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Groningen v RKC Waalwijk : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 19:00 BST, Noordlease Stadion, Groningen

Home advantage makes a difference in the Eredivisie, and Dick Lukkien’s Groningen will have the blessing of it on Saturday evening. Henk Fraser’s RKC Waalwijk are their opponents at the Noordlease Stadion. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Groningen and Waalwijk will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.19.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Groningen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Groningen
50%
17/20
3%
-
Draw
25%
13/5
4%
-
Waalwijk
25%
11/4
1%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
-
Groningen 1-0
11%
7/1
11%
-
Groningen 2-1
10%
15/2-
Groningen 2-0
9%
17/2
5%
-
Waalwijk 1-0
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
20%
-
Waalwijk 2-1
6%
12/1-
Groningen 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Groningen 3-0
5%
16/1-
Waalwijk 2-0
4%
20/1-
Groningen 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Waalwijk 3-1
2%
28/1-
Groningen 4-1
2%
28/1-
Groningen 4-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
43%
8/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
7/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
48%
21/20
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/4
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
8%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/4-
Away/draw
50%
10/11
2%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/1
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
4/11
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11/1
20%
-
Home DNB
68%
2/5-
Away DNB
42%
7/4-
Groningen win to nil
28%
12/5
3%
-
Waalwijk win to nil
13%
6/1-
Groningen / Groningen
28%
2/1-
Groningen / Waalwijk
3%
28/1-
Groningen / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Groningen
17%
4/1-
Draw / Waalwijk
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Waalwijk / Groningen
4%
20/1-
Waalwijk / Waalwijk
13%
11/2
8%
-
Waalwijk / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Groningen have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 35 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Groningen have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Waalwijk are in 17th position in the Eredivisie on 19 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Waalwijk have conceded 57 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Groningen
Waalwijk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Ajax3023433673 
May 14
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
2
PSV3021455567 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
3
Feyenoord2917843259 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
2-3F
May 14
4
Utrecht3017851559 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
Apr 25
l
 
3-2F
5
Twente3013981248 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
AZ Alkmaar3013891447 
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2A
7
GA Eagles291379646 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
May 18
l
 
2-0A
8
Heerenveen3010713-1537 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1A
9
Groningen Home309813-1335 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
May 3
10
Heracles3081111-1535 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
11
S.Rotterdam2981011-334 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
12
NEC299614-133 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
6-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
13
Fortuna299614-1633 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
14
NAC308814-1832 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
5-0F
l
 
4-1A
15
PEC Zwolle2971012-931 
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
16
Willem II296617-1924 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
17
Waalwijk Away294718-2319 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
-
-
18
Almere City304719-3819 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4A
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Groningen 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Groningen4 - 1Heracles
Groningen1 - 3PSV
Groningen1 - 0Fortuna
Groningen1 - 1Twente
Groningen2 - 1NEC
Groningen1 - 0Heerenveen
Groningen0 - 0Almere City
Groningen0 - 0PEC Zwolle
Groningen2 - 0Willem II
Groningen1 - 0S.Rotterdam
Groningen0 - 1Utrecht
Groningen0 - 1GA Eagles
Groningen2 - 2Feyenoord
Groningen0 - 0AZ Alkmaar
Groningen4 - 1NAC
Groningen0 - 5S.Rotterdam
Groningen2 - 3Ajax
Groningen0 - 1NEC
Groningen1 - 2Utrecht
Groningen0 - 2Heerenveen
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGroningen4 - 1Heracles
AGroningen1 - 3Utrecht
HGroningen1 - 3PSV
AGroningen1 - 4Feyenoord
AGroningen1 - 1NAC
HGroningen1 - 0Fortuna
HGroningen1 - 1Twente
AGroningen3 - 1Willem II
HGroningen2 - 1NEC
AGroningen0 - 1S.Rotterdam
AGroningen1 - 1Heracles
HGroningen1 - 0Heerenveen
AGroningen1 - 2GA Eagles
HGroningen0 - 0Almere City
AGroningen0 - 2Twente
HGroningen0 - 0PEC Zwolle
HGroningen2 - 0Willem II
AGroningen0 - 5PSV
HGroningen1 - 0S.Rotterdam
AGroningen0 - 6NEC
Waalwijk 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
NEC2 - 1Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar2 - 2Waalwijk
PEC Zwolle2 - 0Waalwijk
Twente2 - 0Waalwijk
Almere City1 - 4Waalwijk
S.Rotterdam1 - 1Waalwijk
Ajax2 - 1Waalwijk
Fortuna3 - 2Waalwijk
Heerenveen1 - 1Waalwijk
Heracles2 - 2Waalwijk
NAC4 - 1Waalwijk
Utrecht3 - 2Waalwijk
Willem II3 - 0Waalwijk
GA Eagles2 - 0Waalwijk
PSV5 - 1Waalwijk
PSV3 - 1Waalwijk
Heracles0 - 5Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Waalwijk
FC Volendam3 - 2Waalwijk
Excelsior1 - 1Waalwijk
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWaalwijk1 - 2NEC
HWaalwijk0 - 0Heracles
AWaalwijk2 - 2AZ Alkmaar
AWaalwijk0 - 2PEC Zwolle
HWaalwijk0 - 3PSV
HWaalwijk1 - 2Fortuna
AWaalwijk0 - 2Twente
HWaalwijk5 - 0NAC
AWaalwijk4 - 1Almere City
HWaalwijk2 - 0Willem II
AWaalwijk1 - 1S.Rotterdam
AWaalwijk1 - 2Ajax
HWaalwijk1 - 1PEC Zwolle
AWaalwijk2 - 3Fortuna
HWaalwijk2 - 3Feyenoord
AWaalwijk1 - 1Heerenveen
AWaalwijk2 - 2Heracles
HWaalwijk0 - 3NEC
HWaalwijk2 - 0Almere City
AWaalwijk1 - 4NAC
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Groningen since 2019
Groningen
Waalwijk
Goals: Scored
8
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
GRO
2
D
1
WAA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Groningen
2 - 3Waalwijk
Draw1 - 1Draw
Groningen2 - 0
Groningen3 - 0
League games at Waalwijk since 2021
Waalwijk
Groningen
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
0 / 4
GRO
1
WAA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Waalwijk
1 - 2Groningen
Waalwijk2 - 1
Waalwijk3 - 1
Waalwijk3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Groningen have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Eredivisie outings. Their PG of 1.6 against RKC Waalwijk on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Groningen 9th Waalwijk 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Groningen will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Waalwijk will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Groningen have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
Waalwijk have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278905/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Groningen
PG (predicted goals)
Waalwijk
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
GRO
WAA
1%
better
view stats
Games scored20
20
Failed to score10
9
Scored first12
7
Goals scored32
35
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
18%
better
GRO
WAA
view stats
Games conceded23
25
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first15
21
Goals conceded45
58
Avg. goals conceded1.5
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
2
KickOff rating
+18%

Groningen v Waalwijk Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Groningen Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29568
E VaessenJ SchreudersL ValenteM Peersman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Bergen FWD3031
4
-
E Vaessen GLK291
4
-
L Valente FWD2926
4
-
J Schreuders FWD2851
2
-
L Bacuna DEF2732
7
-
M Rente DEF2621
3
1
B Willumsson FWD254
2
1
R Postema FWD252
2
-
T Blokzijl DEF24
1
1
W. Prins DEF2211
1
-
M Peersman DEF222
7
1
S Resink MID2231
6
-
T Oosting MID221
-
F. Stam DEF191
3
-
T. de Jonge MID1911
2
1
R Mendes FWD1411
3
-
D. Kwakman MID112
-
M Seuntjens MID1112
-
H Ekdal DEF10
-
N. Emeran FWD3
-
M Mariani DEF2
-
S. Bouland DEF2
-
D. van der Werff MID2
-
H Jurjus GLK1
-
F Turay FWD1
-
Waalwijk Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24965
L GelderenO ZawadaR MargaretF. Al Mazyani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Margaret FWD2956
1
-
L Gelderen DEF27
3
-
Y Oukili MID2733
3
1
J Lelieveld DEF24
1
-
O Zawada FWD249
2
1
J Houwen GLK23
-
T. van de Loo MID2211
-
D Cleonise FWD2212
1
-
R Eijma DEF20
1
-
M Ihattaren MID2033
1
-
G Roemeratoe MID201
2
-
J Castillo DEF192
2
-
F. Al Mazyani DEF17
3
2
R Venne MID1741
3
-
M Kramer  FWD172
3
1
A Meijers DEF15
1
1
S Water FWD152
-
D Buijs DEF14
1
-
C Lokesa MID142
2
-
D Weidmann MID12
2
1
L Wouters DEF11
-
K Felida MID7
2
-
R Yaakoubi DEF6
-
P Vroegh MID4
-
A Jakobsen FWD4
-
Y Osch GLK3
-
J Kesting GLK3
-