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Orense v Independiente del Valle : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 21:30 BST, Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala

the Estadio 9 de Mayo faithful welcome Independiente del Valle's supporters on Sunday night, as Santiago Escobar Saldarriaga's Orense go head to head with Javier Sanguinetti's charges in the Liga Pro. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Orense and I. Valle will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookies have it at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of I. Valle coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Orense
32%
11/4
11%
-
Draw
25%
23/10
3%
-
I. Valle
42%
1/1
8%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
I. Valle 1-0
9%
11/2
8%
-
I. Valle 2-1
9%
8/1-
Orense 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Orense 2-1
8%
12/1
13%
-
I. Valle 2-0
7%
8/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
11%
-
Orense 2-0
5%
16/1
19%
-
I. Valle 3-1
4%
16/1-
I. Valle 3-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Orense 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
I. Valle 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
Orense 3-2
2%
40/1-
Orense 3-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
11/10
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
7/10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
8/5
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/6
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
10/11
5%
-
BTTS - No
44%
4/5
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/1
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
15/4
6%
-
Home/draw
58%
4/5
6%
-
Away/draw
68%
1/4
2%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
4/11
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
2/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/4
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/4
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/12
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15/2
6%
-
Home DNB
50%
13/8
13%
-
Away DNB
60%
4/9
6%
-
Orense win to nil
16%
5/1
8%
-
I. Valle win to nil
22%
12/5
24%
-
Orense / Orense
14%
5/1
20%
-
Orense / I. Valle
3%
25/1-
Orense / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Orense
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw / I. Valle
17%
4/1
11%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4-
I. Valle / Orense
2%
33/1
17%
-
I. Valle / I. Valle
24%
12/5
10%
-
I. Valle / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win form
4
I. Valle have won 4 consecutive league games
5
Orense have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
8
I. Valle have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
Orense 7TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Orense3 - 1Guayaquil
Orense0 - 0Cuniburo
Orense2 - 1Tecnico
Orense2 - 1Manta
Orense0 - 0I. Valle
Orense0 - 2Tecnico
Orense0 - 0Delfin
Orense1 - 0Libertad
Orense1 - 0Macara
Orense2 - 2Catolica
Orense3 - 2Guayaquil
Orense4 - 0Aucas
Orense1 - 0Cumbaya
Orense0 - 1El Nacional
Orense1 - 0LDU Quito
Orense2 - 2Mushuc
Orense1 - 1Emelec
Orense1 - 2Imbabura
Orense1 - 1Cuenca
Orense1 - 2Aucas
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AOrense0 - 2Catolica
HOrense3 - 1Guayaquil
HOrense0 - 0Cuniburo
AOrense1 - 0El Nacional
AOrense1 - 4Libertad
HOrense2 - 1Tecnico
AOrense0 - 4LDU Quito
HOrense2 - 1Manta
AOrense0 - 1Macara
HOrense0 - 0I. Valle
AOrense2 - 2Cumbaya
HOrense0 - 2Tecnico
HOrense0 - 0Delfin
AOrense1 - 0El Nacional
HOrense1 - 0Libertad
AOrense0 - 2LDU Quito
HOrense1 - 0Macara
AOrense0 - 3Mushuc
HOrense2 - 2Catolica
AOrense1 - 2Emelec
I. Valle 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional1 - 3I. Valle
Aucas1 - 2I. Valle
Guayaquil0 - 4I. Valle
Libertad2 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito3 - 0I. Valle
Orense0 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito2 - 1I. Valle
Cuenca0 - 2I. Valle
Mushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Libertad1 - 1I. Valle
Aucas0 - 2I. Valle
Cumbaya1 - 3I. Valle
Guayaquil3 - 2I. Valle
Macara0 - 1I. Valle
El Nacional1 - 2I. Valle
Imbabura0 - 1I. Valle
Catolica2 - 2I. Valle
Emelec0 - 0I. Valle
Tecnico1 - 1I. Valle
Delfin0 - 1I. Valle
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HI. Valle2 - 0Manta
AI. Valle3 - 1El Nacional
HI. Valle4 - 0Cuenca
AI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 1Macara
AI. Valle4 - 0Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 1Catolica
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 2Libertad
HI. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 3LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 0Orense
HI. Valle7 - 0Macara
AI. Valle1 - 2LDU Quito
HI. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
AI. Valle2 - 0Cuenca
HI. Valle3 - 1Imbabura
AI. Valle1 - 1Mushuc
HI. Valle5 - 2Catolica
AI. Valle1 - 1Libertad
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
I. Valle have not lost to Orense in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Orense since 2020
Orense
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
1
D
1
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Orense
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2I. Valle
1 - 2I. Valle
Orense2 - 0
1 - 3I. Valle
League games at I. Valle since 2020
I. Valle
Orense
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
D
2
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
I. Valle1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
I. Valle3 - 2
I. Valle4 - 0
Goal Statistics

Independiente del Valle's defensive record is to be admired, Javier Sanguinetti's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga Pro outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Orense makes sense in this context.

Independiente del Valle have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Liga Pro matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Orense on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Orense 7th I. Valle 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Orense will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that I. Valle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Orense’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
I. Valle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293027/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Orense
PG (predicted goals)
I. Valle
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
42%
better
view stats
Games scored5
8
Failed to score4
1
Scored first4
6
Goals scored9
18
Avg. goals scored1
2
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded14
7
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against19%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+32%

Orense v I. Valle Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Orense Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7423
R SilvaM ParralesB RodriguezB Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK7
-
P Velasco DEF7
1
-
S Mina DEF6
1
-
B Rodriguez DEF62
1
-
G Achilier DEF6
2
-
S Cabrera MID6
-
N Molina MID6
-
M Parrales FWD641
-
Ángel Mena FWD611
2
-
B. Caicedo Quiñonez FWD6
1
-
S Quiñónez DEF5
2
-
J Valverde MID5
1
D Armas MID5
-
W. Herrera FWD5
1
B Caicedo DEF4
3
-
R Luna MID41
-
M Mejía FWD4
-
A. Olinick FWD4
1
-
B Quinonez DEF3
-
N Romero DEF2
1
-
D Coronel MID2
-
I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7343
M CarabajalJ MedinaL LoorM Carabajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carabajal DEF7
3
-
L Loor DEF74
-
M Fernández MID7
3
-
P Altamirano MID714
-
C Spinelli FWD71
1
-
G Villar GLK6
1
-
L Zárate DEF62
-
J Méndez MID6
1
-
C Zabala MID6
2
-
J Medina FWD63
2
-
R Schunke DEF5
1
-
A Rodríguez FWD52
1
-
M Hoyos FWD53
1
-
J Cazares MID412
-
J Macías MID4
-
G Cortez DEF3
-
R Ibarra  FWD3
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF2
-
J Arroyo MID2
-
B García MID2
1
-
E Rodriguez FWD2
-
M Ramírez GLK1
-
J Sornoza MID1
-
R Ibarra FWD1
-