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Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 4th Apr, 20:00 BST, Ewood Park, Blackburn

the Ewood Park plays host on Friday night, as Ryan Lowe's Blackburn Rovers host Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough in the Championship. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Championship match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Blackburn and M'Boro will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Blackburn are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Blackburn
43%
2.80
5%
-
Draw
26%
3.40
3%
-
M'Boro
31%
2.40
5%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
Blackburn 1-0
10%
9.00
12%
-
Blackburn 2-1
9%
11.00
10%
-
M'Boro 1-0
9%
8.50
6%
-
Blackburn 2-0
7%
15.00
15%
-
M'Boro 2-1
7%
9.50
5%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
10.00
5%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00-
M'Boro 2-0
5%
12.00-
Blackburn 3-1
4%
23.00-
Blackburn 3-0
4%
29.00-
M'Boro 3-1
3%
19.00
10%
-
Blackburn 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
-
M'Boro 3-2
2%
29.00-
M'Boro 3-0
2%
23.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1.91
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
1.91
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
2.20
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
1.80
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10.00
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.73
4%
-
BTTS - No
47%
2.00
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5.50-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5.00
14%
-
Home/draw
69%
1.53
2%
-
Away/draw
58%
1.40-
Home/away
74%
1.30
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.30
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.50
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3.40
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1.33
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6.50
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.11
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.04-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.06-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.00
5%
-
Home DNB
61%
2.00
5%
-
Away DNB
50%
1.73
4%
-
Blackburn win to nil
23%
5.00
11%
-
M'Boro win to nil
17%
4.33
8%
-
Blackburn / Blackburn
18%
4.75
6%
-
Blackburn / M'Boro
3%
26.00
10%
-
Blackburn / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Blackburn
13%
6.50
8%
-
Draw / M'Boro
14%
6.00
8%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00-
M'Boro / Blackburn
3%
29.00-
M'Boro / M'Boro
21%
4.00
8%
-
M'Boro / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Blackburn have played 39 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Blackburn have conceded 18 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Blackburn have played 19 games at home, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 7th place on 57 points in the Championship league table having played 39 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 7 and losing 9 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 35 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 19 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Blackburn
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd3926762783 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
2
Leeds39231245181 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 8
l
 
3-1A
3
Burnley39221524281 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
4
Sunderland39201271972 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 21
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
5
Coventry3917814559 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
May 3
6
West Brom39131881357 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
7
M'Boro Away39169141057 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
-
-
8
Bristol C39141510757 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
9
Watford3915816-453 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
10
Norwich39131313752 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
11
Blackburn Home3915717152 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
12
Sheff Wed39141015-652 
Apr 8
w
 
0-1F
d
 
3-3F
Apr 21
13
Millwall39131214-351 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
14
Preston39101712-747 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
15
QPR39111216-845 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4F
16
Swansea3912918-1145 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
17
Portsmouth3912918-1445 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
18
Stoke39101217-1242 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
19
Oxford Utd39101217-1742 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-6A
20
Derby3911820-941 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
21
Hull39101118-941 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
22
Cardiff3991317-2040 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
23
Luton3910821-2538 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
w
 
5-1F
d
 
0-00-0
24
Plymouth3971319-3734 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 18
d
 
3-3A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Blackburn have lost 4 consecutive league games
6
Blackburn have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Blackburn 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn1 - 2Cardiff
Blackburn1 - 1Norwich
Blackburn2 - 0Plymouth
Blackburn2 - 1Preston
Blackburn0 - 2Coventry
Blackburn3 - 0Portsmouth
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Hull
Blackburn2 - 2Sunderland
Blackburn2 - 0Luton
Blackburn1 - 0Leeds
Blackburn0 - 2Stoke
Blackburn0 - 2Sheff Utd
Blackburn0 - 0West Brom
Blackburn1 - 0Swansea
Blackburn2 - 0QPR
Blackburn3 - 0Bristol C
Blackburn2 - 1Oxford Utd
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Blackburn0 - 0Coventry
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABlackburn0 - 1Portsmouth
HBlackburn1 - 2Cardiff
ABlackburn0 - 1Stoke
ABlackburn1 - 2Derby
HBlackburn1 - 1Norwich
ABlackburn0 - 3Swansea
HBlackburn2 - 0Plymouth
ABlackburn2 - 0West Brom
ABlackburn1 - 2QPR
HBlackburn2 - 1Preston
ABlackburn1 - 2Bristol C
HBlackburn0 - 2Coventry
ABlackburn0 - 1Oxford Utd
HBlackburn3 - 0Portsmouth
HBlackburn0 - 1Burnley
ABlackburn1 - 1Leeds
HBlackburn0 - 1Hull
HBlackburn2 - 2Sunderland
ABlackburn0 - 1Millwall
HBlackburn2 - 0Luton
M'Boro 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd3 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro2 - 1Oxford Utd
AM'Boro0 - 0Luton
HM'Boro2 - 1QPR
AM'Boro0 - 1Swansea
HM'Boro1 - 0Derby
AM'Boro3 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Watford
AM'Boro1 - 3Sheff Utd
HM'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
AM'Boro1 - 2Preston
HM'Boro2 - 0West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Portsmouth
HM'Boro1 - 1Cardiff
AM'Boro1 - 0Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 3Sheff Wed
AM'Boro3 - 3Plymouth
HM'Boro1 - 0Millwall
AM'Boro1 - 3Leeds
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Blackburn since 1993
Blackburn
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
21
20
Games: Scored
15 / 22
13 / 22
Clean sheets
9 / 22
7 / 22
BLB
9
D
8
MID
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Blackburn
Blackburn2 - 1
1 - 2M'Boro
Blackburn1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Blackburn1 - 0
0 - 1M'Boro
Blackburn2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Blackburn1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Blackburn2 - 1
Blackburn3 - 2
0 - 4M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
Blackburn1 - 0
0 - 1M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Blackburn1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at M'Boro since 1992
M'Boro
Blackburn
Goals: Scored
20
22
Games: Scored
15 / 23
16 / 23
Clean sheets
7 / 23
8 / 23
BLB
8
D
8
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
0 - 1Blackburn
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Blackburn
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Blackburn
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Blackburn
0 - 1Blackburn
0 - 2Blackburn
M'Boro1 - 0
0 - 1Blackburn
M'Boro1 - 0
1 - 3Blackburn
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro2 - 0
M'Boro3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Blackburn Rovers of late. It has been 6 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday night against Middlesbrough.

Blackburn 11th M'Boro 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Blackburn will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Blackburn have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+18
M'Boro have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280557/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Blackburn
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
BLB
MID
22%
better
view stats
Games scored25
30
Failed to score14
9
Scored first16
22
Goals scored42
59
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
7%
better
BLB
MID
view stats
Games conceded26
28
Clean sheets13
11
Conceded first21
15
Goals conceded41
49
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+7%

Blackburn v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Blackburn Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
397611
D HyamA Weimann M GueyeT Dolan
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Hyam DEF3912
6
-
A Pears GLK38
4
-
M Gueye FWD3866
9
1
T Dolan MID3746
11
-
R Hedges MID3511
3
-
S Tronstad MID32
4
-
T Cantwell MID3123
6
-
L Travis MID3121
9
-
D Batth DEF302
5
-
A Weimann  FWD3072
3
-
C Brittain DEF2913
5
-
Y Ohashi FWD2961
3
-
J Rankin-Costello MID2722
4
-
O Beck DEF241
4
1
A Cozier-Duberry MID221
-
J Buckley MID21
5
-
H Carter DEF161
5
-
H Pickering DEF141
1
-
A Forshaw MID111
-
D Sanderson DEF9
1
-
H Leonard FWD91
-
Y Ribeiro DEF81
-
A Kargbo FWD61
-
C Woodrow FWD5
-
E Dennis FWD41
1
1
I. Tyjon FWD2
-
B Tóth GLK1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36111110
F AzazT ConwayF AzazG Edmundson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Azaz MID381011
5
-
H Hackney MID3652
6
1
D Burgzorg FWD3552
2
-
N Borges DEF3313
4
-
T Conway FWD29111
1
-
A Morris MID282
3
-
L Ayling DEF262
4
-
A Dijksteel DEF2621
5
-
G Edmundson DEF241
10
-
B Doak FWD2437
8
-
D Barlaser MID2211
2
-
R Berg DEF21
3
2
S Dieng GLK17
-
M Forss FWD171
1
-
D Fry DEF16
1
-
R McGree MID1615
2
-
J Howson MID141
-
M Travers GLK10
-
M Whittaker FWD91
-
S Junior FWD92
1
-
R Giles DEF8
-
K Iheanacho FWD81
-
T Glover GLK7
-
S Brynn GLK6
-