
70%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
--
Home DNB
59%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Burnley win to nil
25%
--
Leeds win to nil
21%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Burnley have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn zero and won 1. Burnley have conceded zero goals, scored 1, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 1st place on 53 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 48 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds Away2615832953 
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
-
-
2
Burnley Home26141022252 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 27
3
Sheff Utd2616641952 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
Feb 24
4
Sunderland2614841750 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Feb 17
d
 
2-2A
5
M'Boro2611871141 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
Apr 8
6
West Brom2691341140 
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
7
Blackburn251168539 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
8
Bristol C269107337 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
9
Watford2511410-137 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
w
 
2-1F
Feb 11
10
Sheff Wed261079-237 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
Jan 19
w
 
0-2F
11
Norwich26998636 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
Jan 22
d
 
1-1A
12
Swansea269710034 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Mar 29
w
 
3-4A
13
QPR267118-532 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
14
Millwall25799130 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
Mar 12
l
 
1-0A
15
Preston266128-630 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
16
Coventry267811-329 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
17
Oxford Utd257711-1228 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
18
Derby267613-427 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 9
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
19
Stoke266911-827 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
20
Luton267415-1725 
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
21
Portsmouth245811-1123 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
d
 
3-3F
Mar 8
22
Hull265813-1123 
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
23
Cardiff255812-1523 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
24
Plymouth254813-2920 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 22
w
 
3-0F
May 3
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
Leeds 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burnley since 2005
Burnley
Leeds
Goals: Scored
10
15
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
BRN
3
D
1
LEE
5
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Burnley
Goals: Scored
14
8
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
BRN
3
D
1
LEE
7
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is very strong, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 26 consecutive Championship games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Leeds United makes sense in this context.

Burnley 2nd Leeds 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Leeds scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Burnley have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-8
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280426/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.1
1
Attack rating
BRN
LEE
23%
better
view stats
Games scored17
21
Failed to score9
5
Scored first13
16
Goals scored31
48
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
32%
better
BRN
LEE
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets17
14
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded9
19
Avg. goals conceded0.3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded20
7
Conversion rate against5%
15%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.7
KickOff rating
+32%

Burnley v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26937
M EstèveJ Brownhill J Brownhill J Cullen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF26
2
-
J Trafford GLK25
5
-
J Brownhill  MID2593
3
-
J Cullen MID241
7
-
J Anthony FWD2332
2
-
L Koleosho FWD232
3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF211
4
-
C Roberts DEF2112
2
-
J Laurent MID211
2
-
B Humphreys DEF202
2
1
L Pires DEF192
3
-
H Mejbri MID191
5
1
J Sarmiento  FWD192
2
-
J Rodríguez FWD192
1
-
Z Flemming MID1741
1
-
L Foster FWD1211
3
-
A Hountondji FWD9
-
H Massengo MID81
1
-
J Worrall DEF41
1
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
B Hedilazio FWD1
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261056
I MeslierJ PiroeJ PiroeJ Firpo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK26
-
J Rodon DEF261
5
-
B Aaronson MID2672
1
-
J Piroe FWD26105
-
M Joseph FWD2623
-
J Rothwell MID252
1
-
W Gnonto FWD2545
4
-
P Struijk DEF243
1
-
J Bogle  DEF2432
5
-
A Tanaka MID2311
3
-
S Byram DEF2111
2
-
D James FWD2063
3
-
M Solomon FWD1934
-
J Firpo DEF1513
6
-
L Ramazani FWD1531
2
-
E Ampadu MID14
3
-
P Bamford FWD10
-
I Gruev MID8
2
-
I Schmidt DEF7
-
M Wöber DEF61
1
-
J Gelhardt FWD2
-