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Bristol City v Swansea City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 9th Feb, 12:00 BST, Ashton Gate, Bristol

Bristol City and Swansea City go head to head at the Ashton Gate on Sunday lunch time, with both Liam Manning and Luke Williams seeking a win in the Championship. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Bristol C and Swansea have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday lunch time, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bristol C are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bristol C
56%
9/10
3%
19/20
3%
Draw
25%
13/5
3%
12/5
Swansea
19%
3/1
5%
3/1
8%
Bristol C 1-0
14%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
Bristol C 2-0
11%
15/27/1
Bristol C 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
Draw 0-0
9%
8/113/2
6%
Swansea 1-0
7%
9/18/1
6%
Bristol C 3-0
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Bristol C 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Swansea 2-1
5%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Swansea 2-0
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Bristol C 4-0
3%
33/122/1
12%
Bristol C 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Bristol C 4-1
2%
33/122/1
12%
Swansea 3-1
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/117/10
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
10/11
4%
19/20
2%
BTTS - No
55%
4/5
2%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/316/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
Home/draw
81%
2/9
2%
2/9
5%
Away/draw
44%
10/11
6%
17/20
6%
Home/away
75%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/114/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/519/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3/1
7%
13/5
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/113/2
6%
Home DNB
74%
4/11
3%
4/11
6%
Away DNB
36%
2/1
9%
9/5
8%
Bristol C win to nil
35%
2/1
8%
-
Swansea win to nil
11%
11/2
8%
-
Bristol C / Bristol C
26%
21/10
3%
2/1
6%
Bristol C / Swansea
3%
33/128/1
12%
Bristol C / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Bristol C
17%
15/418/5
4%
Draw / Swansea
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Swansea / Bristol C
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Swansea / Swansea
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Bristol C have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 10 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Bristol C have outscored their opponents by 38 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Bristol C have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Swansea are in 17th position in the Championship on 34 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 6. Swansea have conceded 26 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bristol C
Swansea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3018934163 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
2
Sheff Utd3019652061 
l
 
1-2F
Mar 12
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
3
Burnley30151322758 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland30161041958 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3F
Apr 12
5
Blackburn3013611545 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
6
West Brom30101461244 
Apr 8
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
M'Boro30128101044 
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
8
Norwich3011910742 
Mar 15
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
9
Bristol C Home3010128342 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
10
Sheff Wed3011910-342 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Feb 12
d
 
0-00-0
11
Coventry3011811341 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
12
Watford3012513-241 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
13
Millwall30101010340 
w
 
4-3F
Mar 1
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
14
QPR3091110-638 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
15
Preston308139-537 
May 3
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
16
Oxford Utd3091011-1037 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-2F
17
Swansea Away309714-1034 
Feb 9
d
 
1-1A
-
-
18
Stoke3071112-932 
Feb 12
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
19
Cardiff3071013-1831 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
20
Portsmouth307914-1630 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
21
Hull307815-929 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1F
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
22
Derby307617-927 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
23
Luton307617-1927 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
24
Plymouth3051015-3425 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 9
w
 
1-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Bristol C have won 4 consecutive home league games
4
Swansea have lost 4 consecutive league games
6
Bristol C have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
6
Swansea have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Bristol C 9TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C2 - 1Blackburn
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Bristol C3 - 0Portsmouth
Bristol C1 - 0Luton
Bristol C1 - 1QPR
Bristol C4 - 0Plymouth
Bristol C0 - 1Burnley
Bristol C1 - 2Sheff Utd
Bristol C0 - 0Leeds
Bristol C1 - 1Cardiff
Bristol C0 - 0Sheff Wed
Bristol C2 - 1Oxford Utd
Bristol C1 - 1Coventry
Bristol C4 - 3Millwall
Bristol C2 - 0Rotherham
Bristol C1 - 1Huddersfield
Bristol C5 - 0Blackburn
Bristol C1 - 0Leicester
Bristol C1 - 0Swansea
Bristol C0 - 1Cardiff
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABristol C1 - 1Oxford Utd
HBristol C2 - 1Blackburn
ABristol C2 - 2Sheff Wed
ABristol C0 - 1Coventry
HBristol C1 - 0Derby
ABristol C2 - 2Plymouth
HBristol C3 - 0Portsmouth
HBristol C1 - 0Luton
ABristol C0 - 2West Brom
HBristol C1 - 1QPR
ABristol C1 - 1Sunderland
ABristol C0 - 3Portsmouth
HBristol C4 - 0Plymouth
ABristol C0 - 1Watford
HBristol C0 - 1Burnley
ABristol C2 - 0Norwich
HBristol C1 - 2Sheff Utd
ABristol C3 - 1Preston
HBristol C0 - 0Leeds
ABristol C2 - 2Stoke
Swansea 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norwich5 - 1Swansea
Cardiff3 - 0Swansea
Portsmouth4 - 0Swansea
Hull2 - 1Swansea
Plymouth1 - 2Swansea
Luton1 - 1Swansea
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Burnley1 - 0Swansea
Oxford Utd1 - 2Swansea
Sheff Wed0 - 0Swansea
Blackburn1 - 0Swansea
Sheff Utd1 - 0Swansea
Coventry1 - 2Swansea
West Brom1 - 0Swansea
M'Boro1 - 0Swansea
Norwich2 - 2Swansea
Huddersfield0 - 4Swansea
M'Boro2 - 0Swansea
Sheff Wed1 - 1Swansea
Bristol C1 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea0 - 2Coventry
ASwansea1 - 5Norwich
HSwansea1 - 2Sheff Utd
ASwansea0 - 3Cardiff
HSwansea1 - 1West Brom
ASwansea0 - 4Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 1Luton
HSwansea3 - 0QPR
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea2 - 3Sunderland
ASwansea2 - 1Plymouth
ASwansea1 - 1Luton
HSwansea2 - 2Portsmouth
ASwansea2 - 1Derby
HSwansea3 - 4Leeds
ASwansea0 - 1Burnley
HSwansea1 - 0Watford
ASwansea2 - 1Oxford Utd
HSwansea0 - 1Millwall
ASwansea0 - 0Sheff Wed
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bristol C since 2006
Bristol C
Swansea
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
6 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
5 / 11
BCY
4
D
5
SWA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bristol C
Bristol C1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Swansea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bristol C2 - 0
0 - 2Swansea
Bristol C1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bristol C1 - 0
League games at Swansea since 2005
Swansea
Bristol C
Goals: Scored
17
10
Games: Scored
8 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
4 / 12
BCY
4
D
3
SWA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Bristol C
Swansea2 - 0
Swansea3 - 1
1 - 3Bristol C
Swansea1 - 0
0 - 1Bristol C
0 - 1Bristol C
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea7 - 1
Goal Statistics

Bristol City's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday lunch time, not least because Swansea City have conceded in each of their last 7 Championship outings. A PG of 1.6 for Liam Manning's side suggests that run should continue.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Swansea City fans, as should a 6 Championship matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bristol C 9th Swansea 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Bristol C will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Bristol C’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Swansea have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280449/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bristol C
PG (predicted goals)
Swansea
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
%
better
BCY
SWA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
BCY
SWA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bristol C v Swansea Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Bristol C Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30967
M O'LearyA MehmetiM BirdL McNally
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M O'Leary GLK30
2
-
Z Vyner DEF30
2
-
J Knight MID3025
5
-
M Bird MID3016
1
-
A Mehmeti FWD2891
4
-
L McNally DEF2531
7
-
Y Hirakawa FWD2521
-
N Wells FWD2573
3
-
C Pring DEF21
4
-
S Twine MID2153
4
-
G. Earthy MID21
1
-
S Armstrong FWD213
1
-
G Tanner DEF201
1
-
R Dickie DEF201
4
1
M Sykes MID1612
5
-
H Roberts DEF151
2
-
J Williams MID153
5
1
R McCrorie DEF131
5
1
M McGuane MID13
-
S Bell FWD11
-
H Cornick FWD1
-
Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30966
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldB Cabango
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK30
-
J Key DEF302
3
-
Ronald FWD3016
3
-
B Cabango DEF2911
6
-
J Tymon DEF293
5
-
H Darling DEF2823
3
1
Z Vipotnik FWD274
1
-
L Cullen FWD2791
6
-
M Peart-Harris MID2623
6
-
G Franco MID2521
4
-
F Bianchini FWD243
2
-
J Eom  FWD211
1
-
K Naughton DEF17
1
-
J Allen MID161
1
-
J Fulton MID161
3
-
O Cooper MID1311
-
C Christie DEF8
1
-
S. Parker DEF3
-
H Delcroix  DEF2
1
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-
B Lloyd MID1
-
J Ginnelly FWD1
-