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Burnley v Bristol City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

the Turf Moor masses welcome Bristol City's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Scott Parker's Burnley face Liam Manning's side in the Championship. All of the key statistics for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Burnley and Bristol C go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
56%
8/11
2%
4/5
Draw
27%
12/5
3%
12/5
Bristol C
17%
17/419/5
Burnley 1-0
17%
9/217/4
Burnley 2-0
13%
6/16/1
Draw 0-0
12%
6/1
7%
6/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Burnley 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Bristol C 1-0
8%
10/18/1
Burnley 3-0
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
Burnley 3-1
4%
16/112/1
Bristol C 2-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
Bristol C 2-0
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Burnley 4-0
2%
28/122/1
Burnley 4-1
2%
33/125/1
Burnley 3-2
1%
33/125/1
Bristol C 3-1
1%
40/1
20%
33/1
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
11/8
3%
13/10
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
4/7
3%
4/7
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
9/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
37%
6/56/5
BTTS - No
63%
8/138/13
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/4
6%
17/5
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/24/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
11/117/2
Home/draw
83%
1/62/11
Away/draw
44%
21/20
2%
1/1
Home/away
73%
3/10
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
7/2
4%
16/5
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/5
2%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
9/1
11%
15/2
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
20/1
11%
16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/66
1%
1/200
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/12
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1
7%
6/1
Home DNB
75%
1/42/7
Away DNB
36%
11/412/5
Burnley win to nil
39%
6/4-
Bristol C win to nil
11%
7/1-
Burnley / Burnley
29%
15/8
5%
9/5
Burnley / Bristol C
2%
40/133/1
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Burnley
19%
10/316/5
Draw / Bristol C
9%
17/2
5%
8/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
Bristol C / Burnley
3%
25/120/1
Bristol C / Bristol C
9%
8/1
5%
13/2
Bristol C / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Win / draw / win Championship table

Burnley have played 38 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table. Burnley are unbeaten at home after 19 games and have kept 14 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 35 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 14 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 24 clean sheets and have failed to score in 12 fixtures. Burnley have outscored their opponents by 52 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Burnley have played 19 games at home winning 10, drawing 9 and losing 0 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 14 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Bristol C are in 7th position in the Championship on 57 points having played 38 matches so far this season. Bristol C are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 7 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 21 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Bristol C have conceded 9 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Burnley
Bristol C
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds38231145180 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
2
Sheff Utd3825762580 
Apr 21
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
3
Burnley Home38211524178 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
4
Sunderland38191271869 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
5
Coventry3817813759 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
West Brom38131871457 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 8
l
 
2-0A
7
Bristol C Away3814159857 
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
-
-
8
M'Boro3815914954 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
9
Blackburn3815716252 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
10
Watford3815716-452 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
11
Millwall38131213-251 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-3F
w
 
0-2F
12
Sheff Wed3814915-651 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
13
Norwich38121313649 
Apr 11
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Preston38101711-547 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-3F
15
QPR38111215-645 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
16
Swansea3812818-1144 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
17
Portsmouth3811918-1542 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
18
Oxford Utd38101216-1642 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
19
Hull38101117-841 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
Stoke3891217-1439 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
21
Cardiff3891217-2039 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
22
Derby3810820-1138 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 8
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
23
Luton389821-2635 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
24
Plymouth3871219-3733 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
25
Burnley have not lost in 25 consecutive league games
7
Bristol C have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Burnley 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
25
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
5
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
Draw
9
Bristol C 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Burnley have beaten Bristol C in 7 consecutive league meetings
8
Burnley have not lost to Bristol C in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Burnley since 2007
Burnley
Bristol C
Goals: Scored
14
4
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
BRN
4
D
2
BCY
1
League games at Bristol C since 2007
Bristol C
Burnley
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
7 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
1 / 8
BRN
5
D
1
BCY
2
Goal Statistics

Burnley have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.5 against Bristol City on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Burnley 3rd Bristol C 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
11%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Bristol C will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Bristol C’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280545/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Bristol C
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
1%
better
BRN
BCY
view stats
Games scored25
28
Failed to score13
10
Scored first20
19
Goals scored52
49
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
59%
better
BRN
BCY
view stats
Games conceded11
28
Clean sheets27
10
Conceded first7
17
Goals conceded11
41
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded22
7
Conversion rate against5%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+59%

Burnley v Bristol C Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3813610
M EstèveJ Brownhill J AnthonyJ Cullen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Estève DEF381
3
-
J Trafford GLK37
8
-
J Cullen MID3612
10
-
J Anthony FWD3546
5
-
J Laurent MID3422
4
-
J Brownhill  MID34134
3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF331
6
1
C Roberts DEF3323
4
-
H Mejbri MID292
6
1
J Sarmiento  MID292
3
-
Z Flemming MID2883
2
-
L Pires DEF262
6
-
L Koleosho FWD262
3
-
B Humphreys DEF2512
2
1
L Foster FWD2424
3
-
J Worrall DEF71
1
-
M Edwards FWD711
-
A Barnes FWD71
1
-
E Agyei FWD3
-
B Hedilazio FWD31
1
-
O Sonne DEF2
-
J Shelvey MID2
-
V Hladky GLK1
-
S Sambo DEF1
-
N Redmond MID1
-
Bristol C Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381277
M O'LearyA MehmetiM BirdR Dickie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M O'Leary GLK38
3
-
Z Vyner DEF381
2
-
J Knight MID3835
6
-
M Bird MID3817
1
-
A Mehmeti FWD35121
4
-
N Wells FWD3183
3
-
Y Hirakawa FWD3122
-
S Twine MID2953
5
-
G. Earthy MID2921
1
-
S Armstrong FWD293
1
-
R Dickie DEF281
6
1
L McNally DEF2631
7
-
C Pring DEF262
7
-
G Tanner DEF261
2
-
M Sykes MID2433
5
-
H Roberts DEF231
3
-
J Williams MID194
6
1
S Bell FWD16
-
R McCrorie DEF151
6
1
M McGuane MID15
1
-
H Cornick FWD31
-