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Emelec v Imbabura : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 20:30 BST, Estadio Banco del Pacífico, Guayaquil

Saturday night at the Estadio Banco del Pacífico, and it’s a Liga Pro clash between Emelec and Imbabura. Leonel de Jesús Álvarez Zuleta and Galo Rodríguez going all-out to claim victory. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Emelec and Imbabura have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Emelec are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Emelec 52%	8/11 9%	-
Draw 25%	12/5	-
Imbabura 23%	4/1 22%	-
Emelec 1-0 12%	13/2 7%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	-
Emelec 2-0 10%	7/1 6%	-
Emelec 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 8%	9/1 11%	-
Imbabura 1-0 7%	14/1 36%	-
Imbabura 2-1 6%	16/1 13%	-
Emelec 3-0 5%	12/1 13%	-
Emelec 3-1 5%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	-
Imbabura 2-0 4%	25/1 24%	-
Emelec 3-2 2%	25/1 10%	-
Emelec 4-0 2%	25/1 24%	-
Emelec 4-1 2%	28/1 15%	-
Imbabura 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	9/10 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	9/10 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/9 8%	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	2/1 9%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	9/1 11%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/5 2%	-
BTTS - No 51%	10/11 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	11/4 13%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	17/2 12%	-
Home/draw 77%	1/6 4%	-
Away/draw 48%	21/20 7%	-
Home/away 75%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1/4 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	11/4 10%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	9/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1/3 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	11/2 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/9 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 11%	-
Home DNB 70%	1/4 8%	-
Away DNB 40%	11/4 25%	-
Emelec win to nil 31%	7/4 15%	-
Imbabura win to nil 12%	8/1 29%	-
Emelec / Emelec 30%	7/4 11%	-
Emelec / Imbabura 2%	40/1 21%	-
Emelec / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Emelec 19%	7/2 5%	-
Draw / Imbabura 8%	9/1 18%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 10%	-
Imbabura / Emelec 4%	20/1 9%	-
Imbabura / Imbabura 10%	7/1 14%	-
Imbabura / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Imbabura have lost 5 consecutive league games

Emelec have not won in 6 consecutive league games

Imbabura have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Emelec	0 - 1	LDU Quito
Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas
Emelec	3 - 1	Tecnico
Emelec	2 - 1	Orense
Emelec	0 - 1	El Nacional
Emelec	0 - 1	Cuenca
Emelec	0 - 0	Libertad
Emelec	0 - 1	Macara
Emelec	2 - 1	Catolica
Emelec	1 - 1	Guayaquil
Emelec	2 - 0	Cumbaya
Emelec	0 - 0	I. Valle
Emelec	2 - 0	Delfin
Emelec	0 - 0	Mushuc
Emelec	2 - 1	Cuenca
Emelec	0 - 0	Guayaquil
Emelec	2 - 1	Catolica
Emelec	3 - 0	Cumbaya
Emelec	3 - 1	Mushuc
Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Emelec	1 - 1	Macara
H	Emelec	0 - 1	LDU Quito
A	Emelec	0 - 2	Catolica
A	Emelec	1 - 2	Guayaquil
H	Emelec	0 - 0	Aucas
A	Emelec	0 - 1	Cumbaya
H	Emelec	3 - 1	Tecnico
A	Emelec	1 - 2	I. Valle
H	Emelec	2 - 1	Orense
A	Emelec	1 - 0	Delfin
H	Emelec	0 - 1	El Nacional
A	Emelec	0 - 3	Mushuc
H	Emelec	0 - 1	Cuenca
H	Emelec	0 - 0	Libertad
A	Emelec	2 - 1	Imbabura
H	Emelec	0 - 1	Macara
A	Emelec	2 - 2	LDU Quito
H	Emelec	2 - 1	Catolica
H	Emelec	1 - 1	Guayaquil
A	Emelec	1 - 3	Aucas

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 14

Conceded

14 / 14

Clean sheets

0 / 14

Failed to score

5 / 14

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Libertad	3 - 1	Imbabura
I. Valle	3 - 1	Imbabura
Catolica	2 - 1	Imbabura
Macara	2 - 0	Imbabura
Cumbaya	1 - 2	Imbabura
Delfin	1 - 1	Imbabura
Aucas	2 - 2	Imbabura
Cuenca	5 - 2	Imbabura
Tecnico	1 - 1	Imbabura
El Nacional	2 - 0	Imbabura
LDU Quito	5 - 0	Imbabura
Orense	1 - 2	Imbabura
Mushuc	3 - 0	Imbabura
Guayaquil	2 - 0	Imbabura

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Imbabura	0 - 2	Cuenca
A	Imbabura	1 - 3	Libertad
H	Imbabura	0 - 6	Tecnico
A	Imbabura	1 - 3	I. Valle
A	Imbabura	1 - 2	Catolica
H	Imbabura	1 - 0	El Nacional
A	Imbabura	0 - 2	Macara
H	Imbabura	4 - 0	LDU Quito
A	Imbabura	2 - 1	Cumbaya
H	Imbabura	0 - 1	Orense
H	Imbabura	2 - 3	Mushuc
A	Imbabura	1 - 1	Delfin
H	Imbabura	1 - 3	Guayaquil
A	Imbabura	2 - 2	Aucas
H	Imbabura	1 - 2	Emelec
A	Imbabura	2 - 5	Cuenca
H	Imbabura	4 - 2	Libertad
A	Imbabura	1 - 1	Tecnico
H	Imbabura	0 - 1	I. Valle
H	Imbabura	2 - 2	Catolica

Goal Statistics

Emelec's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Imbabura have conceded in each of their last 5 Liga Pro matches. A PG of 1.6 for Leonel de Jesús Álvarez Zuleta's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Imbabura of late. It has been 7 Liga Pro matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Emelec.

	Emelec 6th	Imbabura 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Emelec will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Imbabura scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-25 Emelec have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted	-2 Imbabura’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	2.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2024/2024 season

better

view stats

Games scored	17		17
Failed to score	11		11
Scored first	10		6
Goals scored	26		31
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	10		10
Conversion rate for	10		10
Avg. XG for	1.2		0.4
KickOff rating		+2%

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	20		24
Clean sheets	8		4
Conceded first	14		21
Goals conceded	28		56
Avg. goals conceded	1		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		6
Conversion rate against	9%		18%
Avg. XG against	0.7		2
KickOff rating		+35%

Emelec v Imbabura Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Emelec Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	4	3	8
G Cortez	J Ayoví	J Gómez	A González

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Cortez DEF	27	1		6 -
F León DEF	25	3	1	6 -
M Meli MID	25	1	1	6 -
M Solís FWD	25	1	1	4 -
P Ortíz GLK	24			1 -
J Gómez FWD	24	2	3	2 -
J Ayoví FWD	24	4		7 -
R Caicedo DEF	22	1	2	6 -
A González DEF	21	1	2	8 -
C Erbes MID	20			2 1
W Corozo FWD	19	1	1	2 -
J Sánchez FWD	18		1	3 -
T Chamba MID	17	1	1	-
R Rivero FWD	16	2		1 -
R. Borja Robalino MID	15			2 -
D Tobar DEF	14	1		-
C Valencia MID	14			1 -
R Garcés MID	13			1 -
F Castelli FWD	13	4	2	6 1
E. Muñoz Calderón MID	12		1	2 1
A Ricaurte MID	11	1		1 -
G Napa GLK	5			1 -
J Quiñónez DEF	4			3 1
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD	4			-
J Rodríguez DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	3	3
J Ayoví	J Ayoví	J Gómez	T Chamba

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Ayoví FWD	4	14
F Castelli FWD	4	8	2	1
F León DEF	3	6	1	1
J Gómez FWD	2	7	3	2
R Rivero FWD	2	8
G Cortez DEF	1	4
W Corozo FWD	1	6	1	1
A Ricaurte MID	1	1		1
D Tobar DEF	1	2
T Chamba MID	1	3	1	3
A González DEF	1	4	2	2
R Caicedo DEF	1	3	2	1
M Solís FWD	1	9	1
M Meli MID	1	6	1
J Sánchez FWD		3	1	1
R. Borja Robalino MID		2
C Valencia MID		2
R Garcés MID		1
E. Muñoz Calderón MID		5	1	1
J Quiñónez DEF		1
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1092	55	116
F León	G Cortez	G Cortez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F León DEF	1092	19	77
G Cortez DEF	974	55	116
C Erbes MID	883	21	62
M Meli MID	851	30	105
R Caicedo DEF	673	15	81
D Tobar DEF	559	18	60
P Ortíz GLK	515	1	7
J Gómez FWD	472	15	55
A González DEF	454	13	43
M Solís FWD	451	11	49
R. Borja Robalino MID	328	15	27
R Rivero FWD	300	5	33
A Ricaurte MID	294	12	35
T Chamba MID	238	5	29
W Corozo FWD	231	6	30
R Garcés MID	230	10	22
J Ayoví FWD	227	6	43
J Sánchez FWD	227	6	33
F Castelli FWD	186	5	71
E. Muñoz Calderón MID	184	11	36
C Valencia MID	139	7	12
J Quiñónez DEF	112	2	14
G Napa GLK	88	1	3
J Rodríguez DEF	39	1	7
J. Gonzaga Yazbek FWD	11		3

Imbabura Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	10	3	9
M Sánchez	E. Mendoza Zambrano	C Tobar	R. Caicedo Cevallos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Sánchez GLK	27			3 -
F. Paz FWD	27	6	2	2 -
E. Medina Caicedo DEF	26	1	2	1 1
L. Espinoza Lema MID	26		2	3 1
L. Pantoja Dias MID	24	6	2	5 -
E. Mendoza Zambrano FWD	23	10	1	4 2
R. Caicedo Cevallos MID	22			8 1
D. Burbano Espinosa FWD	22	1	1	-
E Almeida DEF	19		1	5 1
J Mina FWD	19	1		3 -
J Benítez MID	18			5 2
J. Alcivar Vargas MID	17		2	2 -
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID	16			1 -
M Espinoza MID	15			2 -
C Tobar MID	13		3	2 -
L. Klimowicz FWD	13	5		3 -
G. Coronel Ayala DEF	12			1 1
S. Sánchez MID	12			4 -
T Lecanda DEF	10			3 -
J. Guisamano Salazar MID	7			-
R. Chávez Mina DEF	6			2 -
F Prado DEF	4			-
T. López DEF	2			1 -
G. Cevallos Ponce MID	2			-
E Recalde GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	21	3	4
E. Mendoza Zambrano	F. Paz	C Tobar	C Tobar

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E. Mendoza Zambrano FWD	10	21	1	1
L. Pantoja Dias MID	6	21	2	2
F. Paz FWD	6	21	2	1
L. Klimowicz FWD	5	7
E. Medina Caicedo DEF	1	5	2
D. Burbano Espinosa FWD	1	2	1
J Mina FWD	1	4
T Lecanda DEF		2		1
S. Sánchez MID		1
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID		10
C Tobar MID		7	3	4
J. Alcivar Vargas MID			2	1
J Benítez MID		4
E Almeida DEF		2	1	1
R. Caicedo Cevallos MID		5
L. Espinoza Lema MID		7	2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
774	34	104
E. Medina Caicedo	E Almeida	F. Paz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E. Medina Caicedo DEF	774	28	101
M Sánchez GLK	773	6	20
R. Caicedo Cevallos MID	661	12	58
O. Pepinos Arboleda MID	631	27	58
E Almeida DEF	627	34	76
L. Espinoza Lema MID	535	26	88
F. Paz FWD	528	16	104
J Benítez MID	495	24	80
L. Pantoja Dias MID	426	28	67
S. Sánchez MID	393	13	33
E. Mendoza Zambrano FWD	385	17	99
T Lecanda DEF	356	9	25
C Tobar MID	338	7	42
M Espinoza MID	279	14	22
J. Alcivar Vargas MID	259	6	13
G. Coronel Ayala DEF	243	10	30
D. Burbano Espinosa FWD	191	13	31
J Mina FWD	145	6	42
L. Klimowicz FWD	121	2	28
F Prado DEF	91	6	7
R. Chávez Mina DEF	83	7	17
J. Guisamano Salazar MID	60	4	9
T. López DEF	50	1	8
E Recalde GLK	24		1
G. Cevallos Ponce MID	9	1	1

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