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Mushuc Runa v El Nacional : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 24th Nov, 15:30 BST, Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting, Ambato

Mushuc Runa and El Nacional meet at the Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting on Sunday afternoon, with both Ever Hugo Almeida and Marcelo Javier Zuleta hoping for success in the Liga Pro. You'll find stats supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga Pro performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Mushuc and El Nacional have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.44.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mushuc are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mushuc
51%
3/4
17%
-
Draw
26%
5/2
9%
-
El Nacional
22%
7/2
29%
-
Mushuc 1-0
14%
15/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
-
Mushuc 2-0
10%
17/2
21%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
12/1-
Mushuc 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
El Nacional 1-0
8%
14/1
15%
-
El Nacional 2-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Mushuc 3-0
5%
14/1
21%
-
Mushuc 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
12/1
18%
-
El Nacional 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
-
Mushuc 3-2
2%
20/1
9%
-
Mushuc 4-0
2%
28/1
29%
-
Mushuc 4-1
2%
25/1
24%
-
El Nacional 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
7/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
11/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1/2
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4
16%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - No
55%
6/5
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
12/5
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
13%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
13/2
25%
-
Home/draw
78%
2/11
9%
-
Away/draw
49%
1/1
18%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
12/1-
Home DNB
70%
1/3
11%
-
Away DNB
41%
9/4
30%
-
Mushuc win to nil
32%
12/5
15%
-
El Nacional win to nil
13%
8/1
29%
-
Mushuc / Mushuc
29%
15/8
15%
-
Mushuc / El Nacional
2%
33/1
17%
-
Mushuc / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Mushuc
18%
15/4
14%
-
Draw / El Nacional
9%
8/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
El Nacional / Mushuc
4%
20/1-
El Nacional / El Nacional
12%
6/1
27%
-
El Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
3
El Nacional have lost 3 consecutive league games
9
Mushuc have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
Mushuc 8TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mushuc2 - 1Macara
Mushuc1 - 1Cuenca
Mushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Mushuc3 - 0Orense
Mushuc0 - 0Cumbaya
Mushuc3 - 0Emelec
Mushuc1 - 0Guayaquil
Mushuc2 - 1Catolica
Mushuc5 - 0Delfin
Mushuc0 - 1LDU Quito
Mushuc1 - 2Tecnico
Mushuc0 - 2Aucas
Mushuc3 - 0Imbabura
Mushuc2 - 1Libertad
Mushuc0 - 2Catolica
Mushuc1 - 0Tecnico
Mushuc1 - 1Cuenca
Mushuc1 - 1Cumbaya
Mushuc2 - 0Delfin
Mushuc2 - 2Guayaquil
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMushuc2 - 4Delfin
HMushuc2 - 1Macara
AMushuc1 - 1LDU Quito
HMushuc1 - 1Cuenca
HMushuc1 - 1I. Valle
AMushuc2 - 2Tecnico
HMushuc3 - 0Orense
AMushuc2 - 1Aucas
AMushuc1 - 5Catolica
HMushuc0 - 0Cumbaya
AMushuc3 - 2Imbabura
HMushuc3 - 0Emelec
AMushuc2 - 2Libertad
HMushuc1 - 0Guayaquil
AMushuc0 - 1El Nacional
HMushuc2 - 1Catolica
HMushuc5 - 0Delfin
AMushuc0 - 0Macara
HMushuc0 - 1LDU Quito
AMushuc0 - 5Cuenca
El Nacional 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
I. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
Delfin1 - 1El Nacional
Imbabura1 - 0El Nacional
LDU Quito1 - 1El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 2El Nacional
Emelec0 - 1El Nacional
Tecnico1 - 2El Nacional
Libertad0 - 2El Nacional
Orense0 - 1El Nacional
Guayaquil1 - 0El Nacional
Cumbaya1 - 0El Nacional
Aucas3 - 4El Nacional
Macara1 - 0El Nacional
Catolica3 - 0El Nacional
Cuenca1 - 0El Nacional
Guayaquil3 - 2El Nacional
Orense1 - 1El Nacional
Libertad0 - 1El Nacional
Catolica1 - 1El Nacional
LDU Quito0 - 0El Nacional
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional1 - 4Libertad
AEl Nacional0 - 2I. Valle
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional1 - 1Delfin
HEl Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1Imbabura
AEl Nacional1 - 1LDU Quito
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
AEl Nacional2 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional0 - 0Aucas
AEl Nacional1 - 0Emelec
HEl Nacional1 - 3Macara
HEl Nacional0 - 2Catolica
AEl Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
HEl Nacional1 - 0Mushuc
AEl Nacional2 - 0Libertad
HEl Nacional1 - 2I. Valle
AEl Nacional1 - 0Orense
HEl Nacional1 - 0Delfin
AEl Nacional0 - 1Guayaquil
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
El Nacional have beaten Mushuc in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
El Nacional have not lost to Mushuc in 7 consecutive league meetings
3
El Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Mushuc
League games at Mushuc since 2019
Mushuc
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
1
3
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
D
1
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mushuc
0 - 1El Nacional
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1El Nacional
League games at El Nacional since 2019
El Nacional
Mushuc
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
El Nacional1 - 0
El Nacional2 - 0
El Nacional2 - 1
El Nacional2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Mushuc Runa have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Liga Pro games. Their PG of 1.5 against El Nacional on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Mushuc 8th El Nacional 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Mushuc will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of El Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Mushuc’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
El Nacional have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/272064/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mushuc
PG (predicted goals)
El Nacional
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
15%
better
view stats
Games scored21
18
Failed to score7
10
Scored first12
11
Goals scored41
29
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
11
Avg. XG for1.2
0.1
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
20
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded39
33
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.3
2.4
KickOff rating
+3%

Mushuc v El Nacional Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Mushuc Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
277610
J EstacioM MacielJ VergésJ Parrales
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Estacio MID281
6
-
D Quintero DEF261
8
-
J Vergés MID2646
2
1
M Alonso FWD2623
3
-
B Delgado FWD253
2
-
J. Randazzo DEF241
2
-
J Parrales DEF231
10
-
M Montaño DEF21
6
1
S Tapiero MID2021
6
1
L Ayala DEF15
4
-
A Zambrano MID14
4
-
Ángel Gracia DEF1322
4
-
M Maciel FWD1371
2
-
D Segura FWD1311
2
-
E Fernández FWD125
1
-
C Tapia GLK11
1
-
J Mina DEF91
4
-
E. Caicedo López FWD91
-
A Pabón GLK8
1
-
J Pinos GLK8
1
-
F Sierra FWD81
1
-
A. Caicedo Canga FWD7
2
-
W Ocles FWD7
1
-
S Palma MID61
1
-
A Alcívar MID2
-
A Bone GLK1
1
J. Quiñones Mesías DEF1
-
B. Lerma MID1
-
El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26537
D PatinoA. Chére AyovíF MartínezM Olmedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Patino DEF262
4
-
D Cabezas GLK24
1
1
E Mejía MID2312
-
F Martínez MID2133
4
-
C Vélez MID201
6
-
J Colorado MID2032
5
-
M Olmedo MID1911
7
-
A. Chére Ayoví FWD1851
-
K Peralta MID161
6
-
J Ordóñez MID151
1
-
J Blanco DEF14
1
-
R Briones DEF141
1
-
A Recalde MID111
-
A Bedoya DEF1011
1
-
G Cortez MID1031
2
-
B Rivera DEF9
1
-
A Cabeza FWD912
4
-
G Asprilla FWD9
-
T Minda FWD8
-
E. Carabalí Bernardo FWD8
1
-
D Pazmino MID7
1
-
L Arce MID7
1
-
M Pineida  DEF6
2
-
M Corozo DEF6
1
-
J. Mejía Moreira MID6
2
-
F Mora MID61
4
-
L Chalá GLK5
-
J Badaraco DEF5
-
J. Chala Alomia MID4
1
-
B Oña MID4
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID4
-
S. Mazamba Sabando DEF3
1
1
C Colobón DEF3
-
J. Zambrano Jaramillo MID3
1
-
T. Lara MID3
-
J. Caicedo Tamayo FWD3
-
W. Estupiñan Ortíz DEF2
-
J. Maya Zambrano MID2
-
L. Benalcazar Veintimilla MID2
-
A Montenegro MID2
-
A. Piloso Morales MID1
-
A. Espinoza Coello MID1
-
M. Lozano MID1
-