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RKC Waalwijk v Ajax : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Sep, 15:45 BST, Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk

Ajax pay Eredivisie counterparts RKC Waalwijk a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Francesco Farioli guides his side into an away clash with Henk Fraser & co. at the Mandemakers Stadion. Analysing both sides' last 20 Eredivisie matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 67% chance of Ajax coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Waalwijk
14%
21/4-
Draw
19%
4/1-
Ajax
67%
21/50-
Ajax 2-0
11%
13/2-
Ajax 2-1
10%
15/2-
Ajax 1-0
9%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
17/2-
Ajax 3-0
8%
9/1-
Ajax 3-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1-
Ajax 4-0
4%
16/1-
Ajax 4-1
4%
18/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1-
Waalwijk 2-1
4%
18/1-
Waalwijk 1-0
4%
18/1-
Ajax 3-2
3%
20/1-
Ajax 5-0
2%
33/1-
Ajax 4-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
27/20-
Home 1st Goal
39%
5/2-
Away 1st Goal
58%
3/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5-
BTTS - No
46%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
9/1-
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1-
BTTS - Away Win
32%
15/8-
Home/draw
33%
7/4-
Away/draw
86%
1/8-
Home/away
81%
1/6-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/15-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Home DNB
27%
4/1-
Away DNB
80%
1/6-
Waalwijk win to nil
6%
12/1-
Ajax win to nil
35%
6/4-
Waalwijk / Waalwijk
8%
10/1-
Waalwijk / Ajax
4%
18/1-
Waalwijk / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Waalwijk
6%
14/1-
Draw / Ajax
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Ajax / Waalwijk
2%
40/1-
Ajax / Ajax
40%
11/10-
Ajax / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table
Waalwijk
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Ajax
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 16
l
 
5-1A
 PSV55001715 
Nov 2
Mar 30
l
 
0-3A
Mar 9
 AZ Alkmaar54101313 
Mar 16
Dec 8
Apr 27
Oct 5
 Utrecht4310310 
-
May 4
l
 
1-2A
May 4
 Groningen523049 
Oct 6
May 14
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
 Willem II522148 
Oct 27
Apr 13
Oct 19
Feb 16
 Twente522128 
May 18
Nov 10
Sep 29
Jan 11
 Ajax Away320156 
-
-
Dec 7
May 14
 Feyenoord413046 
Feb 2
Oct 30
Sep 21
Jan 17
 S.Rotterdam513106 
Apr 27
Dec 22
Nov 9
Apr 13
 NEC520306 
May 11
Dec 1
Mar 2
Dec 14
 Fortuna5203-46 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 9
May 18
l
 
2-0A
 GA Eagles5203-46 
Jan 26
Sep 21
Feb 9
Oct 26
 NAC5203-66 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
Dec 20
Mar 30
 PEC Zwolle5113-34 
Nov 24
Mar 9
May 11
Nov 29
 Heerenveen5113-74 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
Apr 6
Nov 23
 Heracles5032-53 
Feb 16
Oct 20
Nov 3
Feb 2
 Almere City5023-102 
Dec 15
Mar 2
-
-
 Waalwijk Home5005-130 
Jan 11
Sep 29
Win / draw / win form
Waalwijk 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Waalwijk0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk1 - 2Groningen
Waalwijk1 - 1PEC Zwolle
Waalwijk2 - 2Utrecht
Waalwijk0 - 0Almere City
Waalwijk1 - 1Heerenveen
Waalwijk3 - 1Vitesse
Waalwijk0 - 1Fortuna
Waalwijk2 - 0NEC
Waalwijk1 - 1S.Rotterdam
Waalwijk1 - 2Heracles
Waalwijk2 - 3Ajax
Waalwijk2 - 2Excelsior
Waalwijk0 - 1GA Eagles
Waalwijk1 - 2Feyenoord
Waalwijk2 - 1FC Volendam
Waalwijk1 - 0Twente
Waalwijk0 - 4PSV
Waalwijk1 - 3AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk0 - 5Twente
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWaalwijk0 - 3Willem II
HWaalwijk0 - 3AZ Alkmaar
AWaalwijk0 - 2GA Eagles
HWaalwijk1 - 2Groningen
AWaalwijk1 - 5PSV
AWaalwijk1 - 3PSV
HWaalwijk1 - 1PEC Zwolle
AWaalwijk5 - 0Heracles
HWaalwijk2 - 2Utrecht
AWaalwijk2 - 3AZ Alkmaar
AWaalwijk2 - 3FC Volendam
HWaalwijk0 - 0Almere City
HWaalwijk1 - 1Heerenveen
AWaalwijk1 - 1Excelsior
HWaalwijk3 - 1Vitesse
AWaalwijk0 - 1GA Eagles
HWaalwijk0 - 1Fortuna
AWaalwijk0 - 1Feyenoord
HWaalwijk2 - 0NEC
AWaalwijk0 - 3Twente
Ajax 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NAC2 - 1Ajax
Vitesse2 - 2Ajax
FC Volendam1 - 4Ajax
Feyenoord6 - 0Ajax
PEC Zwolle1 - 3Ajax
S.Rotterdam2 - 2Ajax
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0Ajax
Heerenveen3 - 2Ajax
Heracles2 - 4Ajax
GA Eagles2 - 3Ajax
Waalwijk2 - 3Ajax
NEC1 - 2Ajax
Almere City2 - 2Ajax
PSV5 - 2Ajax
Utrecht4 - 3Ajax
Twente3 - 1Ajax
Fortuna0 - 0Ajax
Excelsior2 - 2Ajax
Twente3 - 1Ajax
Groningen2 - 3Ajax
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 2NAC
HAjax1 - 0Heerenveen
AAjax2 - 2Vitesse
HAjax3 - 0Almere City
AAjax4 - 1FC Volendam
HAjax2 - 2Excelsior
HAjax2 - 1Twente
AAjax0 - 6Feyenoord
HAjax1 - 1GA Eagles
AAjax3 - 1PEC Zwolle
AAjax2 - 2S.Rotterdam
HAjax2 - 2Fortuna
HAjax2 - 0Utrecht
AAjax0 - 2AZ Alkmaar
HAjax2 - 2NEC
AAjax2 - 3Heerenveen
HAjax1 - 1PSV
AAjax4 - 2Heracles
HAjax4 - 1Waalwijk
AAjax3 - 2GA Eagles
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Ajax have beaten Waalwijk in 10 consecutive league meetings
10
Ajax have not lost to Waalwijk in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Waalwijk since 2019
Waalwijk
Ajax
Goals: Scored
4
15
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
AJA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Waalwijk
2 - 3Ajax
1 - 4Ajax
0 - 5Ajax
0 - 1Ajax
1 - 2Ajax
League games at Ajax since 2020
Ajax
Waalwijk
Goals: Scored
16
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
AJA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajax
Ajax4 - 1
Ajax3 - 1
Ajax3 - 2
Ajax3 - 0
Ajax3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for RKC Waalwijk, with Henk Fraser's men having not found the back of the net in 3 consecutive Eredivisie games.

RKC Waalwijk have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 6 consecutive Eredivisie matches. This run could continue, with Ajax's PG an impressive 2.3.

Waalwijk 18th Ajax 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Waalwijk scoring 1 goal or less
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Waalwijk have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
+4
Ajax’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278696/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Waalwijk
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
0.9
2.3
Attack rating
WAA
AJA
70%
better
view stats
Games scored2
3
Failed to score3
0
Scored first0
2
Goals scored2
7
Avg. goals scored0.4
2.3
Avg. shots per game7
13
Avg. shots per goal17
5
Conversion rate for6
18
Avg. XG for0.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+70%
Defence rating
WAA
AJA
69%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
1
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded15
2
Avg. goals conceded3
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded15
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
13%
Avg. XG against2.5
0.6
KickOff rating
+69%

Waalwijk v Ajax Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Waalwijk Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5202
J HouwenR VenneM Kramer 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Houwen GLK5
-
A Meijers DEF5
-
R Eijma DEF5
-
D Buijs DEF5
1
-
J Lelieveld DEF5
-
D Weidmann MID5
1
-
G Roemeratoe MID5
-
C Lokesa MID5
1
-
D Cleonise FWD5
1
-
R Margaret FWD5
-
J Castillo DEF4
-
R Niemeijer MID4
1
-
Y Oukili MID4
1
-
L Gelderen DEF3
1
-
R Venne MID32
1
-
O Zawada FWD3
1
P Vroegh MID2
-
A Jakobsen FWD2
-
M Kramer  FWD2
1
1
T. van de Loo MID1
-
Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3121
R PasveerK TaylorJ HatoS Mannsverk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK3
-
J Sutalo DEF3
-
B Boomen MID3
-
K Taylor MID31
-
C Akpom FWD311
-
B Traoré FWD311
-
M Godts FWD31
-
A Gaaei DEF2
-
Y Baas  DEF21
-
J Hato DEF212
-
D. Janse DEF2
-
K Fitz-Jim MID2
-
K Hlynsson MID21
-
J Henderson MID2
-
S Mannsverk MID2
1
-
S Berghuis  FWD21
-
B Brobbey FWD2
-
D Rensch DEF11
-
D Rugani DEF1
-
S Bergwijn  FWD1
-
W Weghorst FWD1
-
C Rasmussen  FWD1
-