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El Nacional v Independiente del Valle : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Javier Sanguinetti leads his Independiente del Valle team to the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in the Liga Pro on Monday night, with Omar Andrés Asad's El Nacional their challengers. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
29%
--
Draw
29%
--
I. Valle
42%
--
I. Valle 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
11%
--
El Nacional 1-0
11%
--
I. Valle 2-0
9%
--
I. Valle 2-1
8%
--
El Nacional 2-1
6%
--
El Nacional 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
I. Valle 3-0
3%
--
I. Valle 3-1
3%
--
El Nacional 3-1
2%
--
El Nacional 3-0
2%
--
I. Valle 3-2
2%
--
El Nacional 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
8%
--
BTTS - Yes
43%
--
BTTS - No
57%
--
BTTS - Home Win
11%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
71%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
--
Home DNB
49%
--
Away DNB
63%
--
El Nacional win to nil
18%
--
I. Valle win to nil
27%
--
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Win / draw / win form
4
El Nacional have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
El Nacional 16TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional0 - 1Aucas
El Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
El Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
El Nacional1 - 4Libertad
El Nacional0 - 1Orense
El Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
El Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
El Nacional0 - 0Aucas
El Nacional1 - 3Macara
El Nacional0 - 2Catolica
El Nacional1 - 0Mushuc
El Nacional1 - 2I. Valle
El Nacional1 - 0Delfin
El Nacional2 - 0Imbabura
El Nacional1 - 2LDU Quito
El Nacional2 - 1Cuenca
El Nacional0 - 1Emelec
El Nacional2 - 1I. Valle
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
HEl Nacional0 - 1Aucas
AEl Nacional3 - 4Manta
HEl Nacional0 - 0Tecnico
AEl Nacional1 - 1Catolica
HEl Nacional0 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional2 - 1Tecnico
AEl Nacional2 - 2Mushuc
HEl Nacional1 - 4Libertad
AEl Nacional0 - 2I. Valle
HEl Nacional0 - 1Orense
AEl Nacional1 - 1Delfin
HEl Nacional3 - 0Guayaquil
AEl Nacional0 - 1Imbabura
AEl Nacional1 - 1LDU Quito
HEl Nacional2 - 1Cumbaya
AEl Nacional2 - 1Cuenca
HEl Nacional0 - 0Aucas
AEl Nacional1 - 0Emelec
HEl Nacional1 - 3Macara
I. Valle 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aucas1 - 2I. Valle
Guayaquil0 - 4I. Valle
Libertad2 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito3 - 0I. Valle
Orense0 - 0I. Valle
LDU Quito2 - 1I. Valle
Cuenca0 - 2I. Valle
Mushuc1 - 1I. Valle
Libertad1 - 1I. Valle
Aucas0 - 2I. Valle
Cumbaya1 - 3I. Valle
Guayaquil3 - 2I. Valle
Macara0 - 1I. Valle
El Nacional1 - 2I. Valle
Imbabura0 - 1I. Valle
Catolica2 - 2I. Valle
Emelec0 - 0I. Valle
Tecnico1 - 1I. Valle
Delfin0 - 1I. Valle
LDU Quito1 - 1I. Valle
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AI. Valle2 - 1Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 1Macara
AI. Valle4 - 0Guayaquil
HI. Valle1 - 1Catolica
HI. Valle1 - 1LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 2Libertad
HI. Valle1 - 0LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 3LDU Quito
AI. Valle0 - 0Orense
HI. Valle7 - 0Macara
AI. Valle1 - 2LDU Quito
HI. Valle2 - 0El Nacional
AI. Valle2 - 0Cuenca
HI. Valle3 - 1Imbabura
AI. Valle1 - 1Mushuc
HI. Valle5 - 2Catolica
AI. Valle1 - 1Libertad
HI. Valle2 - 1Emelec
AI. Valle2 - 0Aucas
HI. Valle1 - 0Tecnico
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
I. Valle
Goals: Scored
11
12
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
2
D
1
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT El Nacional
1 - 2I. Valle
El Nacional2 - 1
2 - 4I. Valle
El Nacional4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2I. Valle
League games at I. Valle since 2018
I. Valle
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
2
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT I. Valle
I. Valle2 - 0
3 - 4El Nacional
I. Valle2 - 0
I. Valle1 - 0
I. Valle4 - 2
0 - 1El Nacional
Goal Statistics
El Nacional 16th I. Valle 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of El Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that I. Valle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
El Nacional have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
I. Valle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293017/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
I. Valle
1
1.2
Attack rating
53%
better
view stats
Games scored2
5
Failed to score4
1
Scored first1
3
Goals scored4
9
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal16
6
Conversion rate for6
17
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
5
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded8
6
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+14%

El Nacional v I. Valle Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5113
M MontañoE MejíaF MoraF Carabalí
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olmedo MID6
2
-
E Mejía MID61
-
J Cifuente FWD61
1
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix MID5
1
-
A Recalde MID51
-
M Montaño MID5
-
J Chalá FWD51
1
-
D Cabezas GLK4
-
F Carabalí DEF4
3
-
B Rivera DEF4
-
R Briones DEF4
1
-
J Cevallos MID4
-
C Vélez MID3
2
-
F Martínez MID3
-
F Mora MID31
-
E Caicedo MID3
1
-
V Branda FWD3
-
L Chalá GLK2
-
J Blanco DEF2
1
-
J Colorado MID2
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID2
-
D Pazmino MID2
-
A Montenegro MID2
-
B Jesús FWD2
-
A Bedoya DEF1
-
J. Mejía Moreira MID1
1
-
J. Maya Zambrano MID1
-
I. Valle Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6333
M CarabajalJ MedinaL LoorM Fernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carabajal DEF6
2
-
L Loor DEF63
-
P Altamirano MID62
-
J Méndez MID6
1
-
C Zabala MID6
2
-
M Fernández MID6
3
-
J Medina FWD63
2
-
G Villar GLK5
1
-
R Schunke DEF5
1
-
L Zárate DEF52
-
C Spinelli FWD51
1
-
M Hoyos FWD42
1
-
G Cortez DEF3
-
R Ibarra  FWD3
-
A Rodríguez FWD31
-
B García MID2
1
-
J Macías MID2
-
J Cazares MID2
-
E Rodriguez FWD2
-
M Ramírez GLK1
-
Óscar Quiñónez DEF1
-
R Ibarra FWD1
-
MSG
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