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AZ v Heracles Almelo : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Dec, 13:30 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

Sunday afternoon at the AFAS Stadion, and it’s a Eredivisie showdown between AZ and Heracles Almelo. Maarten Martens and Erwin van de Looi going all-out to guide their side to victory. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: AZ Alkmaar to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's AZ Alkmaar. Their latest form stats show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Heracles too. The odds point towards Maarten Martens's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think AZ Alkmaar are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
71%
1/4-
Draw
17%
5/1-
Heracles
12%
11/1-
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
11%
5/1-
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
10%
17/2-
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
9%
13/2-
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
9%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
8%
10/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
8%
10/1-
AZ Alkmaar 4-0
5%
10/1-
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
25/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
12/1-
Heracles 2-1
3%
28/1-
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
3%
28/1-
Heracles 1-0
3%
22/1-
AZ Alkmaar 5-0
3%
20/1-
AZ Alkmaar 5-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
3/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/11-
Away 1st Goal
38%
4/1-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
11/10-
BTTS - No
46%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
34%
21/10-
BTTS - Draw
13%
13/2-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
20/1-
Home/draw
88%
1/20-
Away/draw
29%
11/4-
Home/away
83%
1/8-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Home DNB
83%
1/16-
Away DNB
24%
9/1-
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
37%
5/6-
Heracles win to nil
5%
18/1-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
47%
8/11-
AZ Alkmaar / Heracles
2%
50/1-
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
22%
11/4-
Draw / Heracles
4%
20/1-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2-
Heracles / AZ Alkmaar
4%
18/1-
Heracles / Heracles
4%
20/1-
Heracles / Draw
4%
22/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Eredivisie league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. AZ Alkmaar have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

AZ Alkmaar have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 9 goals at home.

Heracles are in 15th position in the Eredivisie on 12 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Heracles have conceded 23 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSV1211013133 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 11
l
 
1-3F
May 14
2
Utrecht11911928 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 18
Jan 24
l
 
1-0A
3
Ajax118211426 
Dec 8
Mar 16
l
 
3-4F
Feb 16
4
Feyenoord127411525 
Apr 6
l
 
3-2F
May 4
Dec 14
5
Twente126421322 
Dec 21
May 14
Mar 30
l
 
5-0A
6
AZ Alkmaar 12525917 
-
-
Apr 13
Dec 1
7
Fortuna12525-317 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Dec 7
Mar 9
8
NEC12516916 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
May 18
w
 
1-2F
9
Willem II12435115 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 2
d
 
1-1F
May 11
10
GA Eagles12435-515 
d
 
2-2F
May 4
Feb 9
l
 
4-1F
11
NAC12507-915 
Apr 27
Dec 15
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
12
Heerenveen12426-1014 
w
 
9-1F
Mar 2
w
 
2-1F
Mar 16
13
Groningen12336-712 
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 21
Apr 27
14
PEC Zwolle12336-812 
Feb 9
w
 
1-2F
Mar 2
l
 
3-0A
15
Heracles 12336-1112 
Dec 1
Apr 13
-
-
16
S.Rotterdam12255-611 
Jan 26
Nov 24
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
17
Almere City12138-216 
May 18
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 19
18
Waalwijk121110-214 
Mar 9
w
 
0-3F
Nov 23
Apr 6
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Heracles have lost 3 consecutive away league games
AZ Alkmaar 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Heracles 15TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
D
1
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
AZ Alkmaar have not lost to Heracles in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at AZ Alkmaar since 2015
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
Goals: Scored
25
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
AZ
7
D
1
League games at Heracles since 2016
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
16
17
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
AZ
4
HER
3
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for AZ in their clash with Heracles Almelo, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 32 consecutive Eredivisie games.

AZ Alkmaar 6th Heracles 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Heracles scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
AZ Alkmaar have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-31
Heracles have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278759/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Heracles
2.4
0.9
Attack rating
32%
better
AZ
HER
view stats
Games scored10
7
Failed to score2
5
Scored first8
7
Goals scored23
12
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
16%
better
AZ
HER
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first3
3
Goals conceded14
23
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
2
KickOff rating
+16%

AZ Alkmaar v Heracles Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12743
S MijnansT ParrottD WolfeS Mijnans
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Koopmeiners MID12
-
S Mijnans MID1222
3
-
T Parrott FWD1271
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK11
-
A Penetra DEF11
-
D Wolfe DEF114
2
1
S Maikuma DEF10
2
-
J Clasie MID102
-
D Kasius DEF922
1
-
R Bommel FWD922
2
-
M Meerdink FWD94
1
-
W Goes DEF81
2
-
J. Addai FWD8
-
Z Buurmeester MID711
-
K Belic MID71
1
-
I Sadiq FWD743
-
M. Lahdo FWD7
-
M Dekker DEF6
1
1
M Wit DEF41
1
-
E Poku FWD41
-
D. Kwakman MID3
-
L Zeefuik FWD3
1
-
J Zoet GLK1
-
B Indi  DEF1
-
R Bazoer DEF1
1
-
K. Smit MID1
-
Heracles Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12414
F KeijzerL. KulenovićM BenitaR Roosken
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Keijzer GLK12
1
-
I Mesík DEF12
3
-
M Benita DEF121
1
-
D Mirani DEF121
-
D Kaam MID121
1
-
S. ’t Zand MID12
1
-
M Engels FWD1231
2
-
R Roosken DEF111
4
-
B Keersmaecker MID1131
1
1
S Podgoreanu FWD101
1
-
J. Talvitie FWD101
-
L. Kulenović FWD84
-
J Bruijn MID7
-
J Hornkamp FWD7
1
-
S Scheperman MID5
1
-
T Bruns MID51
-
J Wieckhoff DEF4
-
J Žambůrek MID4
-
B Limbombe FWD4
-
L Milani DEF3
1
-
J Hoogma DEF3
-
G. Sambo FWD2
-