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Ajax v NEC Nijmegen : Eredivisie match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th May, 15:45 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

the Johan Cruijff Arena masses welcome NEC Nijmegen's travelling contingent on Sunday afternoon, as Francesco Farioli's Ajax face Rogier Meijer's side in the Eredivisie. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Eredivisie Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Ajax to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Eredivisie fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Ajax to win and delight their home supporters is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for NEC, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Ajax claiming victory is the bet come Sunday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
69%
2/7
1%
-
Draw
19%
17/4-
NEC
12%
15/2
6%
-
Ajax 2-0
12%
6/1-
Ajax 1-0
12%
15/2-
Ajax 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1-
Ajax 3-0
9%
15/2-
Ajax 3-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
16/1-
Ajax 4-0
5%
12/1-
NEC 1-0
4%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Ajax 4-1
4%
16/1-
NEC 2-1
3%
25/1
13%
-
Ajax 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Ajax 5-0
2%
22/1
12%
-
NEC 2-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
8/15-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
7/5-
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/9-
Away 1st Goal
36%
10/3
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
15/8-
BTTS - Draw
13%
6/1-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
14/1
15%
-
Home/draw
88%
1/12-
Away/draw
31%
5/2
3%
-
Home/away
81%
1/6-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
5/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/7-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/1-
Home DNB
82%
1/12
2%
-
Away DNB
26%
7/1
14%
-
Ajax win to nil
41%
6/5-
NEC win to nil
6%
16/1
13%
-
Ajax / Ajax
45%
5/6-
Ajax / NEC
2%
40/1
20%
-
Ajax / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw / Ajax
21%
3/1-
Draw / NEC
4%
18/1-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
-
NEC / Ajax
4%
18/1-
NEC / NEC
5%
16/1
13%
-
NEC / Draw
4%
20/1-
Win / draw / win Eredivisie table

Ajax have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Eredivisie league table. Ajax are unbeaten at home after 15 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Ajax have outscored their opponents by 63 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Ajax have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

NEC are in 13th position in the Eredivisie on 33 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 5. NEC have conceded 35 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
NEC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Ajax Home3123533674 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
May 11
2
PSV3021455567 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-0A
3
Feyenoord3018843662 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Utrecht3118851962 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Twente3013981248 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
AZ Alkmaar3013891447 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
7
GA Eagles301389647 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
5-0A
8
Heerenveen3111713-1440 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Fortuna3010614-1536 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
10
S.Rotterdam3081111-335 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
11
Groningen309813-1335 
w
 
3-1F
May 14
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Heracles3081111-1535 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
l
 
1-2A
May 18
13
NEC Away309615-233 
May 11
w
 
1-2A
-
-
14
NAC308814-1832 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-1A
May 14
l
 
1-0A
15
PEC Zwolle3071013-1331 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Willem II306618-2024 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
May 3
l
 
4-1A
17
Almere City314819-3820 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
18
Waalwijk304719-2719 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
29
Ajax have not lost in 29 consecutive home league games
Ajax 1ST
20 league games
Home
29
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
NEC 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Ajax have not lost to NEC in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Ajax since 2016
Ajax
NEC
Goals: Scored
15
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
AJA
3
D
2
League games at NEC since 2015
NEC
Ajax
Goals: Scored
4
13
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
AJA
5
D
1
Goal Statistics
Ajax 1st NEC 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Ajax will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of NEC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Ajax’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-19
NEC have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Eredivisie - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278916/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
NEC
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
36%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games scored30
21
Failed to score1
9
Scored first18
12
Goals scored63
42
Avg. goals scored2
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
29%
better
AJA
NEC
view stats
Games conceded16
22
Clean sheets15
8
Conceded first13
17
Goals conceded27
44
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Ajax v NEC Eredivisie lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajax Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27976
J HatoK TaylorJ HatoB Brobbey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Taylor MID3096
3
-
B Traoré FWD2964
1
-
J Hato DEF2827
5
-
D Klaassen MID2882
-
B Brobbey FWD2843
6
-
J Sutalo DEF262
3
-
M Godts FWD2642
2
-
K Fitz-Jim MID2521
2
-
J Henderson MID254
5
-
A Gaaei DEF2324
3
1
Y Baas  DEF231
2
-
S Berghuis  FWD2324
1
-
R Pasveer GLK211
-
W Weghorst FWD2182
2
-
D Rugani DEF14
1
-
B Boomen MID12
-
O Edvardsen FWD114
1
-
C Rasmussen  FWD101
1
-
Matheus GLK91
-
A Kaplan DEF8
2
-
J. Mokio MID81
1
-
O Wijndal DEF7
2
-
L Rosa DEF41
1
-
D. Janse DEF3
-
Y Regeer MID21
1
-
NEC Eredivisie squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28958
R RoefsV CrooijV CrooijC Verdonk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Verdonk DEF2911
8
-
S. Ouaissa MID296
1
-
B. Onal FWD293
3
-
R Roefs GLK28
-
B Pereira DEF2712
2
-
S Hansen FWD2743
3
-
B Nuytinck DEF261
4
-
T Ouwejan DEF2524
1
-
M Hoedemakers MID251
1
-
D Proper MID251
3
-
I Márquez DEF242
3
-
K Ogawa FWD2371
1
-
V Crooij FWD2295
5
1
K Sano MID212
2
1
K. Shiogai FWD2131
-
P Sandler DEF16
1
-
L Schöne MID15
1
1
E Lyratzis DEF121
-
B Linssen FWD112
3
-
L Larsen FWD6
-
A. Darelas MID5
-
S Gassel GLK2
-