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El Nacional v Delfin : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 01:00 BST, Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Saturday morning sees Omar Andrés Asad’s El Nacional and Nicolás Alejandro Chietino’s Delfin go up against one another in a Liga Pro battle at the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by El Nacional and Delfin combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 78% chance of it being right on the money. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think El Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
El Nacional
57%
1/2-
Draw
25%
13/5-
Delfin
18%
5/1
4%
-
El Nacional 1-0
15%
5/1
9%
-
El Nacional 2-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
El Nacional 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
15/2
6%
-
Delfin 1-0
7%
12/1-
El Nacional 3-0
6%
9/1-
El Nacional 3-1
5%
14/1-
Delfin 2-1
5%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Delfin 2-0
3%
33/1-
El Nacional 4-0
3%
20/1-
El Nacional 4-1
2%
28/1-
El Nacional 3-2
2%
33/1-
Delfin 3-1
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
21/20
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
3/4
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
38%
11/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5-
BTTS - No
56%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
13%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/9-
Away/draw
43%
11/8-
Home/away
75%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/4
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
5/2
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/7
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/1
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/10
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
25%
-
Home DNB
74%
2/11
1%
-
Away DNB
36%
7/2
10%
-
El Nacional win to nil
36%
5/4
2%
-
Delfin win to nil
11%
9/1-
El Nacional / El Nacional
35%
11/8
1%
-
El Nacional / Delfin
2%
40/1-
El Nacional / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / El Nacional
21%
3/1-
Draw / Delfin
7%
11/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Delfin / El Nacional
4%
22/1-
Delfin / Delfin
7%
10/1-
Delfin / Draw
4%
18/1-
Win / draw / win form
3
El Nacional have lost 3 consecutive home league games
3
Delfin have lost 3 consecutive away league games
5
El Nacional have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
8
Delfin have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
3
Delfin have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
El Nacional 16TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Delfin 14TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
6 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
14 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at El Nacional since 2018
El Nacional
Delfin
Goals: Scored
7
12
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
1
D
2
3
League games at Delfin since 2018
Delfin
El Nacional
Goals: Scored
12
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
1
D
2
3
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Delfin fans, as should a 6 Liga Pro matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

El Nacional 16th Delfin 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that El Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Delfin scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-32
El Nacional have scored 32% fewer goals at home than predicted
-47
Delfin have scored 47% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga Pro - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/293030/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
El Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Delfin
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
20%
better
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score5
6
Scored first2
2
Goals scored8
5
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal12
15
Conversion rate for9
7
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded13
15
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
18%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+12%

El Nacional v Delfin Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

El Nacional Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6313
M MontañoE MejíaA RecaldeF Carabalí
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olmedo MID7
2
-
E Mejía MID73
-
M Montaño MID6
-
Ángel Alexander Ledesma Félix MID61
2
-
A Recalde MID611
-
J Cifuente FWD61
1
-
D Cabezas GLK5
1
-
F Carabalí DEF5
3
-
B Rivera DEF5
-
R Briones DEF5
1
-
J Cevallos MID5
-
J Chalá FWD51
1
-
F Mora MID41
-
C Vélez MID4
2
-
F Martínez MID4
-
V Branda FWD4
-
E Caicedo MID3
1
-
D Pazmino MID3
-
B Jesús FWD3
-
L Chalá GLK2
-
J Blanco DEF2
1
-
A Montenegro MID2
-
J Colorado MID2
-
J. Guisamano Camacho MID2
-
A Bedoya DEF1
-
J. Maya Zambrano MID1
-
J. Mejía Moreira MID1
1
-
Delfin Liga Pro squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9114
B HerasG CaguaR PhillipsN Gallardo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Heras GLK9
-
J Cuero DEF9
-
M Alcivar DEF9
-
L Castro MID9
3
-
G Cagua FWD91
-
R Phillips MID811
1
-
M. Levato FWD8
1
1
N Gallardo DEF71
3
1
E Vega MID71
1
-
L Caicedo DEF6
1
-
M Burdisso DEF6
1
-
B Cuello MID611
-
J. León Noel MID61
1
-
C Cuero DEF5
1
-
J Estacio MID5
2
-
F. Zicarelli MID51
1
-
J Vivar FWD51
1
-
E Medina FWD5
-
A García DEF4
-
H Batalla FWD4
-
J Nazareno MID1
-